PGA Championship Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks
- The tournament returns to May after Collin Morikawa won the 2020 edition in August
- Kiawah Island in South Carolina hosts; it can play to a massive 7,876 yards from the tips
- The Ocean Course last staged the event in 2012 when Rory McIlroy won by eight shots
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PGA Championship Odds
The odds for this tournament are provided by bet365.
|Rory McIlroy||+1100 |
|Jon Rahm||+1400 |
|Justin Thomas||+1400 |
|Jordan Spieth||+1600 |
|Bryson DeChambeau||+1600 |
|Dustin Johnson||+1800 |
|Xander Schauffele||+2200 |
|Viktor Hovland||+2200 |
|Collin Morikawa||+2800 |
|Daniel Berger||+3000 |
|Patrick Reed||+3500 |
Odds from bet365. Get up to $100 in FREE credits at bet365 NJ today or check out more offers and promo codes for the best online sportsbooks.
PGA Championship Predictions and Picks
Xander Schauffele has a fantastic record in the majors and several of his top sixes have come in those held by the coast. Back the American each-way at +2200 with bet365.
Tony Finau continues to rack up the top 10s in majors and is another proven seaside performer. He can outscore Scottie Scheffler over 72 holes at -110 with bet365.
Europeans performed strongly in the last PGA held at Kiawah and Robert MacIntyre has T6 and T12 in his four majors so far. The Scot can make the top 20 at +400 DraftKings Sportsbook
Xander Schauffele each-way at +2200 bet365 (¼ 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8)
Tony Finau to beat Scottie Scheffler in a 72-hole match at –110 with bet365
Robert MacIntyre to finish in the Top 20 at +400 with DraftKings Sportsbook
William Hill PGA Championship Boosted Odds
Thinking about fading last year’s PGA Championship Winner? Colin Morikawa to MISS THE CUT is BOOSTED to +325.
Masters Winner Hideki Matsuyama is BOOSTED to +4000 to go back-to-back on majors and win the PGA Championship.
Will Zalatoris was the runner-up at the Masters, William Hill BOOSTED his price to break through and win to +6000 for the PGA Championship.
2 or More Holes in One in 2021 PGA Championship BOOSTED to +225.
World #1, Dustin Johnson, BOOSTED to +1200 to be the Top American Player.
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How to Watch PGA Championship
|PGA Championship Information|
|Location||Ocean Course at Kiawah Island, Kiawah Island, South Carolina|
|Time||Thursday, May 20 – Sunday, May 23|
|How to Watch||Thursday-Friday 7am-1pm (ESPN+), 1pm-7pm (ESPN). Saturday-Sunday 8am-10am (ESPN+), 10am-1pm (ESPN), 1pm-7pm (CBS). All 4 days on Sky Sports|
PGA Championship Preview
Traditionally the fourth and final major of the season, the PGA Championship moved to a new May slot in 2019 when Brooks Koepka won at Bethpage.
The pandemic caused it to move back to August in 2020 but May gets another crack this year and that means it’s the second major of 2021 following April’s Masters won by Japan’s Hideki Matsuyama.
The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island is known to punters as it’s staged two big events previously. The first was the famous 1991 Ryder Cup, dubbed ‘The War on the Shore’, while it also hosted this tournament in 2012.
Bernhard Langer’s dramatic missed a six-foot putt on the final green in 1991 cost Europe the chance to tie and retain the trophy. But Europeans certainly dominated in 2012 when Rory McIlroy won by eight shots. On that occasion, the top 10 comprised a Northern Irishman, three players from England, three Americans, two Swedes, and a Welshman.
Summing that up, seven of those were Northern Europeans, suggesting those used to cooler, coastal, windy conditions felt at home on this South Carolina track.
McIlroy’s victory also highlights another trend: the PGA Championship is typically won by a younger player rather than a veteran. That’s shown by nine of the last 11 winners being in their 20s. McIlroy was just 25 when winning in 2012 while Morikawa was only 23 when hoisting the giant Wanamaker Trophy last August.
The Ocean Course is a Pete Dye design and, somewhat unusually, features Paspalum greens. When McIlroy took victory there nine years ago, he ranked 1st in Driving Distance, 44th in Driving Accuracy, 13th for Greens in Regulation, 1st for Scrambling, and 10th for Putting Average.
However, runner-up David Lynn was a shorter hitter and, although the course looks incredibly long, there will be plenty of tees moved up during the week.
Schauffele Has Game for Kiawah Success
A PGA by the coast may not suit everyone but Xander Schauffele has shown he can thrive in majors where handling the elements is part of the examination paper.
The American showed that when finishing tied second in the 2018 Open Championship held at Carnoustie in Scotland. And you’ll also find him in the top six in the two recent US Opens staged by the coast – the 2018 edition at Shinnecock where he was tied sixth and the 2019 tournament at Pebble Beach Golf Links when he posted tied third.
In fact, Schauffele just seems good at majors wherever they’re held. He’s played just 15 but already racked up eight top 10s and seven of those have doubled as top sixes.
The most recent came only last month when he did his best to hunt down Matsuyama at Augusta National before finishing in another tie for third. The last four PGA Championships have been won by Americans in their 20s so the 27-year-old Schauffele ticks lots of boxes while he even has form on Pete Dye tracks too.
Schauffle was runner-up on his PLAYERS Championship debut at TPC Sawgrass and he’s also had two top 20s in three visits to TPC River Highlands.
The 22/1 at bet365 looks a strong bet, especially with the each-way terms which show eight payout places.
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Major Man Finau Can Get the Better of Scheffler
Tony Finau has been a little hit-and-miss in recent times but when it comes to majors he’s one of the most reliable in the game. He showed that again with tied 10th in the Masters last month and that was his eighth top 10 in the latest 12 majors – a fantastic record.
Focus in further and, like Schauffele, Finau is particularly strong on seaside tracks. He has T9 and solo third in the last two Opens (after T18 and T27 in his first two), fifth in the US Open at Shinnecock, and a T10 at Whistling Straits in 2015.
The latter is another lengthy Pete Dye track by the coast so Finau has shown he has all the weapons to succeed at a place like Kiawah Island.
He’s put in a bet365 match bet pick ‘em (-110) alongside Scottie Scheffler. It’s early but so far Scheffler’s career is rather mirroring that of Finau’s: he’s yet to win but has shown he can compete in an elite company.
Scheffler was fourth in the 2020 PGA at Harding Park and has T18 and T19 at Augusta National. But those are very different courses to this one and he missed the cut in his one major by the coast – the 2019 US Open at Pebble Beach.
In my book, Finau should be the favorite to outscore the younger man so take the 31-year-old from Utah at -110 (bet365).
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MacIntyre Can Crack the Top 20
With so many Europeans doing well at Kiawah Island in 2012, it makes sense to look to one of them for the best Top 20 bet.
The player I like most is Scotland’s, Robert MacIntyre.
The left-hander heads to South Carolina on the back of a tied eighth in the British Masters at The Belfry on Saturday.
Just a month earlier, he showed his class when tied 12th on his Master’s debut and either side of that he won his group at the WGC-Match Play in Texas and played well for 54 holes at the RBC Heritage.
As well as his superb Augusta performance, MacIntyre finished tied sixth on his very first start in a major. That came in the 2019 Open Championship at Royal Portrush in Northern Ireland.
He’s 4-for-4 in majors and, with two of that quartet being top 12s, the Scottish southpaw is worth a bet at +400 to finish in the top 20.
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More Golf Predictions & Odds
Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.
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