76ers vs. Warriors Prediction: Injuries a Problem for Philly?

Written by: Grant Mitchell
Published January 30, 2024
5 min read

The Philadelphia 76ers (29-16) are heading out to the West Coast to take on the Golden State Warriors (19-24) in the Chase Center on Tuesday night.

The Sixers could be without Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey, and Tobias Harris, as only Harris played in their game on Monday evening. Meanwhile, the Warriors are back to full strength but are facing increasing pressure to break up their dynasty core and try to turn their season around.

Here, we will go over the betting odds and share our favorite pickles for the 76ers vs. Warriors matchup on Tuesday.

76ers vs Warriors Predictions

76ers vs. Warriors Betting Odds for Tuesday, Jan. 30

The Warriors are favored by 3.5 points at home. The implication from these odds is that the oddsmakers don’t believe Embiid, and potentially one of Maxey or Harris, will play.

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Philadelphia 76ers +3.5 (-110) +135 Over 235.5 (-115)
Golden State Warriors -3.5 (-110) -160 Under 235.5 (-105)

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The 76ers are one of the five best teams in the league at full strength. They have the third-best net rating, are awesome on offense and defense, and have the MVP frontrunner heading their efforts.

With the full complement of its roster, Philly is nothing short of dominant. It can play with pace in transition, let Embiid go to work in the mid-range or restricted area, or get to a variety of actions on the perimeter that lead to efficient offense.

The Sixers also terrorize whoever they face defensively. They hold opponents to the lowest three-point percentage (34.1%) and give up the third-fewest “open” shots (nearest defender 4-6 feet away) per 100 possessions. That’s on top of leading the league in steals and blocking the fourth-most shots per game.

Embiid leads the league in scoring at 36.0 points per night to go with 11.4 rebounds, 5.8 assists, and 1.8 blocks. He hasn’t played since last Thursday but scored 30+ points in 22 straight games.

The Sixers are only 3-9 and 0-2 in their last two games without Embiid in the lineup this season. Their last win without the reigning MVP came on January 12 when they beat the Sacramento Kings by 19 points.

Philly has the third-best road net rating (+3.8 points per 100 possessions) but is also on a three-game losing streak with every loss occurring on the road.

The Warriors are in one of the roughest stretches of their franchise’s last 10 years. They had excuses for years that they missed the playoffs because of long-term injuries suffered by their stars, but there are no such escapes or scapegoats this time around.

At 19-24, the Dubs are 12th in the Western Conference and two spots out of a Play-In Tournament berth. They lost 10 of their last 14 games and haven’t won back-to-back games since December 23.

Golden State’s shortcomings in the final scoring column are also felt in their performances against the spread. While Philly is 28-17 ATS (and 5-7 without Embiid), the Warriors are just 20-22-1, meaning they cover in 47.6% of games.

On a positive note, the Dubs seem to have solved their offensive issues. They scored the third-most points per 100 possessions in January despite struggling massively on the offensive end earlier in the campaign.

At the same time, no team allowed opponents to score more points per possession than Golden State since the calendars turned. Their 125.6 defensive rating is 3.5 points worse than the six-win Detroit Pistons, and they gave up an average of 127.3 points over their last 12 outings.

The Warriors struggled to keep control of the ball for the majority of the season but are up to seventh in turnover percentage in January. Their ability to withstand the defensive onslaught the Sixers will levy will play a major role in deciding the final outcome.

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76ers vs. Warriors Prediction and Betting Pick

 This game is tough to call since at the time of writing, the statuses of Philly’s three best players are unknown.

The Warriors rank 18th in points in the paint allowed and give up the fifth-most free-throws per game, while Philly ranks ninth in paint points and first in free-throw attempts and makes per game.

If Embiid plays, there’s no doubt that the Sixers are our pick—but even if he doesn’t so long as Maxey and Harris are active, we like the visitors as an underdog. Their defensive intensity can go a long way toward slowing down a team that has come into its own on scoring the ball recently.

Wait until the injury report comes out to officially place any bets here, but know that we like the Sixers as long as two of their three stars play.

How to Watch 76ers vs. Warriors

  • When: Tuesday, Jan. 30 @ 7:00/10:00 p.m. PT/ET

  • Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

  • TV: TNT

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Grant Mitchell

Sports Betting Analyst & On-Air Host

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Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field. In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor in Sports Media and Analytics
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