La Liga 2020/21 Relegation Prediction, Odds and Picks

La Liga Relegation

  • Huesca, Elche and Cadiz have come up from the second division
  • The promoted clubs are favorites to go down, but Eibar, Levante and Osasuna could be vulnerable
  • Valladolid and Alaves could also be set for a season of struggle

La Liga Relegation Odds

RelegationOdds
Elche-154
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Huesca-154
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Cadiz-139
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Eibar+130
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Levante+300
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Osasuna+350
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Valladolid+400
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Alaves+500
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Granada+1000
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Celta Vigo+2500
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Real Betis+2500
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Getafe+2500
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Expect the odds to change soon since La Liga now started. Check back on WSN for the latest odds.

La Liga Relegation Predictions and Picks

Huesca may have edged out Cadiz in the race for the Segunda Division title in 2019/20, but the former is more likely to go down. They lost 14 games last season and must tighten up significantly if they are to remain clear of danger. Play-off winners Elche will need to do similar, and they might also suffer from having only recently ended the previous campaign.

Promoted clubs have fared rather well in recent years, but Elche and Huesca could be set for an immediate return to the second flight. With some of last season’s strugglers – namely Real Betis and Celta Vigo – likely to improve this time around, back Valladolid to join them in falling through the trapdoor.

Pick:

Valladolid +400

How to Watch La Liga

La Liga Information
What2020/21 La Liga season
WhereSpain
When12 September 2020 – 23 May 2021
How to WatchbeIN Sports

Cadiz, Huesca, and Elche Will Be up Against It From the Get-Go

Despite ultimately finishing second, Cadiz was the first team to earn promotion to La Liga last season. They scored only 50 goals last season, an average of 1.19 per game and only five more than relegated Numancia, but that did not prevent them winning a spot among the cream of Spanish soccer for the first time in 14 years. Their last stint in La Liga lasted for a solitary season, but there is reason to believe they can do better this time around.

Cadiz was tough to play against the last term and ended the season with the best defensive record among the top-half finishers. They look capable of grinding out wins in the top tier, with Alvaro Cervera’s counter-attacking game plan likely to catch certain opponents cold. Alvaro Negredo is in the autumn years of his career but offers vital top-level experience upfront.

As previously mentioned, Huesca lost a third of their matches last season – a huge amount for a title-winner. They did win more games than anyone else in the division, but victories will be much harder to come by in La Liga. Michel is an astute manager but staying up could be beyond him and Huesca.

The same can be said of Elche, who ended the regular season in sixth before winning the play-offs. A late surge propelled them into the promotion picture after spending much of the season in mid-table, and they will hope to carry that momentum over into the new campaign. However, the fact they will start the season two weeks later than others due to their participation in the playoffs means they will be playing catch-up right from the start, and that will do them no good psychologically.

Eibar, Levante, and Osasuna Could All Be Involved Down the Bottom

Eibar has done tremendously well ever since winning promotion to La Liga in 2014. Most expected the tiny club from the Basque Country – for a measure of their size, consider that their Ipurua stadium holds around 8,000 fans at full capacity – to go straight back down, but they continue to defy the odds six years on.

Eibar is now entering their seventh successive season at this level, but there will surely come a time when Los Armeros succumb to relegation. A relegation battle could be on the cards this season, but Eibar showed enough last season to suggest they will survive once again.

After back-to-back 15th-place finishes, Levante rose to 12th last time out. They are one of those teams who can never feel completely secure in their status as a La Liga club, but Paco Lopez has instilled a fighting spirit that should bring them another year in the division.

Osasuna finished in the top half in 2019/20, having only won promotion back to La Liga the previous campaign. They will hope to ward off second-season syndrome, the term used to describe sides that struggle to repeat their initially triumphant return to the top flight, but the underlying numbers from the last term – they had the eighth-highest xG in the league – suggests their 10th-place finish was deserved.

Alaves and Granada Should Stay Clear of Trouble but Valladolid Might Not

Granada was the surprise package of last season, avoiding a relegation scrap upon their return to La Liga and going on to finish as high as seventh. Their defensive solidity stands them in good stead for this campaign, although Diego Martinez’s side will need to improve their away record if they are to finish in the top half once again.

Such a feat may be beyond them, but Granada has plenty of quality in their squad and it is difficult to envision them being involved in a relegation fight, as indicated by the long odds on them suffering demotion to the Segunda Division.

Alaves finished just three points above the dreaded dotted line last season. A run of seven defeats in their last nine games threatened their top-flight status, but in the end, the Babazorros scraped over the line. Another season of struggle looms for Alaves, whose fans may be reduced to hoping there are three teams worse than theirs.

One side who may well finish below Alaves and in the bottom three is Valladolid. They may have finished 13th last season but that position does not tell the full story of their campaign which featured more than its fair share of negative moments. Only two teams scored fewer goals than Valladolid last time out, and a failure to significantly improve their attacking output could see the club that is owned by Ronaldo finish in the bottom three.

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Greg Lea

Expert on Soccer

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts.



Email: greg.lea@wsn.com