Happy Friday, baseball bettors!
Soar into the weekend with our three favorite baseball plays for tonight’s MLB slate.
Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees
- Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
- Moneyline: Red Sox +190, Yankees -208
- Run Line: Red Sox +1.5 (-115), Yankees -1.5 (-100)
- Total: Over 8 (-105), Under 8 (-115)
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My pick: Boston Red Sox ML (+190)
It’s profitable to fade Gerrit Cole. The Yankees are 19-11 in Cole starts this season but for -2.11 units of profit, giving us a -7% ROI.
Plus, it’s a great time to fade him now.
First, the Yankees clinched the AL East last night with an extra-innings win over Boston. I’m banking on either A) some hangovers in the clubhouse or B) Aaron Boone resting multiple starters.
Second, Cole has always struggled against the Red Sox. He’s pitched 55 innings against Boston in a Yankee uniform with an ERA over 5.00 while having allowed 12 home runs. Rafael Devers has taken him deep six times alone.
The Red Sox are the inferior team with the inferior pitcher, but they provide value at +190 today.
Catch more of our daily MLB picks
San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies
- Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
- Moneyline: Padres -165, Rockies +140
- Run Line: Padres -1.5 (-105), Rockies +1.5 (-115)
- Total: Over 11.5 (-105), Under 11.5 (-115)
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My pick: San Diego Padres ML (-165)
The Padres are playing some of their best baseball at the best time. They’ve won five of their last six games by a combined score of 30-9. The pitching has been spectacular and the bats have been red-hot.
They now face Ryan Feltner, who the Rockies continually are forcing onto the big league mound every five days. Feltner’s stuff is set up more for a middle relief role but the Rockies lack arms they can rely on. So, Feltner gets the start despite a 6.19 ERA.
I’ll take the Padres to pick up another win.
St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers
- Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
- Moneyline: Cardinals +144, Dodgers -172
- Run Line: Cardinals +1.5 (-138), Dodgers -1.5 (+116)
- Total: Over 8.5 (-110), Under 8.5 (-110)
Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook.Bet $5 and get $150
My pick: St. Louis Cardinals ML (+144)
The Cardinals haven’t clinched the division yet. It’s almost over, but they have a few more games to win before they can cruise to the postseason.
This is a great spot to pick up a win against a Dodgers team that has already clinched the top seed and is just resting players for October.
Moreover, the Cardinals are the best left-handed hitting team in baseball (per wRC+) while the Dodgers see about a 10% reduction in run production against southpaws. We have two left-handed pitchers on the mound in Jose Quintana and Andrew Heaney.
The Cardinals provide good value at this number.
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Tanner McGrath
Expert on Baseball
Tanner has been betting daily for a decade, and he has joined the World Sports Network team to handicap his first love – baseball. He’s been in the content industry for almost five years now, having written about everything from Canadian Football to College Basketball for outlets like The Action Network and Forbes. He’s a former Division-I alpine ski racer (in Canada) who now obsesses over good beer and betting home underdogs.
