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Best MLB Bets Today: Pitching Highlights Today's Slate of Games

Written by: Michael Savio
Published April 3, 2024
10 min read
Best MLB Prop Bets Today 04 03 2024

We have a couple of great afternoon matchups we love from today’s slate of MLB games. The first features the Kansas City Royals taking on AL East favorites-Orioles team. The second is a battle between NL powers as the Phillies and Reds square off. 

Below, we will break down both of our favorite bets today. We’ll share the latest odds from BetMGM Sportsbook, predictions, and picks.

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Best MLB Bets Today: Royals vs. Orioles (1:05 PM EST)

Orioles -1.5 (+125 at BetMGM Sportsbook)

Baltimore has lived up to the hype early in 2024, thanks partly to the pitcher they’ll have on the mound tonight. Corbin Burnes will get the start for the O’s, looking to build on a dominating opening-day performance. Burnes dominated the Angels in that appearance, allowing one run on one hit and striking out 11 across six innings. The ace has been one of the best pitchers in baseball over the last few seasons, and he continues to look that part in Baltimore.

Burnes will have a great chance to replicate his opening-day performance as he faces a weak Royals lineup. Kansas City has one of the best young hitters in baseball, Bobby Witt Jr., but it lacks the depth to support him. That will play a significant role tonight as they face Burnes. They haven’t seen the former Brewer often but have a combined average of .140 across 50 at-bats.

The Royals will have Cole Ragans on the mound tonight. The 26-year-old struggled badly with the Rangers but thrived after being traded to Kansas City at last year’s trade deadline. He started 2024 strong, delivering a quality start against the Twins. However, Ragans will face a far better offense today. Look for him to regress, leading to a lopsided win for Baltimore.

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Best MLB Bets Today: Reds vs. Phillies (1:05 PM, EST)

Phillies ML (-190 at BetMGM Sportsbook)

While this isn’t a great price, the Phillies' offensive struggles make the run line too risky. We like the Phillies to overcome their slow start tonight because of Zach Wheeler. The ace has been one of the best pitchers in baseball over his last five seasons, and he played like it in his first start of 2024. Wheeler threw six scoreless innings against a great Braves team. He worked with ease, though the Phillies bullpen lost the game. The veteran will be up again with another talented lineup this afternoon, and he sees him delivering another impressive performance.

The Reds will have Frankie Montas on the mound today. The veteran picked up a win in his first start, throwing six scoreless innings against the Nationals. While the Phillies have been struggling at the plate, this lineup is far better than Washington. While Montas is a solid rotation arm, he doesn’t have the dazzling stuff that can challenge some of the league’s top hitters. He'll make mistakes, which will give the Phillies bats the life they desperately need. 

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Under 7.5 runs (-105 at BetMGM Sportsbook)

While Montas will give up some runs, we don’t see this game getting out of control. Wheeler and Montas will go at least six innings, limiting the damage done. Both bullpens are good enough to keep things under control, which will lead to a low-scoring game.

The Reds and Phillies have a ton of great bats, but the pitchers will come out on top today.

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Michael Savio

423 Articles

Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.

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