Italian Open Predictions, Picks & Betting Odds

Italian Open Predictions

  • The European Tour moves from Switzerland to Italy
  • Marco Simone GC in Rome will stage the event
  • The par 71 will also be the host course for the 2023 Ryder Cup

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Italian Open Odds

The odds for this tournament are provided by bet365. Click on the odds below to head to bet365 and place a bet.

Player Odds
Matt Fitzpatrick +1400
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Tommy Fleetwood +1600
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Bernd Wiesberger +2000
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Guido Migliozzi +2500
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Henrik Stenson +3000
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Matt Wallace +3000
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Rasmus Hojgaard +3000
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Garrick Higgo +3300
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Calum Hill +3300
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Francesco Molinari +3500
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Martin Kaymer +3500
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Italian Open Predictions & Picks

Sam Horsfield should like this course and looks a big price given his talent level. Back the English youngster at +5000 each-way with bet365 (1/4 1-2-3-4-5).

Dean Burmester looks solid and came fifth in this event last year. He can win a 72-hole match bet (-115 DraftKings Sportsbook) against Garrick Higgo, who has suffered a big dip in form .

Henrik Stenson has bounced back to life with a pair of top fours in his last two starts and is worth a bet +300 with DraftKings Sportsbook to crack the top 10.

How to Watch Italian Open

Italian Open Information
Tournament Italian Open
Location Marco Simone GC, Rome, Italy
Time Thursday, September 02 – Sunday, September 05
How to Watch Thursday 7.30 am-10 am (Golf Channel), Friday 7.30 am-10 am (Golf Channel), Sunday 4 am-6 am (Golf Channel). All 4 days on Sky Sports

Italian Open Profile

While the TOUR Championship at East Lake in Atlanta takes centre stage this week, diligent golf punters will also be tuning in to see the Italian Open.

The extra incentive for keeping up to date with events on the other side of the Atlantic is getting a first glimpse of Marco Simone Golf Course.

The reason: the Rome venue will stage the 2023 Ryder Cup.

This event has a long history and was first staged in 1925. It’s been a permanent fixture of the European Tour schedule since its inception in 1972.

Designed by Jim Fazio and David Mezzacane, it staged this tournament in 1994, victory going to Argentine Eduardo Romero. However, it’s been renovated since.

Like so many Italian Open courses, it’s a parkland track and water comes into play on seven holes. Doglegs are common although there’s plenty of opportunity to hit driver.

Given its Ryder Cup status, Marco Simone is unlikely to be a pushover although the course won’t get much protection from the weather this week as the forecast looks favourable.

Talking of the Ryder Cup, chances are running out for those who want to make Padraig Harrington’s team for Whistling Straits later this month.

But a big performance here and another at next week’s prestigious BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth could turn the Irishman’s head.

Two past Ryder Cup stars, Matthew Fitzpatrick and Tommy Fleetwood, head the betting.

Horsfield Can Bounce Back

Sam Horsfield didn’t find Crans-sur-Sierre to his liking last week and played pretty horribly when missing the cut.

But it was fairly obvious before the start that the fiddly mountain track didn’t play to his strengths.

This one should and before his early exit in the Swiss mountains, Horsfield finished sixth in the Cazoo Open and 23rd in the Czech Masters after sitting sixth with a lap to play.

He was in the top eight for Strokes Gained: Approach in both those events so last week’s performance looks an outlier.

Let’s not forget that the young Englishman won twice on the European Tour last year and, on the right course, he looks a huge talent and a player who could grace future Ryder Cups.

This one will likely come too soon but Harrington will be keeping half an eye.

English players have a strong record in this tournament and, at +5000, Horsfield looks a big price.

Back him each-way at bet365 (1/4 1-2-3-4-5).

Bet on Sam Horsfield, Here!

Burmester Can Outscore Higgo

We’re on a good run with match bets and the last two 72-hole selections have won by 15 and 10 shots respectively.

If only all these head-to-heads were so stress-free!

This week I’m going to play an all-South African match-up and wager Dean Burmester to get the better of Garrick Higgo.

That would have looked a strange move a few months ago when Higgo produced a golden spell of golf, twice winning on the European Tour and then riding his hot form to capture the PGA TOUR’s Palmetto Championship.

But since then, as can happen with young players, he’s lost his way.

In eight starts following his first prize at Palmetto, Higgo’s form reads MC-MC-41-MC-MC-53-WD-64 and it’s hard to see anything in his stats that suggest a turnaround.

For now, he’s vulnerable and Burmester is showing enough form to take him down.

The big hitter has made his last four cuts in Europe, including T40 at the Open Championship and sixth in the Czech Masters a fortnight ago.

Burmester also has a solid record in Italy and it was a bit more than that last year when he started with a 64 and finished fifth.

It’s a pick ‘em but on current form Burmester has to be the choice at –115 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Bet on Dean Burmester, Here!

Stenson Can Crack the Top 10

Henrik Stenson slipped to 181st in the world rankings after missing the cut in the Open Championship at Royal St George’s.

That represented a fifth MC in six starts and it seemed the Swede could write this season off.

But we’ve seen this movie before: Stenson being in a horrid slump and then finding something to turn it around.

He started the revival with tied fourth in the Czech Masters two weeks ago and, to show it was no one-off, he followed it with solo third in the Omega European Masters on Sunday.

From nowhere, could Stenson even be an outside contender for a Ryder Cup wildcard pick from his good friend Padraig?

That may be getting carried away but he’s jumped 38 spots in the world rankings over the last two weeks and, with no course form to help us here, current form has to be noted.

Stenson’s is as good as anyone’s in the field if we judge it on that narrow two-week frame and he’s shown time and time again in his career that he can string sequences of good results together.

He’s +3000 in the main market but I think the safer way to cash in is taking him to score a top 10 for the third straight week.

That outcome is +300 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Bet on Henrik Stenson, Here!

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Dave Tindall

Expert on Golf

Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.



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