2020-PGA Championship Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks

PGA Championship 2020

  • First golf major of 2020 after altered schedule and back to August slot
  • Harding Park in San Francisco hosts first big event since 2015 WGC-Match Play
  • Great chance for Jon Rahm to claim a first major win
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PGA Championship Odds

Justin Thomas+900
Brooks Koepka+1100
Bryson DeChambeau+1500
Rory McIlroy+1500
Jon Rahm+1500
Xander Schauffele+1800
Dustin Johnson+2300
Patrick Cantlay+2500
Daniel Berger+3300
Webb Simpson+3000
Tiger Woods+3300


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PGA Championship Picks

Jon Rahm has an excellent record in California and can return to the top of the world rankings by winning a first major title at attractive odds of +1500 with DraftKings.

Brooks Koepka is the current major king and the cool San Francisco weather isn’t good news for Tiger’s back. Take the defending champ at -137 to win a 72-hole match-up.

South African Erik Van Rooyen has made the top 20 in three of his first four major starts and is a value bet at +500 to add another this week.

How to Watch the PGA Championship

PGA Championship Information
WhatPGA Championship
WhereTPC Harding Park, San Francisco, CA
WhenThursday August 6 – Sunday August 9
How to WatchAll times ET. Thursday/Friday 10am-4pm (ESPN+), 4pm-10pm (ESPN), Saturday 11am-1pm (ESPN+), 1pm-4pm (ESPN), 4pm-10pm (CBS), Sunday 10am-12pm (ESPN+), 12pm-3pm (ESPN), 3pm-9pm (CBS). All four days on Sky Sport.

PGA Championship Profile

After being promoted to the second major of the calendar year in 2019, the PGA Championship now becomes the first of 2020 due to the most unlikely circumstances possible.

The coronavirus pandemic has wiped out the Open Championship and delayed the US Open until September and The Masters to November.

So it’s the PGA that leads out the 2020 major season, the tournament moving back to the August date it previously occupied.

And yet this won’t be the standard deal, in terms of weather at least.

We’re used to seeing the PGA played in the blazing summer heat but the dynamic is different this time with the tournament being staged at TPC Harding in San Francisco for the first time.

With fog and low clouds blowing in on the marine layer, the morning starters will find conditions particularly cooler and, even in the afternoon, the temperature gauge will stay in the mid-60s.

There are plenty of storylines vying for attention this week but the obvious one is Brooks Koepka trying to pull off a PGA three-peat following his victories in this event at Bellerive in 2018 and Bethpage Black last year.

Host course TPC Harding Park has staged several big tournaments in the past and produced elite winners, with Tiger Woods landing the 2005 WGC-American Express Championship and Rory McIlroy capturing the 2015 WGC-Match Play.

Rahm Can Major Breakthrough

Seven of the last 11 editions of this event have gone to a first-time major winner and one obvious candidate to extend that sequence to eight in 12 is Jon Rahm.

The Spaniard won the Memorial Tournament two weeks ago to advance to No.1 in the world rankings for the first time but he immediately had that new status snatched from him by Justin Thomas after the 2017 PGA champ walked off with the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational in Ohio.

Rahm will want to grab it back as soon as he can and a major on the west coast could give him an ideal chance.

The 25-year-old’s first PGA Tour win came on the Californian coast when he eagled the final hole to win the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines and his second also arrived in the Golden State thanks to a playoff win at the 2018 CareerBuilder Challenge.

In all, 13 appearances in California have yielded two wins and six other top tens, five of those doubling as top sixes.

Rahm was a little slow to get going in majors but he’s found the right formula now, finishing fourth in both the 2019 Masters and PGA and tied third in the 2019 U.S. Open. Notably, that came to a couple of hours down the shoreline at Pebble Beach.

Add in two wins at the Irish Open and it’s pretty clear that Rahm can thrive in cool seaside temperatures and if he strikes the ball as well as he did at Muirfield Village, a first major victory awaits. Take the +1500 at DraftKings.

Cool Koepka Can KO Tiger

We’re now on a 6-for-6 streak with 72-hole match bets so let’s try and extend it by backing the current king of majors against the former king.

Brooks Koepka has won four of the last 11 majors, including victories in the last two editions of this event. And it doesn’t stop there. During that run, he’s also had two-second places, a fourth and a sixth. Having bounced back to form with a near-miss second place at last week’s WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, quite frankly he’s a match for anyone here. That includes Tiger even though the great man is still a force at this level having won the 2019 Masters and finished runner-up in this tournament in 2018.

However, as well as pure ability, the weather could be a big factor here and it surely has to be against Woods. The chilly climes of San Francisco in the summer represent a problem for Woods and he admitted so earlier this week: “When it’s cooler like this, I just make sure that my core stays warm, layering up properly. I know I won’t have the same range of motion as I would back home in Florida where it’s 95 every day. That’s just the way it is.”

Tiger’s back remains an issue he has to work with and it’s troubled him in his last two starts, stiffness hampering him during a T40 finish at Memorial on his last start.

Another factor this week is that one half of the draw could get better weather so keep that in mind when making match bets. Koepka and Woods are both morning starters Thursday and everything points to Brooks at -167 with DraftKings.

Van Rooyen Can Crack Top 20

With a top 20 finish in last week’s WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational in Memphis, Erik Van Rooyen secured Temporary Special Membership on the PGA Tour for the rest of the season.

That’s a great boost for the South African and he has the class to add another top 20 here at the attractive odds of +500 with bet365.

Third, at the WGC-Mexico Championship earlier in the campaign, Van Rooyen is starting to make his mark in big events as shown by T8 in this tournament last year. Add in T17 and T20 in his two appearances at the Open Championship and he’s finished in the top 20 in three of his four major starts.

Yep, that +500 to make the top 20 really does look good!

TPC Harding Park is new to him but he hit the ball beautifully last week and that will serve Van Rooyen well – as will his liking for playing in cool, windy conditions when he can stick out his jaw and battle the elements.

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Dave Tindall

Expert on Golf

Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.

Email: [email protected]