The BMW Championship Predictions, Picks, Odds

• A field of 70 starts the second FedExCup Playoff
• But only the top 30 in the points list progress to the Tour Championship
• The event visits Caves Valley Golf Club for the very first time

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The BMW Championship Odds

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The BMW Championship Predictions and Picks

Xander Schauffele is the outright pick at +1800 with Caesars Sportsbook

Harris English can grab a top 10 at +250 with BetMGM

Rory McIlroy in his matchbet with Shane Lowry at -175 with BetMGM

How to Watch The BMW Championship

The BMW Championship Profile

A new venue this week with the BMW Championship moving to Caves Valley Golf Club in Baltimore and the players will have less time to get to terms with the new test because of the delayed end to last week’s The Northern Trust.

That event finished on Monday and witnessed a very popular victory for Tony Finau, his first for five years.

Can he kick on? Well, most people in golf would hope that he does and two of the previous 14 winners of the first FedExCup Playoff event went back-to-back so it’s not entirely out of the question that wins become like London buses for him (he waits a long time for one and then two come at once).

What of the course? Well, it might be new, but not the man who has set the test.

Tom Fazio designed the course and he is perhaps best known as a sometime tweaker of old designs ahead of them hosting big events (for example, Quail Hollow), but he is also responsible for creating Shadow Creek in Las Vegas from scratch – a course that hosted the PGA Tour’s CJ Cup last year.

He was also responsible for Congaree, the heathland/linksland-like examination which debuted on the PGA Tour in June at the Palmetto Championship.

Jon Rahm is the favorite this week. He came up short last week, losing impetus on the back nine of the final round, but he is the defending champion this week and he hasn’t finished outside the top 10 in his last five starts.

Further down the betting Rory McIlroy is ranked an astonishing 11th in the field – he was T43rd last week and his win at Quail Hollow seems a long time ago, but might that Fazio link prove vital in a resurgence?

Schauffele Can Bounce Back From Olympic Hangover

Instead of taking a risk with McIlroy, I’m going to take a more direct route with a Tom Fazio expert and suggest Xander Schauffele.

The American won the Olympic golf competition a short while ago and it probably knocked him out of touch for a little while, the consequence of a first win for a long time, a lot of media responsibilities, and also the great pride he took in winning something his father had always dreamed of claiming himself.

But he carded a second-round 62 last week which is a timely reminder of what he is capable of.

Moreover, he is a golfer who is far from unfamiliar with Tom Fazio designs.

Indeed, when he finished second at Shadow Creek last year he said: “The Grand Golf Club back at home, that’s my home course and it is a Fazio design.

I do see some design aspects that are similar. There is a level of comfort that I feel on certain tee shots and on the greens, too. They’re kind of trickier than people think. It took me a while to figure those out at home and hoping that that’ll help me here.

On a new course, and one the players will have reduced practice time on, I like that train of thought.

Take Schauffele each way in the outright at +1800 with Caesars Sportsbook. It’s not only a good price, it also pays out seven places.

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English Can Land Us Another Top 10

A few weeks ago we tipped Harris English to make the top 10 in the World Golf Championship St Jude Invitational and when he led the way through the first 54 holes, and then most of the final round too, it must have looked like we should have selected him in the outright market.

Alas, for English he tripped up on the back nine that Sunday.

The top 10 landed safely, the outright suddenly didn’t seem such a good idea. Good news for us.

I’m going to suggest heading back to the well with this year’s two-time winner because he got off to a slow start at Shadow Creek last year (outside the top 50 after 18 holes) then raced into T10th.

Then he was bang in-contention at Congaree in June (second after three rounds) before ending the week T14th.

He looks a neat fit for Fazio courses.

Take him to make the top 10 with DraftKings offering +250.

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McIlroy Can Land the Irish Duel

It might not quite be time to back Rory McIlroy in the outright market, but pounce now that BetMGM have paired him with Shane Lowry in their match-up.

Throughout their careers, McIlroy leads the head-to-head count by a massive 105-33.

Since the start of 2019, it remains along the same lines at 31-10.

Since the start of 2020, his advantage is 18-8.

This year he only leads 8-7 but he’s won two of the last three and he does have some form on a Fazio course – he was tied seventh at Adare Manor in the 2008 Irish Open.

His long-term quality is worth supporting at -175 with BetMGM.

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