Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Fading Some Familiar Faces on Tuesday

After a modest start to the week, we’re ready to get things cranking on Tuesday. We’ve toned down our aggressiveness just a little in search of bets that we think are going to hit but still hold value. As it turns out, that’s led us to fade several notable players.

The odds for Tuesday’s bets are from bet365 Sportsbook, which is giving new users a choice between a safety net of up to $1,000 on their first bet and $200 in bonus bets for making a $5 bet on their first wager. Claim your bonus of choice by using our promo code WSN365 and following our exclusive bet365 link.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Rays vs. Phillies (6:40 PM, EST)

Taj Bradley Over 2.5 ER (+100) at bet365

It was surprising to see Bradley with plus odds to give up just three runs or more. He’s allowed at least three runs in each of his last seven starts. He had a dreadful month of August in which he posted a 10.41 ERA. To his credit, Bradley struck out 10 over seven innings in his last start. But he still ended up giving up four runs. The only real advantage he has on Tuesday is the fact that nobody on the Phillies has faced him before. Despite the Phils scoring just three total runs in their last two games, they have a lineup that can do damage against Bradley.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Mets vs. Blue Jays (7:07 PM, EST)

David Peterson Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-140) at bet365

Peterson doesn’t have a lot of high-strikeout performances this year, but he’s fresh off an 11-strikeout performance against the Red Sox last week. He’s topped 4.5 strikeouts just three times in his last six starts. However, he’s pitched at a high level and gone deep into games, so reaching the five-strikeout threshold isn’t that hard to believe. Keep in mind the Blue Jays struck out 14 times in Monday’s loss to the Mets, which makes us think Peterson can continue to rack up strikeouts in consecutive starts.

J.D. Martinez Under 0.5 Hits +140) at bet365

Despite putting together a three-game hit streak since getting back from paternity leave, Martinez is batting just .214 in September. He’s been clutch for the Mets lately but isn’t particularly hot at the moment. Martinez also faces a tough matchup on Tuesday because he’s 1 for 12 in his career against Toronto’s Chris Bassitt. While Bassitt isn’t having his best season, there’s no reason to think that he won’t be able to continue his dominance against Martinez, who looks due for a hitless game.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Padres vs. Mariners (9:40 PM, EST)

Randy Arozarena 2+ Total Bases (+160) at bet365

The Mariners have a tough matchup against Yu Darvish on Tuesday. Several Mariners have awful numbers against Darvish in their careers, but Arozarena isn’t one of them. He’s 2 for 3 with a home run in his limited at-bats against Darvish. Arozarena has also hit 2+ total bases in three of his last four games, going 6 for 17 with two doubles and a home run during that stretch. He’s arguably the most dangerous hitter in Seattle’s lineup right now, so he’s set up to shine against Darvish.

George Kirby Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (-105) at bet365

Kirby’s limited history against San Diego’s hitters is a little troubling. As a team, the Padres are a combined 11 for 29 (.379) against Kirby. The 26-year-old has also endured plenty of ups and downs during the second half of the season, posting a 6.84 ERA in August. In fact, if you go back to late July, Kirby has allowed at least six hits in six of his last eight starts. Even when he’s kept opposing lineups under wraps, he’s conceded plenty of hits. While the Padres have lost three of their last four games and haven't been at their best lately, they have more than enough quality hitters to do some damage against Kirby.

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