The RBC Canadian Open Predictions, Odds, Best Bets

• The tournament heads back to St. George’s G&CC for the first time since 2010
• Rory McIlroy defends the trophy he won back in 2019
• World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler leads the betting

The RBC Canadian Open Odds

Check out our predictions and odds for the RBC Canadian Open. Odds taken from BetMGM. Sign up today to take advantage of a $1000 Risk-Free bet or check out more offers and promo codes for the best online sportsbooks.

The RBC Canadian Open Picks

Sam Burns is the outright pick at +1600 with BetMGM

CT Pan top 10 and win at +650 and +8000 with DraftKings

Adam Hadwin to beat Chris Kirk at -120 with Bet365

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In all sorts of ways this week’s RBC Canadian Open is making us feel old and reminding us that time waits for no man or woman.

The last time the tournament took place, Rory McIlroy claimed the title and it seemed wonderful timing, coming a mere few weeks before he made his way home to Northern Ireland for the Open’s return to Royal Portrush.

And yet it all went horribly wrong. McIlroy had a nightmare, hooking his very first tee shot out of bounds and missing tiny putts in an agonising first round.

He was brilliant in the second round but was still unable to undo the disaster.

Spin it forward three years and those two championships seems decades ago, all the more so because this week also sees the first LIV Golf Invitational event and with it comes the start of a potential schism in the sport.

Dustin Johnson and Graeme McDowell were both sponsored by RBC but chose instead to play in London with LIV.

RBC promptly dropped them and it might be the first of many corporate decisions that could rock golf. There are difficult times ahead so we should enjoy this week as much as we can!

Course details

The second way in which this week reminds us of the fast pace of life comes in the form of the host course.

St. George’s Golf & Country Club last hosted the tournament in 2010 and to peer back at the leaderboard that week is to remember how quickly careers can change.

The winner was Sweden’s Carl Pettersson, Dean Wilson was second and Luke Donald third – not one of that trio is even playing regularly on the PGA Tour any more.

It’s a lovely layout with fairways that are tightly tree-lined and greens that are tucked into folds in the terrain.

It is not long, but wedges will not be used too much this week. There are five par-3s and three par-5s; four of the former are over 175 yards, the latter can be reached in two.

What we know of that leading trio from 2010 is that they play similar sorts of courses well: the likes of Harbour Town, Sedgefield and Innisbrook, tracks that call for smart play from the tee, accuracy into the greens, and strong skills around (and on) the greens.

The latter point is backed up by what local legend Mike Weir said:

There’s probably a couple greens out there that are semi-flat, and there’s probably 15 of them that are very severe. So I guess overall consistency of very difficult greens, I can’t think of any outside of really Augusta that are this difficult.

It’s not an layout to attack from the tee so look for steady long game operators with a solid scrambling game.

Red Hot Burns Can Win Again

As mentioned, with a demand on smart golf tee-to-green and excellent short game, plus the ability to cope with undulating terrain, St. George’s sounds much like Innisbrook, home of the Valspar Championship.

And guess what? Pettersson and Donald were not only winners at Innisbrook, they also finished top 10 there in 2010 before making the top three here in Canada.

In modern times no-one has played Innisbrook better than Louisiana’s Sam Burns.

He was T12th there in debut, T30th a year later, claimed victory in 2021 and went back-to-back this March.

There’s also the rather straightforward fact that he’s become a very fine golfer in the last year or so.

In fact, since the start of May 2021 he’s won four times and been runner-up twice in 26 individual starts.

Take advantage of BetMGM’s industry top price of +1600 for the win.

Panning for Gold

Pettersson also won at Sedgefield and Donald, in his best years, landed second at the same course.

That’s another intriguing angle and Taiwan’s CT Pan is another fellow who has thrived there. In fact, he’s 4-for-4 and has a best of second in 2018

He is also a past winner at Harbour Town.

The clincher? He’s made seven straight cuts, has improving Strokes Gained Approached stats and he has twice won on the Canadian Tour.

That’s plenty of good vibes. Take him to make the top 10 at +650 and win at +8000, both prices with DraftKings.

Hadwin Can Enjoy Home Comforts

With my professed interest in players who play Innisbrook well Canada’s very own Adam Hadwin has to come into the equation.

He won there in 2017, was T12th on defense of his title and tied seventh there earlier this year.

Chris Kirk, on the other hand, has played that track six times, missed four cuts and never finished in the top 40.

The clincher is their head-to-head record in recent times because Hadwin leads 10-5 in their last 15 encounters and 7-3 in the last 10.

Kirk hasn’t played the course, but Hadwin did make his tournament debut at St. George’s 12 years ago and finished a solid T37th.

Take Hadwin at -120 with Bet365.

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