Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Backing the Mets and Brewers on Monday’s Short Schedule

Written by: Bryan Zarpentine
Published July 1, 2024
4 min read
Best MLB Prop Bets Today 2024 07 01

Monday's MLB schedule is quite the anomaly with just three games on the schedule. Obviously, that gives us fewer options for making our prop bets. However, it does help us to look closely at two of the games on the schedule and try to find the bets with the most value. That's what we've tried to do, so we're not making excuses about the short schedule. The odds for Monday's bets are from Caesars Sportsbook, which is giving new users up to $1,500 in bonus bets if they get their first wager wrong.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Mets vs. Nationals (6:45 PM, EST)

David Peterson Under 17.5 Outs Recorded (-119) at Caesars

At first glance, Peterson should be set up for a good game against the light-hitting Nationals on Monday. He's made five starts this year since returning from the IL in late May and is 3-0 with a 3.67 ERA. However, three of his five outings have been five innings or less. Peterson has walked eight batters over his last two starts, limiting him to just 10.1 innings during that stretch. If his control remains an issue, he’s going to have a problem going deep into this game. Surprisingly, Peterson has some rough numbers against several Washington hitters, which also points to a brief and disappointing outing.

Mark Vientos Over 0.5 RBI (+172 at Caesars)

While Vientos has never faced Washington starter MacKenzie Gore before, he has crushed lefties all year, betting .358 with a 1.103 OPS against them. He’s also been one of the hottest hitters on the Mets lately and is rocking a .932 OPS on the season. Equally important, he has eight RBI in his last six games, failing to drive in at least one run in just one of those six games. With Starling Marte injured, Vientos has moved up in the lineup, giving him more RBI opportunities. He’s also a candidate to drive himself in with a home run, something he’s done four times in the last six games. With these odds, Vientos is a great player to target on Monday.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Brewers vs. Rockies (8:40 PM, EST)

Austin Gomber Over 3.5 ER (+116) at Caesars

No matter how many games are on the schedule, we’re going to be fading Gomber every chance we get. Gomber has allowed at least four runs in four consecutive starts, so there’s no reason to think that trend is going to stop now. Oddly enough, Gomber’s ERA at Coors Field this year is much lower than his ERA on the road. But that seems like something that will start to even out because it just doesn’t make sense. Meanwhile, the Brew Crew has won six of seven, making them a team that’s poised to do some damage after getting to Coors Field.

Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Total Bases (-129) at Caesars

Most fans may not know the 20-year-old Chourio just yet, but he’s become a huge factor for the Brewers. He has a seven-game hitting streak that includes four extra-base hits and three multi-hit games. That makes him an excellent candidate to record multiple bases on Monday in his first game at Coors Field. With a struggling Gomber on the mound, there is no reason to think Chourio won’t stay hot, which is why we’ll accept modest odds for him to record multiple bases.

Christian Yelich Over 0.5 RBI (+126) at Caesars

Yelich had been in an RBI slump until he drove in two runs on Sunday. More importantly, he bats third in a lineup that’s expected to score plenty of runs against Gomber and the Rockies on Monday. Yelich should have some RBI opportunities in this game, more than enough to justify taking a chance with these plus odds. Frankly, if the Brewers have the type of game against Gomber we’re expecting, it’d be surprising if Yelich didn’t have an RBI.

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Bryan Zarpentine

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
MLB
NCAAB
NFL
Online Sports Betting
Bryan Zarpentine is a 2008 graduate of Syracuse University and has been working as a freelance writer and editor since 2010. During that time, he has contributed to countless sites while covering baseball, soccer, the NFL, college football, and college basketball.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Arts
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