The WM Phoenix Open Predictions: Koepka Can Triple Up

• The action moves from California to Arizona

• Scottie Scheffler is a two-time winner of the event

• Brooks Koepka makes his second start since returning from LIV

The WM Phoenix Open 2026 Odds

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The WM Phoenix Open 2026 Picks and Predictions

• Brooks Koepka each-way (1/5 1-2-3-4-5-6) at +5000 with BetMGM Sportsbook

• Rickie Fowler to beat J.J. Spaun in 72-hole match bet at +100 with bet365 Sportsbook

• Jake Knapp for Top 10 at +450 with BetMGM Sportsbook

WM Phoenix Open 2026 Intro

After three courses were used at the American Express and two at last week’s Farmers Insurance Open, we’re back to a single-track set-up for the annual running of the WM Phoenix Open.

And it’s a hugely familiar one: TPC Scottsdale.

The desert track in Arizona attracts huge crowds and is the most attended and loudest tournament in golf.

It’s most famous for the 16th hole - a par 3 surrounded by stands rammed full of rowdy spectators in the mood to party ahead of Super Bowl weekend.

Numerous wagers are exchanged on nearest the hole and whether players hit (cheers) or miss (pantomime boos) the green.

For the golfers themselves, it’s a smart move to embrace the chaos and even throw jerseys or other memorabilia into the stands.

Perhaps, as a result, American players dominated but after 14 wins in 16 years for home players, the last two editions have gone to Canada’s Nick Taylor and Belgium’s Thomas Detry.

Detry roared home by seven shots to win with 24-under but usually the champion shoots something between 16- to 19-under.      

Last 5 Winners of the WM Phoenix Open

Course Notes

• TPC Scottsdale is a par 71 that measures 7,261 yards

• It’s described as a links-style desert track

• The course features overseeded Bermuda greens 

• The weather forecast looks good with temperatures in the 70s and little wind

• Low round: 60 Phil Mickelson, Mark Calcavecchia, Grant Waite, Nick Taylor  

Favorites to win the WM Phoenix Open 2026

Scottie Scheffler (+220) at FanDuel Sportsbook

With seven wins in his last 13 PGA TOUR starts and two wins in the last four editions of this event, it’s no wonder to see the World No.1 at such a short price. That said, he was just +260 last year and only finished 25th so nothing is ever absolutely certain in golf. But those two wins here along with third and seventh either side suggest that Scheffler has every chance of making it 2-for-2 in 2026 after he opened his campaign with a four-shot victory at The American Express.

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Xander Schauffele (+1700) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Shock, horror… Xander Schauffele has missed a cut. After racking up 72 in a row - a wonderful effort - the Californian came up short at Torrey Pines after rounds of 73-69. Don’t worry, it’s eight years since he missed two in a row. At TPC Scottsdale, Schauffele is the money and six appearances have yielded six top 20s. The highlights were second in 2021 and third in 2022 while he was also 10th on his most recent visit in 2023.

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Cameron Young (+2500) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Young went up a gear in 2025, finally winning his first PGA TOUR title when lapping the field to win by six at the Wyndham Championship last August and then finishing as the USA’s joint-top points scorer on his Ryder Cup debut at Bethpage. After a break, he returned to action with a solid 22nd at Torrey Pines last week and now he’ll hope to kick on at a course where he’s posted 12th (2025) and eighth (2024) in the last two editions and is 4-for-4 overall.

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Back Brooks for the Win 

Brooks Koepka’s return to the PGA TOUR made huge headlines but his first start back resulted in a rather low-key tied 56th at last week’s Farmers Insurance Open.

That was hardly a surprise though given that he’d missed his last three cuts at Torrey Pines. 

He doesn’t like the greens there and it proved a self-fulfilling prophecy as Koepka finished last for Strokes Gained: Putting.

By contrast, he loves the smooth, quick surfaces at TPC Scottsdale where he’s twice lifted the trophy - on debut in 2015 and again in 2021 (also third on his most recent start in 2022).

So, let’s have ourselves a story.

After getting four rounds under his belt, back Brooks to come back with a bang and take the trophy here for a third time at attractive odds of +5000 with BetMGM.

He loves the wild atmosphere in Phoenix and his long game looked in good shape at Torrey Pines.

If Koepka putts well, he can join Phil Mickelson and Mark Calcavecchia in winning this event for a third time.

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Fowler to Outscore Spaun

We’re 2-for-2 in 72 hole match bets this season and will hope to keep that run going this week by siding with Rickie Fowler to beat J.J. Spaun.

Fowler is a clear ‘dog here at +100 via bet365 Sportsbook, and that represents an opportunity.

The Californian has a storied history in Phoenix with a win in 2019, a pair of second places and a fourth.

He’s been more patchy of late - as has his career - but he added another top 10 in 2023.

Spaun played well on debut but in five starts since his Scottsdale form reads: 50-47-MC-MC-WD.

In addition, the US Open champion has had a sticky start to the season with 40th at the Sony and a missed cut at Torrey Pines. He lost strokes on Approach and with the putter in both.

Fowler’s only start in 2026 produced a top 20 at La Quinta so there’s enough there to think he can get the better of Spaun.

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Knapp for Top 10

Jake Knapp landed us a tasty Top 10 bet at +500 last week thanks to fifth place at Torrey Pines.

So let’s leave some chips on the table and make the same bet here at a slightly reduced +450 with BetMGM.

Knapp, who also finished 11th at last month’s Sony Open, lives a short drive from the course and, on current form, he can improve his two finishes here so far (28th and 44th).

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How to Watch the WM Phoenix Open 2026

• Tournament: WM Phoenix Open

• Location: TPC Scottsdale, Scottsdale, AZ 

• Date: Thursday, February 5 - Sunday, February 8

• How to Watch: Thursday-Friday 3.30 p.m.-7.30 p.m. (Golf Channel), Saturday noon-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-6.30 p.m. (CBS), Sunday noon.-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-6 p.m. (CBS). And all four days on Sky Sports