Boston Red Sox vs NY Yankees Predictions, Odds, Picks

Written by: Tony Garcia
Updated October 14, 2022
5 min read
Boston Red Sox Vs New York Yankees
  • Yankees with all the momentum entering game three
  • Shaky pitchers could lead to high scoring game
  • X-factors to watch

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees  Prediction and Picks

The Yankees are riding high but the Red Sox are desperate. The teams see each other just one more time this season, at the end of September in New York. In the end, Pivetta is clearly the pitcher you can trust more, so we will take the Red Sox moneyline and the over.


Red Sox Moneyline

Garcia’s 2021 record: (46-43-2)

Trends to Watch

  • Red Sox are 16-6 in their last 22 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
  • Red Sox are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter
  • Red Sox are 2-10 in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record
  • Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 road games
  • Red Sox are 0-7 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter
  • Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. a team with a winning record
  • Under is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 road games
  • Over is 7-3-1 in Red Sox last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record
  • Yankees are 37-17 in last 54 head-to-head games at home
  • Red Sox are 11-4 in the last 15 meetings
  • Yankees are 13-3 in their last 16 Wednesday games
  • Yankees are 17-5 in their last 22 games as a favorite
  • Yankees are 17-5 in their last 22 games vs. a right-handed starter
  • Yankees are 21-8 in their last 29 overall
  • Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games as a home favorite
  • Under is 11-4 in Yankees last 15 vs. a team with a winning record

How to Watch Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Information
Teams Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees
Location Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Time Wednesday, August 18, 7:00  p.m. EST
How to watch ESPN, YES Network, MLB.TV

Surging Yankees Look to Put Finishing Touches on Sweep

Three weeks ago, the sky was falling in New York and Boston was looking to hold off Tampa Bay for the division lead. Fast forward just more than 20 games and the bitter rivals find themselves in a three-way tie for the wild card spots along with Oakland after a huge day in the Bronx.

Yesterday, New York swept a double-header, taking game one 5-3 and game two 2-0.

The two sides went back and forth in the opener, but RBI singles by Luke Voit and Giancarlo Stanton put the Yankees ahead for good.

Fast-forward to game two and it was the same two getting in on the action. Voit went yard in second, Stanton touched ‘em all in the fourth and the Yankees completed the sweep.

In part, they’ve been so good in recent weeks because they’re able to win the nail-biting games — they are an MLB leading 44-23 in games that are decided by two runs or fewer.

Boston, meanwhile, falls to 7-14 in its last 21 games and is very much looking at the possibility of missing the postseason altogether. However, if they can take game three, avoid the sweep and leave New York with a one-game lead they would certainly take that.

Which Pitchers Will We See In This Game

Neither team has an ace on the mound and with both having up and down seasons, it can feel a bit uneasy knowing what to expect in this game.

Nick Pivetta has been good, but not great for Boston. He comes into the contest 9-5 on the season, with a 4.20 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, and 139 strikeouts in 124.1innings.

On the one hand, he’s been great the past two starts. He threw six shutout innings against the Blue Jays on August 7th before giving up just one run in six innings in a victory over the Orioles.

Before that he’d been in a funk, going fewer than five innings in four of his last six starts and having just one quality start in that stretch that lasted more than a month.

Andrew Heaney counters for the Yankees and he’s been even more of a roller coaster — and quite frankly at times has just flat out struggled. The 30-year-old lefty is 7-8 and has a 5.78 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 21 starts.

In three starts in August he’s 1-1 with an ERA of 9.00, giving up 15 runs in 15 innings — including seven earned runs in five frames in the ‘Field of Dreams’ game.

Plenty of reasons to believe there will be runs.

X-factors to Watch

The Yankees have nobody who is a true ‘x-factor’ because their roster is littered with All-Stars from top to bottom. So, we’ll talk about red-hot Aaron Judge — who is 10-of-22 this week, with three home runs and 10 RBIs.

The same is pretty much true for Boston, though we like Bobby Dalbec to have a nice series finale. He went 1-for-2 in the double-header opener Tuesday before sitting Game 2 and has been destroying the ball recently: 8-of-17 with three home runs and 11 RBIs over the last week.

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Tony Garcia

Sports Betting Analyst

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Tony writes about baseball for after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.
Nationality: American
Education: M.A. in Journalism
Favourite Sportsbook: ClutchBet Sportsbook
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