We managed to turn a profit on Tuesday with two of our three wins coming via pitchers. We’ve decided to lean on pitchers again on Wednesday with the hope of similar success. In fact, we’ll be leaning heavily toward big-name pitchers who we think are going to have a strong outing.
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Wheeler is the first pitcher we’re targeting on Wednesday, as he looks to win his 15th game of the year and add to his Cy Young resume. Over his last two outings, he’s allowed just one run on six hits across 13 innings of work. Obviously, the margin of error with this bet is low, but Wheeler has held teams to one run or less in four of his last seven starts. He’s also facing a light-hitting Tampa lineup that’s averaging just 2.8 runs per game over its last six games, so they should be especially vulnerable against a pitcher like Wheeler.
If there is one player in Tampa’s lineup that Wheeler needs to watch closely it’s Diaz. While it’s a limited sample size, Diaz is 3 for 6 in his career against Wheeler. He also has four multi-hit games in his last six games, going 10 for 25 (.400) during that span. Diaz also has a pair of home runs and a double during that six-game stretch. Even against Wheeler, Diaz has a chance to stay hot, giving us great value with this bet.
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We were prepared to go over 5.5 strikeouts with Woo on Wednesday, so we’re absolutely going to take over 4.5 strikeouts with plus odds. This number is lower than expected because the Padres have the fewest strikeouts in baseball. But Woo is up for the challenge. For starters, he’s pitched at least six innings in six of his last seven outings, giving him more time to collect strikeouts. He’s also hit five strikeouts in six of his last seven starts, reaching at least six strikeouts in five of those starts. Even against a tough San Diego lineup, Woo can reach five strikeouts.
Turner has kicked things into gear over the past few days, going 5 for 13 with a pair of doubles and four walks over his last four games. He’s surely feeling better at the plate while the Mariners are gaining confidence in him. Turner is also 3 for 4 with a home run in his career against San Diego starter Michael King. That’s a small sample size, but it’s enough to put faith in Turner to stay hot and get one measly hit on Wednesday. For a player with his track record, these odds are too good to ignore.
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Snell is the final pitcher we’re targeting on Wednesday. He’s had some unusual performances lately, including his last outing when he was pulled after one inning because his pitch count was high. Nevertheless, since the start of July, Snell has allowed one run or less in eight of his 11 starts. The Brewers aren’t an offensive juggernaut and are averaging just 2.6 runs per game over their last five games. They aren’t a strong candidate to do much damage against Snell, who should be well-rested after throwing just one inning in his last start, putting him in a position for a successful start on Wednesday.
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