Farmers Insurance Open Predictions, Betting Odds & Top Picks

  • Rory McIlroy makes his first start of the year on the PGA Tour
  • Jon Rahm chases a second tournament win and a third top-five finish
  • This week’s host Torrey Pines will also welcome the US Open in June

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Farmers Insurance Open Odds

Player Odds
Jon Rahm +650
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Rory McIlroy +900
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Xander Schauffele +1200
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Tony Finau +1800
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Harris English +2200
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Hideki Matsuyama +2500
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Patrick Reed +2500
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Viktor Hovland +2800
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Brooks Koepka +3300
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Jason Day +3300
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Farmers Insurance Open Picks and Predictions

Course specialist Marc Leishman is the outright pick at +4150 with DraftKings Sportsbook

Charles Howell III can land yet a 13th course top 20 at +300 with bet365

Back Tony Finau to defeat Xander Schauffele in their DraftKings Sportsbook matchbet at -110

Picks:

Marc Leishman each way in the outright +4150 with DraftKings Sportsbook

Charles Howell III to make the top 20 +300 at bet365

Tony Finau to beat Xander Schauffele at -110 with DraftKings Sportsbook

How to Watch the Farmers Insurance Open

Farmers Insurance Open Information
What Farmers Insurance Open
Where Torrey Pines North and South Courses, San Diego, California
When Thursday, January 28 – Sunday, January 31
How to watch Thursday & Friday 3pm & 8pm ET (Golf Channel), Saturday 1pm & 7pm ET (Golf Channel), Sunday 1pm & 7.30pm ET (Golf Channel). All four days on Sky Sports.

Farmers Insurance Open Profile

The annual journey to Torrey Pines is one both golfers and TV viewers always look forward to. The two courses sit on the rugged Californian cliff-tops with dramatic views of the Pacific Ocean in all directions and the South Course (which is used three times) is a tough test that always favors specialists.

Given that fact, it’s rather surprising that the field is not a lot stronger because the Tour will return here in June for the US Open, as it did in 2008 when Tiger Woods memorably won the championship with a broken leg.

Jon Rahm leads the betting and his case is a strong one: he closed 2020 with a top ten finish at the Masters, opened 2021 with another in the Tournament of Champions and he owns three top-five finishes on the course including a win on debut in 2017.

If there is a problem it lies in his rather truculent state of mind in Hawaii and a long journey from Spain ahead of this week.

Second favorite Rory McIlroy has endured an even more tricky journey, from the Middle East, and his activity last week ought to be a positive (he finished third), but it was yet another example of him missing out on a first win since the end of 2019.

Off the Leish

Twelve months ago Marc Leishman was a mighty fine winner of this event and soon afterward finished second in the Arnold Palmer Invitational. A strong year seemed an inevitability, but disruption to the schedule didn’t so much divert him as knock the Australian sideways.

Indeed, in 12 starts after the return from lockdown, he finished better than T40th just once and that was only T28th in a small field at the Tour Championship. However, he ended that run with T13th at the Masters when he revealed that he’d picked up a swing tip a week before and it had transformed his game.

True to his word he opened 2021 with a good fortnight in Hawaii that ended with tied fourth in the Sony Open, an effort that included a superb final-round charge. After that he was again keen to talk positively, saying he felt nicely prepped for his defense. Winning an event back-to-back is a rare trick, but Leishman has already finished second twice in this event so why not achieve the same with wins?

Moreover, multiple winners of the event have proved common down the years, such as the importance of course knowledge. We landed the winner last week with Si Woo Kim so let’s look for a double of our own with the Leish.

He’s a standout top price with DraftKings Sportsbook at +4150 for the win and +800 for the top five.

Back Howell’s Consistency

Charles Howell III is well-known among PGA Tour observers for being a player who struggles to win, but who is supremely consistent. It’s common for those same observers to mock his relatively bare trophy cabinet. Maybe it makes more sense to find ways of taking advantage of his relentless results at his favorite venues and Torrey Pines is definitely one of those.

He made his debut here in 2003 and took an immediate liking to it with tied seventh. Until last year he played the tournament every single year and it’s not difficult to see why because he has finished second three times and, in all, landed 12 top 20s in 17 starts. He missed the cut last week, but before that was T19th at Waialae and that’s yet another course he adores – it was his 14th top 20 there in his 20th appearance.

He said of Torrey Pines back in 2015:

I love the golf course. It’s a lot different to many courses we play. Par can be a heck of a good score. I happen to like that. Par is really rewarded.

bet365 have priced him at +300 to make the top 20 and that looks a really solid proposition.

Go Large Against XS

Xander Schauffele is undoubtedly an exceptionally fine golfer, one of the best in the world. He was also born, educated, and still resides in San Diego. He also has a very poor record at Torrey Pines.

The 27-year-old missed the cut on debut in 2016 and missed the cut again in 2017 – both times he failed to break 74 on either the South Course or the apparently easier North Course. He missed cuts again in 2018 and 2020, and although he finished T25th in 2019 he has broken 70 just once in 12 tournament laps.

In contrast, Tony Finau has played the tournament six times and, on every single occasion, he finished better than 25th, with five top 20s, three of the top 10s.

The two golfers have teed it up this event in the same week five times and Finau leads the head-to-head 5-0.

DraftKings Sportsbook makes him the +110 outsiders in their matchbet (tie no bet) and that’s the play.

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Mike Lukas

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Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager. Email: [email protected]