The Los Angeles Dodgers enter the All Star break with a seven game lead for first
The Dodgers Tyler Glasnow has been put on the 15-day injured list with a lower back injury
The San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks are tied for second in the NL West standings
Even though the Dodgers have a firm lead for first place in the NL West division standings, they are as vulnerable as ever after listing another big name on their injury report. Former NL Cy Young contender Tyler Glasnow is the latest big name to hit the injury report, being put on the 15-day injured list after it was reported he is dealing with a lower back injury.
While his actual timetable for a return is unclear, the Dodgers suffered another major blow to their defense in his absence. Fortunately for them, they boast enough depth and firepower on offense to mask their loss of defensive production. Even while creeping up the standings, it’s tough to see either the San Diego Padres or Arizona Diamondbacks jump over them as they have glaring weaknesses that hold them back from being a well rounded unit.
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Speaking of injuries, the San Diego Padres are dealing with their own after it was announced star slugger Fernando Tatis Jr would need to miss an undisclosed amount of time with a leg injury. While it seemed like it would be a lengthy absence, it was recently announced that he is on a fast track to make his return which bodes well for the Padres in their efforts to stay in wildcard contention.
With Tatis in their lineup, the Padres offense has been one of the best units in the league as they rank well above league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. Even without him, the Padres top of the order remains dangerous with league leading Total Hits contender Luis Arraez as their leadoff man. Should the Padres become buyers and bolster their defense, then they may become a live contender in the second half of the season.
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Like the Padres, the Diamondbacks field a similar identity as they excel on the offensive end while their lack of defense continues to be a thorn in their side. Entering the All Star break, the Diamondbacks rank near the top of the board in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage, but near dead last in Team Total Pitching ERA and Defensive Efficiency.
Should the Diamondbacks become buyers and target their weaknesses on defense, then they will also become a live contender in the second half of the season. Especially if you managed to buy the Dodgers to win the division at the start of the season, giving us plenty of room to hedge around while guaranteeing a profit. Until then, continue to fade them for the division title as the Dodgers still boast enough depth to put them in a tier above them.
Bet on Arizona Diamondbacks (+3000) at FanDuel
Once looking like their season was over after an abysmal start to their year, the San Francisco Giants managed to turn it around and are in contention for a wildcard spot. The reason for their recent success stems from their turnaround on the offensive end, going from near dead last to above league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage.
The issue for the Giants, much like the Diamondbacks and Padres, is that they also rank near dead last in Team Total Pitching ERA and Defensive Efficiency. To make matters worse, they recently lost Jung Hoo Lee to a season ending injury after a collision with the wall in the outfield. Lee was a productive batter for the Giants offense, now leaving them prone to falling back down the board should they fail to recoup his loss of production.
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While the Padres, Diamondbacks, and Giants are all still within range of the Dodgers entering the All Star break, the Colorado Rockies are an astonishing 22 games back with one of the worst records in the league. Not only are they out of division title contention, but a playoff berth seems unfathomable as well as they are 16 games back from the last wildcard spot.
A major reason for their struggles stems from the defensive end as they rank dead last in Defensive Efficiency and Team Total Pitching ERA. Their offense has actually managed to be competitive with a high contact rate, but their hits are far and few inbetween as their Runs Scored and RBIs crash down to well below league average. With no chance of turning it around in their near future, avoid any sort of wager on the Rockies in the division futures market.
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Even while the injuries continue to rack up, the Dodgers season long outlook continues to look bright as they boast more than enough depth to maintain their current lead at the top of the NL West standings. Especially with their stars avoiding season ending surgeries, welcoming them back later in the year at some point before the start of the playoffs.
While their Team Total Pitching ERA mark has steadily regressed, their offensive production more than makes up for it as they rank near the top of the board in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. Current NL MVP favorite Shohei Ohtani continues to lead the charge while former Total Hits leader Freddie Freeman and speedster Will Smith round out an elite top of their order. While their NL West price is still too steep, their World Series odds may be worth a wager should they continue to dip.
Bet on LA Dodgers (-1600) at BetMGM
History looks to potentially repeat itself as the Dodgers are the heavy favorite to win their third NL West division title in a row. That would be five titles in the past six years with only the San Francisco Giants dethroning them back in 2021. The San Diego Padres are the closest to contending against the Dodgers as of writing, but are already a handful of games back and ranked below them across numerous metrics on both sides of the field. The Arizona Diamondbacks are also surging up the board, but do not have the defense to sustain season long success. Barring a catastrophe, expect the Dodgers to capture their 22nd NL West title and pad their lead for most NL West titles in the division.
Year | Winner |
---|---|
2023 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
2022 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
2021 | San Francisco Giants |
2020 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
2019 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
When making any type of wager, it’s important to know how to read the listed odds. Especially for a heavy favorite like the Los Angeles Dodgers as the minus sign (-) indicates that you would need to tie in $1,600 to win $100 at -1600 odds. Should you like one of the underdogs instead like the San Diego Padres at +2500, then a $100 wager would profit you $2,500 should they win the NL West.
Having access to multiple sportsbooks is important in more ways than one. Each book has their own listed odds, giving you the ability to line shop. That is especially vital when wagering on a massive favorite like the Dodgers, getting them anywhere from -1600 at BetMGM to -3000 at FanDuel. That is a difference of $1,400 in a tied up wager while returning the same amount of profit.
Each book also has their own unique new user sign up bonus, giving their users a huge head start with bonus bets heading into the start of the MLB regular season. FanDuel Sportsbook for example is giving new users $200 in bonus bets for simply creating an account and winning their first bet of at least $5 wagered. Be sure to wager the $5 on a heavy favorite immediately after signing up, maximizing your chances of winning the bet and collecting the $200 in bonus bets.
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