Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Pitching Props Galore on Wednesday

Written by: Bryan Zarpentine
Published July 3, 2024
5 min read
Best MLB Prop Bets Today 2024 07 03 Reds Andrew Abbott

There are almost too many valuable prop bets available on Wednesday. We could have selected far more than five that we liked. Hopefully, we ended up with five that end up paying off. The focus for Wednesday is on pitching, although not necessarily the bets and the pitchers you might think we’d target. However, we see a lot of value in these odds, which are from Caesars Sportsbook, a reputable sportsbook that’s offering new users a risk-free bet of up to $1,000.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Reds vs. Yankees (7:05 PM, EST)

Andrew Abbott Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+106) at Caesars

Abbott has been wildly erratic with his strikeout totals this year, making him a challenging pitcher to target with this kind of bet. Just two starts ago, the lefty compiled 10 strikeouts against the Red Sox. But he’s also been limited to four strikeouts or less in six of his last nine starts. That includes three starts when he had just two strikeouts. With the Yankees being one of the toughest teams in the majors to strike out and Abbott not a good candidate to go deep in this game, we think he’ll be limited to four strikeouts or less.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Astros vs. Blue Jays (7:07 PM, EST)

Ronel Blanco Under 2.5 ER (+106) at Caesars

Blanco’s track record this season and his 2.49 ERA speak for themselves. The caveat is that he allowed at least three runs in two of his five starts in June. But that’s the reason why we’re getting plus odds on this bet. Blanco has also limited opposing teams to one run or less in three of his last four starts. It’s not hard to envision him having a strong outing against a Toronto lineup that’s been overall disappointing this year. Plus, all of the hitters on Toronto’s roster are a combined 2 for 34 (.059) against Blanco. That’s a good indication that he’ll have another dominant outing.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Padres vs. Rangers (8:05 PM, EST)

Jon Gray Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (-117) at Caesars

On the season, Gray has a solid 3.77 ERA. But if you look at his career numbers against San Diego’s hitters are atrocious. The entire roster is a combined 31 for 87 (.356) with an OPS of 1.037. The likes of Manny Machado and Jake Cronenworth have strong career numbers against Gray, who has allowed four hits or less in five of his last seven starts. However, Gray has also had a couple of stinkers lately, allowing nine runs on 11 hits against the Mets and eight runs on nine hits against the Orioles. Given his poor track record against San Diego’s top hitters, Gray is likely to give up plenty of hits against the Padres.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Rays vs. Royals (8:10 PM, EST)

Michael Wacha Under 2.5 ER (-133) at Caesars

You might say we're officially on Wacha’s bandwagon. In his two starts since returning from the IL, Wacha has allowed just two runs over 10.1 innings. That’s now seven straight starts in which he’s held teams to two runs or less. He’s had two awful starts this year, inflating his 3.91 ERA a little, but has been remarkably consistent otherwise. Wacha also has excellent career numbers against most of Tampa’s hitters, which is why we think he’ll continue to hold teams to two runs or less.

Randy Arozarena Under 0.5 Hits (+178) at Caesars

Arozarena is one of those hitters who has struggled against Wacha throughout his career. He’s just 2 for 13 (.154) in his career against Wacha. Keep in mind that Arozarena is also batting a mere .196 on the season. That makes him a good candidate to go hitless, especially with such lucrative odds. Even with five hits in his last four games, we’re comfortable betting against Arozarena because he simply hasn’t been consistent enough this year to make us think he can keep his four-game hit streak going given his poor history against Wacha.

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Bryan Zarpentine

Sports Betting Analyst

Online Sports Betting
Bryan Zarpentine is a 2008 graduate of Syracuse University and has been working as a freelance writer and editor since 2010. During that time, he has contributed to countless sites while covering baseball, soccer, the NFL, college football, and college basketball.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Arts
Favourite Sportsbook: BetMGM Sportsbook
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