After fading the Houston Astros Hunter Brown in Monday’s slate, we go back to the well in their matchup against the Blue Jays as another one of our favorite fade targets takes the mound in game two of their series. We then turn our sights towards a NL West showdown between the Diamondbacks and Dodgers as both offenses are in a position to succeed from the opening pitch. For more information about the YRFI market and what factors make them worth a wager, take a look at our breakdown of what are YRFI bets.
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After targeting the YRFI in the first game of their series, we go back to the well by taking the YRFI in game two as both offenses are in a position to start the scoring early. Especially with the Astros rolling out Spencer Arrighetti who has been a routine fade target for our daily YRFI series as he continues to underwhelm in his 2024 campaign. Arrighetti takes the mound with an ERA of 5.68 and a WHIP of 1.600.
Arrighetti’s struggles on the mound bodes well for the YRFI, especially with Toronto’s offense needing every bit of help they can get in their efforts to round back into form after a rough start to the year. While they have managed to climb back up to league average in On Base Percentage at the midway point of the season, the Blue Jays still rank below league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, and Total Runs Scored.
As for the Astros, their offense continues to maintain their high marks in the same previously mentioned metrics off the bats of their elite top of their order. Jose Altuve has swiftly climbed up the board for most Total Hits this season, closing the gap on current leader Luis Arraez. With Altuve’s speed on base, the Astros have a good chance to bring him home with Alex Bregman and Yordan Alvarez elite blend of power and contact ability following after him.
Every bit of their offensive production will be on display against the Blue Jays Jose Berrios as he struggles with avoiding contact due to his inability to punch out. With just 75 Total Strikeouts and 89 Hits Allowed in 17 games played, Berrios will be under pressure from the jump as he faces off a lethal trio of contact hitters. His defense will struggle to mask his FIP of 4.96, especially since they rank below league average in Defensive Efficiency.
Bet on Over 0.5 Run (-108) at FanDuel
After the conclusion of our first YRFI, we turn our sights towards a NL West matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Los Angeles Dodgers. The Diamondbacks were projected to be the closest contender to dethroning the Dodgers for the NL West division title, yet started the year near the bottom of the standings and have had to dig out of a hole ever since.
Should they want to continue to salvage their season, then their offense will need to continue to play at a high rate as they currently rank well above league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. Luckily for them, the Dodgers Bobby Miller will present them an opportunity to continue to succeed as he enters the contest with an ERA of 6.75, a WHIP of 1.650, and a FIP of 5.46.
On the other side of the field, the Dodgers vaunted top of their order are in a position to continue to terrorize opposing pitchers with current MVP betting favorite Shohei Ohtani kicking things off. Especially with Ryne Nelson taking the mound for the Diamondbacks, entering the contest with an ERA of 5.69, a WHIP of 1.574, a FIP of 4.45, just 46 Total Strikeouts, an astonishing 89 Total Hits Allowed, and 43 Earned Runs Against.
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