Odds taken from DraftKings. Find the best betting lines, odds, and bonuses at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Jon Rahm is the outright pick at +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook
Talor Gooch can grab a top 10 at +475 with bet365
CT Pan to be Top Asian Finisher at +1000 with DraftKings
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Last year’s edition of this event witnessed something that was, on the one hand, quite extraordinary and, on the other, just another episode in the remarkable career of Patrick Reed.
This is a golfer who left one university accused of cheating and stealing, who was unpopular at his second college, and who is estranged from his parents – one of these stories would be odd, for them to have happened to one man is very strange.
When he joined the professional ranks, the controversy continued.
In 2014 he pronounced himself a world top five golfer long before he was anywhere near that standard, he has relished winding up both European opponents and American team-mates in the Ryder Cup, and at the Hero World Challenge he was widely assumed to have improved his lie in a bunker.
At this event last year he picked up his ball without marking it before speaking to a referee about a free drop. He got the drop, and appeared to have broken no rule, but his reputation meant only one thing: Twitter went wild.
Now he returns to defend his title and he’ll be keen to revive the winning habit because it’s been a tough year for him.
He lost form in the late spring, became ill in late summer, refused to elaborate when asked if it was Covid, and wasn’t happy when he was overlooked for the Ryder Cup.
It’s one thing to be a controversial winner, another to be a controversial non-winner.
Can he go back-to-back? It’s a tournament which players often win more than once, but it’s a tough task.
If not Reed, then who? Let’s take a look.
Only last week Jon Rahm was telling the press just how much he loved Torrey Pines and the list of reasons was extremely long.
The coast reminds him of his home in Spain (so does the weather), he gets on with the galleries, he proposed to his wife on the cliff tops, they had a second wedding ceremony there, they consider San Diego their favorite city, and he spent lots of time on the coast during his college days.
That’s before he even started on the golf course.
He likes the Poa Annua grass on the greens, the tight driving lines, the small greens, and the fact that “it’s a ball striker’s golf course”.
His driving is a great strength and his numbers reflect it: in six courses visits he has five times ranked top six for Strokes Gained Driving, and twice led the category.
Unsurprisingly, his record is good on the leaderboard. He won this tournament in 2017, was second at halfway on defense, fifth, second and seventh in the next three years, and he won the US Open there last June.
He’s a short price, but deservedly so. Back him in the outright market at +7500 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
Talor Gooch has been one of the stars of the 2021/22 season and yet one bad tournament (last week) seems to have prompted a big reaction from the compilers.
This is a man who opened the campaign with tied fourth at the Fortinet Championship (on Poa Annua greens in California, as this week), followed it with three top 15s and then bounced back from one bad week in Houston with a first PGA Tour victory at the RSM Classic on Sea Island.
He opened the year with T15th in his Tournament of Champions debut, made the top 30 in the Sony Open and then had a shocker in round one last week.
But he carded two 68s on Friday and Saturday – and he can continue that upward trend this week.
He’s played this tournament four times, has never missed the cut, and he was tied third in 2019 when leading the field for Putting Average.
Let’s venture into a different market for the third bet of the week – Top Asian Finisher.
It’s a heat headed by Hideki Matsuyama and for good reasons – he’s in form and has a third place finish in the tournament, but that is also his only top 10 in nine visits.
Take a look at the records of other players in the market, when it comes to landing a top 25: Sungjae Im 0-for-4, Si Woo Kim 1-for-6, KH Lee 0-for-4 (all missed cuts), Sunghoon Kang 2-for-6, Anirban Lahiri 0-for-4, Seung Yul Noh 1-for-8 and Kevin Yu makes his debut.
The missing man is Taiwan’s CT Pan who is only 1-for-4 but that he has made three cuts (better than the rest bar Matsuyama) and he does have the best finish of each and every fellow Asian, when he was second in 2017.
In fact, only Noh (T10th) and Matsuyama have top 10s other than Pan.
Moreover, the last two times he’s played on Poa in California have been promising: T20th at Riviera and tied fourth at Silverado.
There is genuine value in his price of +1000 with DraftKings to win this market.
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|Farmers Insurance Open Information|
|Tournament||Farmers Insurance Open|
|Location||North and South Course, Torrey Pines, San Diego, California|
|Time||Wednesday January 26 – Saturday January 29|
|How to watch||Wednesday 12.30pm & 8.30pm ET (Golf Channel), Thursday 3pm & 8pm ET (Golf Channel), Friday 3pm & 9pm ET (Golf Channel), Saturday 2.30pm & 9pm ET (Golf Channel). And all four days on Sky Sports.|
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Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics. Email: [email protected]More info on Matt Cooper
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