The Sentry Tournament of Champions Predictions, Betting Odds, Top Picks

  • The PGA Tour makes its traditional visit to Hawaii to begin the calendar year
  • The dramatic, cliff-top Plantation Course at Kapalua again plays host
  • Harris English defends the trophy he won in a playoff last year

The Sentry Tournament of Champions Odds

Odds taken from BetMGM. You don’t need a bonus code for BetMGM to get their welcome bonus. Sign up today to get a $1000 risk-free bet!

Player Odds
Justin Thomas +800
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Jon Rahm +900
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Bryson DeChambeau +1000
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Collin Morikawa +1000
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Patrick Cantlay +1200
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Viktor Hovland +1200
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Xander Schauffele +1200
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Sam Burns +1600
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Cameron Smith +2000
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Daniel Berger +2000
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The Sentry Tournament of Champions Picks and Predictions

Hideki Matsuyama is the each-way outright pick at +2500 with bet365

Patrick Reed can record a top 10 at +175 with Caesars Sportsbook

Lucas Herbert can also land a top 10 at +500 with Unibet

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The Sentry Tournament of Champions

The Sentry Tournament of Champions Profile

Claiming victory on the PGA Tour is, in itself, a wonderful thing.

There’s the thrill of overcoming pressure in the final round, the reward for decades of hard work, the vindication for all the sacrifices made, the excitement it provides family and friends, and the boost to the bank balance isn’t bad either.

But there are many other side effects that soon make an impact on a career.

There’s the security of knowing the medium-term future on tour is safe for one and a spot at the Sentry Tournament of Champions is another.

The golfers know it as a wonderful perk of lifting a trophy and the words of Justin Thomas explain why.

“It’s always the best place to start the year because it means you won the previous year,” he said. “But also, it’s a small field so the rounds go by fast playing in twosomes and people aren’t really grinding and practicing after their rounds. It’s a laid-back kind of vibe. It’s just a fun golf course, a fun event, a fun week. Sometimes you just kind of have to remind yourself you’re at a golf tournament.

For all the high jinks, however, this is a title players want to win and quality players tend to lift the trophy.

Consider this: each of the last 10 winners was good enough to participate in the Ryder Cup while seven of the last nine winners were major winners (and one of the exceptions, Xander Schauffele, is both a WGC and Olympics winner).

Who will join their ranks this week? Let’s take a closer look.

Matsuyama Can Go Back-to-Back

Back in 2017 Hideki Matsuyama found himself five shots back of Justin Thomas’ final-round lead with just five holes to play whereupon he thrashed an eagle and a birdie while the American found trouble.

Suddenly the Japanese golfer was tied for the lead.

Thomas recovered, Matsuyama ran out of time, and ultimately finished second, but in his previous appearance he had been third and in his next, he would finish fourth – we can rest assured that he knows how to play this undulating test by the sea.

We also know that he ended 2021 in superb form, thrashing a quality field in the Zozo Championship by no less than five shots.

Don’t discount the importance of his win last year at Augusta National either.

Like the Plantation Course, it features elevation changes and no less than seven players have won both the Masters and the Tournament of Champions.

Take him each way in the outright at +2500 with bet365.

See our bet365 sportsbook review!

Reed Can Channel Island Vibes

Patrick Reed’s debut at this event in 2014 was not bad – he finished T16th – but he learned a quick lesson, as revealed when he won the title at the second attempt.

“I tried to make birdies and was too aggressive on debut,” he said. “This year I was patient and stuck to my game plan.”

It’s a lesson he has not forgotten, adding second place on defense in 2016 and making a playoff in 2020.

In all, he has landed four top 10s in seven visits to this event which makes an odds-against quote immediately interesting.

But the clincher is the improved form he showed late last season.

It’s not just that he was a fast-finishing second in the Bermuda Championship or tied third in the Hero World Challenge.

What’s most persuasive is that both those events are hosted by courses similar to this week’s.

Both are vulnerable to blustery breezes and have grainy Bermuda greens, the former is undulating like the Plantation Course, and the latter is a birdie-fest which this week will be if the wind doesn’t blow.

He can make it five top 10s and Caesars are offering +175.

Herbert Can Ride the Wave

When Reed raced toward the finishing line in last November’s Bermuda Championship only one man could keep his hands off the trophy and that was Australia’s Lucas Herbert.

His victory was something of a surprise for PGA Tour observers, but European Tour regulars know all about his abilities and, in particular, his capacity to play brilliant golf by the ocean.

It was back in the 2018 that he burst on the scene, landing top 10s at seaside resort courses in Sicily and Portugal, as well as in the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship.

In more recent times he has twice threatened to win the Scottish Open on linksland.

He also landed two victories – at the Dubai Desert Classic and Irish Open – before making that breakthrough in North America.

There’s always a chance that the wind will blow in Hawaii and that won’t represent a problem to Herbert – the triumphs in Dubai and Bermuda were both completed in difficult conditions with the wind blowing many of his opponents off the leaderboard.

With Reed’s top 10 price necessarily shorter (because of his fine record), we need a longer shot to accompany it.

Herbert provides that, but he’s far from being a no-hoper. In fact, there’s every chance he’ll be well-suited to the test.

Back him at +500 with Unibet to finish in the top 10.

Have a look at our full sportsbook review for more on Unibet bonus code, payment methods, and security.

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How to Watch The Sentry Tournament of Champions

The Sentry Tournament of Champions Information
Tournament The Sentry Tournament of Champions
Location The Plantation Course at Kapalua, Maui, Hawaii
Time Thursday January 6 – Sunday January 9
How to watch Thursday, Friday & Saturday 6-10 pm ET (Golf Channel), Sunday 4-6pm ET (NBC), 6-8pm ET (Golf Channel). And all four days on Sky Sports.

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Matt Cooper

Expert on Golf

Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics. Email: [email protected]