Best NRFI Bets Today: Expect Abbot to Take Advantage of the Mariners Woes on Offense

After a slow start to the year, the Cincinnati Reds Andrew Abbott has a great opportunity to round back into form by taking advantage of the Seattle Mariners struggles with making contact. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the St. Louis Cardinals and Los Angeles Angels with a pair of productive arms set to take the mound.

Looking for more MLB betting insights? Check our selection of the Best MLB Home Run Predictions Today.

Best NRFI Bets for Monday, July 20

Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook, one of the best US sportsbooks. Sign up today with BetMGM bonus code WSNSPORTS and claim your welcome offer: Get up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets.

*21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Promotional offers not available in Mississippi, New York, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.

If you are in a state where BetMGM Sportsbook is not yet legal, we recommend trying Kalshi, one of the best prediction markets in the US. Sign up using Kalshi promo code WSN to get a $10 bonus after making 100 contracts.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners - Andrew Abbott vs. George Kirby (9:40 PM, EST)

With Andrew Abbott creating Whiffs at a high rate, expect the Seattle Mariners to continue to be held off the bases while struggling to barrel up the ball.

Under 0.5 Run (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

It has been a turbulent first half of the season for the Cincinnati Reds Andrew Abbott, kicking off his 2026 campaign with an ERA of 4.11 and a WHIP of 1.419. An unfortunate start when factoring in how well Abbott excels at avoiding contact, giving up less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched.

Luckily for Abbott, he will be able to find his footing against the Seattle Mariners by exploiting a lineup who ranks near dead last in Hit Rate and in On Base Percentage. Especially with Abbott’s back end lowering the probability of him getting burned by an Error in the off chance the Mariners do make contact, surrounding him with a group who ranks above league average in Defensive Efficiency.

Facing off against Abbott is George Kirby, a reliable arm in the Mariners rotation who is averaging an ERA of 3.76 and a FIP of 3.33. With the Reds grading out equally as poor as the Mariners in the same previously mentioned metrics, expect Kirby to neutralize their bats at the plate by generating Strikeouts at a higher rate and keep a clean sheet in the first inning.

Use Code WSNSPORTS at BetMGM for $1,500 Bonus

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels - Kyle Leahy vs. Jose Soriano (10:10 PM, EST)

To avoid falling further down the AL West division standings, the Los Angeles Angels must take advantage of Jose Soriano’s start against the St. Louis Cardinals. Securing a win in this matchup is crucial to keeping their AL West odds from slipping any further.

Under 0.5 Run (-105) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Jose Soriano has been a steady source of production for the Los Angeles Angels, averaging an ERA of 3.49 and a FIP of 3.98. Soriano’s success stems from his high Whiff Rate, generating more than one Strikeout while giving up less than one Hit Against per inning.

In a favorable matchup against the St. Louis Cardinals, expect Soriano to continue to play at a high level by attacking an offense who ranks below league average in Hit Rate, RBIs, Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage. Even with his back end struggling in coverage, Soriano is able to mask it by putting the Cardinals in low quality contact scenarios, forcing them into ground outs at a high rate.

On the other side of the field, Kyle Leahy is projected to get the start for the Cardinals, bringing with him a surgical arm that is averaging an ERA of 3.73 in 18 starts. While his inability to punch out is alarming, positive regression looms large over Leahy as he faces off against an Angels lineup who leads the league in Strikeout Rate.

Claim $1,500 Bonus Offer at BetMGM

Best YRFI Bets Today

• Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees - Braxton Ashcraft vs. Ryan Weathers - Expect the Pittsburgh Pirates to open up the scoring in the first inning as they face off against Ryan Weathers who is averaging an ERA of 4.15 while supported by a defense who ranks in the bottom ten in Fielding Percentage.

• New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers - Freddy Peralta vs. Jacob Misiorowski - Against Freddy Peralta, the NL Central division leaders will be able to get into scoring position from the opening pitch, battling it out against an arm who is averaging an ERA of 4.66, a WHIP of 1.438, and a FIP of 4.39. This high-stakes matchup is already shaking up the latest NL Central odds.

Join BetMGM and Get Up to $1,500 First Bet Offer