Best NRFI Bets Today: Continue to Fade the New York Yankees Offense

After successfully cashing the NRFI in their previous contest, we go back to the well on Thursday as the New York Yankees and Texas Rangers are set to face off against another pair of productive arms. Later in the afternoon, we turn our attention towards the Los Angeles Angels and Athletics as Tyler Anderson has the opportunity to sustain his high level of play by neutralizing the A’s struggling offense.

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Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees - Nathan Eovaldi vs. Carlos Rodon (12:35 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Another productive pitcher is set to take the mound for the Texas Rangers with Nathan Eovaldi getting the starting nod for Thursday’s contest against the New York Yankees. Eovaldi has been dominant this season as he currently leads the AL in WHIP while averaging an ERA of 1.61, a FIP of 2.19, and more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched. The Rangers back end also helps limit the amount of variance in his starts as their defense ranks fifth in Defensive Efficiency.

With Eovaldi’s high level of individual production on the mound, negative regression looms large over the Yankees star studded offense. Especially with the top of their order struggling to make contact at a competitive rate as Ben Rice and Trent Grisham both average less than one Hit per game. Should Eovaldi shut down just one of their first two batters, then that drastically reduces the chances of reigning AL MVP Aaron Judge bringing them home.

On the other side of the field, Carlos Rodon finds himself in a far more favorable position to succeed as the Yankees pitchers faces off against a Rangers lineup who ranks below league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage. Their struggles on offense are poised to persist as Rodon excels at avoiding contact by averaging less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched while generating a WHIP of 0.989.

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Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics - Tyler Anderson vs. Luis Severino (3:35 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (+105) at FanDuel Sportsbook

After getting off to a hot start to the season, the Athletics offense have started to fall back down to reality as their lineup currently ranks below league average in On Base Percentage, RBIs, and in Total Runs Scored. Even though the A’s still rank in the top half of the board in Team Total Hits, Shea Langeliers and Lawrence Butler have underwhelmed in the top of their order as both players currently average less than one Hit per game.

Against Tyler Anderson, Langeliers and Butler will continue to struggle with generating Hits as the Los Angeles Angels pitcher excels at keeping opposing runners off the bases by avoiding contact. In his nine starts, Anderson averages an ERA of 3.04, a WHIP of 1.093, and less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched. While his high Walk Rate is a cause for concern, it’s worth noting the A’s offense also ranks in the bottom half of the board in Bases on Walks.

Like Anderson, Luis Severino is also in a position to put together a dominant performance as the Athletics pitcher battles it out against an Angels offense who ranks below league average in the same previously mentioned metrics. Even when supported by an underwhelming defense, Severino still possesses more than enough individual production to keep a clean sheet in the first inning as he averages a FIP of 3.56 and less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies - Ranger Suarez vs. German Marquez - Expect the Philadelphia Phillies to open up the scoring in the first inning against the COlorado Rockies for the second night in a row as they face off against German Marquez who currently averages an ERA of 8.78, a WHIP of 1.825, a FIP of 4.84, and over one Hit Against per Inning Pitched.

• Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox - Cade Povich vs. Lucas Giolito - The Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox have the opportunity to get into scoring position from the opening pitch as they face off against a pair of pitchers who struggle with avoiding contact while generating a WHIP higher than 1.400.

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