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After a week off, the NASCAR Camping World Truck Series heads for Las Vegas Motor Speedway for the second race of the 2021 season. Team owner Kyle Busch is set to race his own truck at his home track.
Friday night’s Victoria’s Voice Foundation 200 will be contested over 134 laps (201 miles), with stage breaks scheduled after 30 and 60 laps. John Hunter Nemechek is the defending winner of this race. Christian Eckes is the most recent winner at the 1.5-mile track.
When Kyle Busch fails to win a NASCAR Camping World Truck Series race, it’s the exception rather than the rule—particularly in the last four years. Since NASCAR limited the NASCAR Cup Series stars to five Truck starts per season, Busch has won 12 of the 20 races he has entered.
At Las Vegas Motor Speedway, Busch has three victories in five starts at his home track, most recently in the second race of 2020. And as a Sin City native, the driver of the No. 51 Kyle Busch Motorsports Toyota has a special incentive to win this race.
The problem is that the odds on Busch don’t make it worth your while to bet on him. He’s posted at -120 via DraftKings Sportsbook, and that’s a hard number to swallow, considering that there are 35 other drivers in the race.
Accordingly, we would recommend avoiding Busch and finding a more attractive betting option.
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A viable alternative to Kyle Busch might just be under the same roof. John Hunter Nemechek is back for another year in the No. 4 KBM Tundra as the defending regular-season series champion.
What’s more, in last year’s spring race at Las Vegas, Nemechek picked up the first of his five 2021 victories, beating his team owner to the finish line by .686 seconds.
Nemechek and Busch are driving equal equipment—after all, their trucks come from the same shop. Under the circumstances, it’s unreasonable to think Busch is five times more likely than Nemechek to win Friday night’s race.
That’s why we like Nemechek at +400, a vastly better payoff than Busch offers, given the slim margin between the two drivers.
When Kyle Busch enters a Truck Series race, he skews the odds for everyone else in the field. That’s why defending series champion Ben Rhodes is listed at +1500 via DraftKings, tied with Zane Smith as fourth choice of the oddsmakers.
But Rhodes deserves better. He’s a former Las Vegas winner with seven top-10 finishes in his 10 starts at LVMS. In those 10 races. Rhodes has completed 1,363 of a possible 1,374 laps—finishing on the lead lap in all but two cases—so it’s highly likely he’ll be contending at the end.
Last time out at Vegas, in last year’s fall race, Rhodes was runner-up. At very favorable odds, we think he’s worth a bet in Friday night’s event.
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Event Information | |
Race | Victoria’s Voice Foundation 200 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series race |
Location | Las Vegas Motor Speedway |
Time | Friday, March 4, 9 p.m. ET |
How to Watch | FS1 |
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Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association. Email: [email protected]
More info on Reid Spencer
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