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The RBC Canadian Open 2025 Predictions: Put Trust in Taylor

Updated: June 3, 2025, 06:45 AM ET
7 min read
  • The event takes place at TPC Toronto for the first time

  • This is the final tournament before next week’s US Open

  • Two-time Canadian Open winner Rory McIlroy is a hot favorite  

RBC Canadian Open Odds

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PlayerOdds 
Rory McIlroy+425
BET HERE
Ludvig Aberg+1400
BET HERE
Corey Conners+1600
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Shane Lowry+2000
BET HERE
Taylor Pendrith+2000
BET HERE
Robert MacIntyre+2500
BET HERE
Sungjae Im+2800
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Sam Burns+3000
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Harry Hall+3300
BET HERE
Nick Taylor+3500
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RBC Canadian Open 2025 Predictions

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RBC Canadian Open 2025 Prediction

RBC Canadian Open 2025 Intro

The Canadian Open was first contested way back in 1904 so, not surprisingly, ranks as the world’s third oldest national Open.

But there’s a fresh beginning feel to this year’s edition as it’s being held at a new venue.

TPC Toronto is a long and tough par 70 measuring nearly 7,400 yards.

Despite the name, it’s about an hour’s drive from downtown Toronto and will be unfamiliar to the vast majority in this field of 156.

It underwent a renovation a couple of years ago and when looking at the scorecard there are a host of lengthy par 4s, including three over 500 yards.

No American player has won this event since 2018 and the defending champion is a Scotsman, Robert MacIntyre, who claimed his first PGA Tour success by landing the 2024 edition.

Twelve months earlier, Nick Taylor ended a huge home drought by becoming the first Canadian player to win his national Open since 1954.

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Last 5 Winners of the RBC Canadian Open

YearChampion, nationality, winning score and venue
2024Robert MacIntyre (Scotland) -16 (Hamilton)
2023Nick Taylor (Canada) -17 (Oakdale)
2022Rory McIlroy (Northern Ireland) -19 (St. George’s)
2019Rory McIlroy (Northern Ireland) -22 (Hamilton)
2018Dustin Johnson (United States) -23 (Glen Abbey) 

Note: The 2020 and 2021 editions were canceled due to the pandemic

Course Notes

  • The tournament will be held on TPC Toronto’s North course

  • It plays as a par 70 that measures 7,389 yards from the tips 

  • The course has bent/poa putting surfaces 

  • There are three water hazards and 48 bunkers

  • Carl Pettersson (2010) and Justin Rose (2022) hold the tournament’s low 18 of 60 

  • Rory McIlroy (2019) holds the 72-hole record of 258

Favorites to win the RBC Canadian Open 2025

Rory McIlroy (+425) at bet365

Canada loves Rory and they’re delighted to have him teeing it up in another Open. McIlroy has thrilled the crowds by winning on his first two appearances in the event: 2019 and 2022. He’s since added ninth and fourth so has never been outside the top 10 in four visits. A three-time winner this year, including that dramatic triumph at Augusta National, the Northern Irishman will want to flash some form again ahead of next week’s US Open after only managing 47th at the PGA Championship on his latest start. McIlroy ranks a lethal 3rd for Strokes Gained: Tee To Green and 6th for SG: Putting this season.

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Ludvig Aberg (+1400) at bet365

The Swede made his only Canadian Open appearance in 2023 when posting 25th at Oakdale. It was his first event after turning pro. Since scoring a classy win in the Genesis Invitational in California, he’s been patchy, with three missed cuts and two finishes outside the top 50 in seven starts. The other two were seventh in The Masters and a fast-finishing 16th (R4 66) in the Memorial Tournament last week.

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Corey Conners (+1600) at bet365

One of the home heroes, Conners had a nightmare start to his Canadian Open career with five missed cuts and an 80th in his first six attempts. But sixth at St. George’s in 2022 when closing with 62 proved a turning point and he’s since added 20th at Oakdale and sixth again at Hamilton last year. The Canuck has been in excellent form this season with five top 10s and a further five top 25s. He ranks 9th for SG: Off The Tee.  

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Pendrith Worth a Play

It almost became a curse that Canadian players couldn’t get it done in their home Open.

Mike Weir was the big hope but somehow he failed to get over the line.

So when Nick Taylor emerged as the winner in dramatic style two years ago, a nation sighed in relief.

Now that the door has been broken down, there’s every chance more Canadians will follow Taylor through it.

There are some likely candidates this week but the one who looks the best fit is Taylor Pendrith.

The 34-year-old from Ontario, who won last year’s CJ CUP Byron Nelson, is showing some great form again.

He’s had two top fives in his last seven starts and the most recent came in the PGA Championship last month.

Pendrith followed that with 12th at Memorial where he ranked 1st for SG: Approach.

The clincher is that he probably knows the course better than anyone having played and practised numerous times there.

Back Pendrith each-way (1/5 odds, 6 Places) at +2500 with BetMGM.

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Fox to Outsmart Wallace

Si Woo Kim, a +105 ‘dog’, came through for us last week as he easily beat Daniel Berger (MC) at Memorial.

This week’s 72-hole match bet is Ryan Fox to outscore Matt Wallace.

Fox made the big breakthrough by chipping in to win the Myrtle Beach Classic last month and since then he’s been solid with 28th at the PGA Championship and 20th at Memorial.

The Kiwi also enjoyed his Canadian Open debut last year when posting seventh at Hamilton.

Wallace has finished 35th and 27th in his two starts in this event but Fox beat him by five last year.

And although the Englishman is also in decent nick, his form tends to go in and out.

Fox looks far more reliable and a better course fit overall so back him at -110 in a pick ‘em with bet365.

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Taylor to Land Top 10

Nick Taylor will forever be associated with this event after winning in 2023 and he’s in the sort of form to make a good impression again.

The five-time PGA Tour champ was 17th at the Truist Championship last month and added fourth in another stellar field at Memorial last week.

Back him at +375 with bet365 to crash the top 10.   

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How to Watch the RBC Canadian Open 2025

  • Tournament: RBC Canadian Open

  • Location: TPC Toronto, Caledon, Ontario, Canada

  • Date: Thursday June 05 - Sunday June 08

  • How to Watch: Thursday-Friday 3-6 p.m. ET (Golf Channel). Saturday-Sunday 1-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3-6 p.m. (CBS). And all four days on Sky Sports.

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Dave Tindall WSN Contributors

Dave Tindall

Golf Betting Analyst

Expertise:
Golf
Betting Picks
Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: British
Education: Bachelor of Arts (Psychology and Media)
Favourite Sportsbook: bet365 Sportsbook
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Experience: 25 years
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