Best NRFI Bets Today: Back Tarik Skubal Against the Athletics

With Tarik Skubal on the mound, negative regression looms large over the Athletics, battling it out against a Cy Young winning arm who creates Whiffs at a high rate. Unsurprisingly, his dominant metrics keep him firmly atop the current Cy Young odds. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards Cleveland and Minnesota with the Guardians facing off against a productive arm who excels at avoiding contact.

Looking for more MLB betting insights? Check our selection of the Best MLB Home Run Predictions Today.

Best NRFI Bets for Monday, July 6

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Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers - J.T. Ginn vs. Tarik Skubal (6:40 PM, EST)

Expect the Athletics red hot bats to cool off against the Detroit Tigers as they face off against Tarik Skubal who has been dominant since returning from injury.

Under 0.5 Run (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

When at full health, Tarik Skubal has been efficient, averaging an ERA of 3.15, a WHIP of 0.914, and a FIP of 3.11. Skubal’s success on the mound stems from his power and pin point accuracy, generating more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched.

Against the Athletics, Skubal will be able to keep them out of scoring position by taking advantage of a lineup who has steadily dropped down the board in Runs Scored and in RBIs the past few weeks of play. Especially with Skubal’s back end excelling in coverage, surrounding the former Cy Young winner with an outfield who ranks in the top-10 in Fielding Percentage.

In an attempt to match Skubal’s production, the A’s roll out J.T. Ginn who has also been productive this season, averaging an ERA of 3.04 while giving up less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched. With the Tigers ranking below league average in Hit Rate and in On Base Percentage, expect Ginn to exploit their struggles at the plate while creating Strikeouts at a higher rate and hold them scoreless in the first inning.

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Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins - Joey Cantillo vs. Taj Bradley (7:40 PM, EST)

The Cleveland Guardians struggles on offense are poised to persist against Minnesota, battling it out against Taj Bradley who concedes Hits at a low rate.

Under 0.5 Run (-125) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After losing their last two games in a row, the Cleveland Guardians odds of winning the AL Central have declined, now sitting in second place in the division standings. Their lack of production on offense has been a constant thorn in their side, ranking in the bottom half of the board in Hit Rate, RBIs, Runs Scored, On Base Percentage, and in OPS. As a result of this recent slump, their AL Central odds have taken a noticeable hit.

Unfortunately for the Guardians, their struggles on offense will be on full display against the Minnesota Twins as they face off against Taj Bradley who is averaging an ERA of 3.86 and a FIP of 3.92 in 16 starts. Even with Bradley’s back end struggling in coverage, his individual production will neutralize the Guardians at the plate, increasing his chances of keeping a clean sheet.

On the other end, Joey Cantillo is projected to get the start for the Guardians, a productive arm who is averaging an ERA of 3.86 while generating less than one Hit Against per inning. With his back end ranking above league average in Defensive Efficiency, expect the Twins to struggle to find the gaps in the outfield while trying to barrel up the ball, leading to an early exit in the first inning.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - Michael Lorenzen vs. Justin Wrobleski - With Michael Lorenzen on the mound, the reigning World Series champions will be able to get off to a hot start as they face off against Michael Lorenzen who is averaging an ERA of 6.91, a WHIP of 1.814, and a FIP of 4.81.

• Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres - Zac Gallen vs. German Marquez - Arizona has a great opportunity to round back into form against San Diego’s German Marquez, battling it out against an arm who is averaging a FIP of 6.54 while supported by a defense who ranks in the bottom fifteen in Defensive Efficiency.

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