Best NRFI Bets Today: Fade the White Sox Against Seth Lugo

After struggling to find his footing in his last two starts, positive regression looms large over Seth Lugo as he faces off against the Chicago White Sox who grade out poorly in most offensive metrics.

At the same time as their opening pitch, we turn our attention towards San Diego and Milwaukee with both lineups battling it out against a pair of arms who create Whiffs at a high rate.

Looking for more MLB betting insights? Check our selection of the Best MLB Home Run Predictions Today.

Best NRFI Bets for Wednesday, May 13

Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook, one of the best US sportsbooks. Use our BetMGM bonus code WSNSPORTS during the sign up and get the following welcome offer: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets*.

*21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Promotional offers not available in Mississippi, New York, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.

If you are in a state where BetMGM Sportsbook is not yet legal, we recommend trying Kalshi, one of the best prediction markets in the US. Sign up using Kalshi promo code WSN to get a $10 bonus after making 100 contracts.

Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox - Seth Lugo vs. Noah Schultz (7:40 PM, EST)

With Seth Lugo on the mound, the Chicago White Sox struggles on offense are poised to persist as the Kansas City Royals pitcher excels at avoiding contact.

Under 0.5 Run (-100) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After failing to play at a competitive level last year, the Chicago White Sox struggles on offense have carried over into this season, ranking below league average in Hit Rate, RBIs, and in Runs Scored. Their lack of production brings in a high amount of negative variance into their contests, lowering their chances of winning and keeping them firmly anchored at the bottom of the AL Central odds board.

In an AL Central divisional matchup against the Kansas City Royals, the White Sox struggles on offense will be on full display as they battle it out against Seth Lugo who is averaging an ERA of 3.21 and a FIP of 2.70. While his high WHIP is noteworthy, the White Sox inability to make contact will help brush aside regression, improving the probability Lugo keeps a clean sheet in the first inning.

Locked into a pitchers duel with Lugo is Noah Schultz, a productive arm in the White Sox rotation who is averaging less than one Hit Against and nearly one Strikeout per inning. With his back end ranking near the top of the board in Defensive Efficiency, expect Schultz to match Lugo’s output while taking advantage of a Royals lineup who also grades out poorly in the same previously mentioned offensive metrics.

Join BetMGM Sportsbook Today

San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers - Michael King vs. Jacob Misiorowski (7:40 PM, EST)

Expect Jacob Misiorowski to aggressively boost his Cy Young winner odds by completely shutting down a San Diego Padres offense that severely struggles to string together hits.

Under 0.5 Run (-100) at BetMGM Sportsbook

In just the second year of his career, Jacob Misiorowski has turned into a viable contender for the NL Cy Young award, averaging an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 0.955. Misiorowski’s success on the mound stems from his Whiff Rate, leading the NL in Strikeouts.

Heading into Wednesday night, expect Misiorowski to put together a dominant performance by relentlessly attacking a San Diego Padres lineup who ranks dead last in Contact Rate. Especially with his back end narrowing the width of the Padres gaps in the outfield with their coverage, surrounding Misiorowski with a defense who resides in the top half of the board in Fielding Percentage.

On the other side of the field, the Padres roll out Michael King who has also had a productive start to his year, averaging an ERA of 2.76 while generating less than one Hit Against per inning. With the Brewers nearly matching the Padres in Hit Rate, expect King to continue to avoid contact while throwing over the plate and exit the first inning without conceding a Run.

Get Your BetMGM Bonus Code

Best YRFI Bets Today

• Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros - Bryce Miller vs. Lance McCullers Jr - Expect the Seattle Mariners to round back into form and open up the scoring early on against the Houston Astros as they face off against Lance McCullers Jr who is averaging an ERA of 7.41 and a WHIP of 1.500.

• Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins - Max Meyer vs. Simeon Woods Richardson - With Simeon Woods Richardson giving up over one Hit Against per inning, the Miami Marlins will be able to get into scoring position from the opening pitch as their lineup ranks in the top-12 in Hit Rate and in On Base Percentage.

Make Your Bet at BetMGM