With the NFL season here, it’s a sign that the baseball season is winding down. While Monday Night Football is back, let’s not forget about the baseball slate on Monday. There is plenty of value to be found, which is why we picked five prop bets with plus odds.
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Late in the season, Sanchez has become a strikeout machine. In three straight starts, he’s recorded at least seven strikeouts. That includes a start last month in which he notched eight strikeouts in just 5.2 innings. While his strikeout rate could dip at any moment, keep in mind the Rays rank sixth in the majors in strikeouts. That’s a good indication that Sanchez will continue to miss bats and end up with a high strikeout total.
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Skenes is usually a pitcher to target with strikeouts, but the most value for him in Monday’s game is under 4.5 hits. He’s held opposing lineups to four hits or less in three of his last four starts, which is a good sign that the light-hitting Marlins will have difficulty getting over that threshold. Granted, Miami has scored 19 total runs over the past two games. But that’s not likely to continue, especially since nobody in Miami’s lineup has ever faced Skenes before. Plus, the Pirates are watching his innings count, which means Skenes won’t go beyond five or six innings, making it a little easier to limit the Marlins to four hits or less.
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Perez has slumped a little late in the season, but there is still value in targeting him on Monday. He has a favorable matchup against lefty Carlos Rodon. In his career, Perez is 10 for 23 (.435) with three extra-base hits against Rodon. He’s also batting over .300 with a slugging percentage of .500 against lefties this year. Facing Rodon could be exactly what Perez needs to break out of his slump, so we’ll take a chance on him on Monday.
Soto has had back-to-back hitless games, but that’s not enough to dissuade us from targeting him on Monday. Against Kansas City starter Brady Singer, Soto is 2 for 5 with a double. Also, Soto has still managed to go over 1.5 total bases in four of his last nine games despite not being at his best. With a favorable matchup, he’s more than capable of coming up with multiple hits or an extra-base hit. Given the light schedule on Monday, we’re comfortable going with a familiar face like Soto.
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Freeman is another hitter with a favorable matchup on Monday. He and the Dodgers will face Kyle Hendricks, who is having a dreadful season. In his career against Hendricks, Freeman is 5 for 14 (.357)with four walks. Surely, Hendricks will know that Freeman is a hitter he’s struggled to get out in the past, making him more likely to pitch around the veteran first baseman. Freeman is also a disciplined hitter who is willing to be patient, as he’s taken a walk in four of his last six games. As for Hendricks, he’s covered 11.1 innings across his last three starts, walking six batters. That’s just one of many problems he’s had this season, which makes us think Freeman is going to draw at least one walk in this game.
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