Malik Beasley Round One Score Under 21.5 points (-122) at FanDuel
Beasley lit the world on fire from three this season, shooting 44.9% from range on 6.4 attempts per game. However, he is predominantly a catch-and-shoot player who benefits greatly from playing alongside Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard, whose gravity forces defenders to shrink off Beasley.
In a contest format where contestants are picking balls up off a rack, we don’t trust Beasley to be one of the best shooters in the field. He also isn’t too far removed from three straight seasons of shooting below 40% from three, and we could see some of that creep out this weekend.
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Karl-Anthony Towns Round One Score over 20.5 (-114) at FanDuel
Towns is one to sing his own praises, and he often refers to himself as the greatest shooting big man ever. He won the three-point shootout in 2022 and made 43.6% of his 5.2 attempts per game this season for the west-leading Minnesota Timberwolves.
The event favors players who usually don’t fall into cold streaks and can find a rhythm. Towns is exactly that type of player and already has proof of concept with his win from a couple of seasons ago, which is why his line (lower than most other contestants) is flat-out insulting.
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Player to Make 1+ Shot from Starry Range: Donovan Mitchell (+120) at FanDuel
The knee-jerk pick for this market is Damian Lillard, but as amazing as he is, he’s struggled from three so far. That’s why we’re looking to Donovan Mitchell, a player who can run red-hot, is used to creating his own shot, and loves to extend his range far beyond the three-point line.
Mitchell made seven shots from 30-34 feet thus far and just needs to knock down one uncontested shot from 29 feet and nine inches to cash this bet. He’ll get another chance if he advances out of the first round, but spoiler alert, we believe he will.
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Player to Advance to the Final Round: Jalen Brunson (+150) at FanDuel
Brunson, who is shooting 41.1% from three on 6.5 attempts per game as an undersized guard who typically creates his own shot, meets all of the criteria for a successful three-point shootout participant. He’s consistent, doesn’t rely on catch-and-shoots, is confident, doesn’t run cold for too long when he’s off, and is used to coming up clutch for his team.
The majority of the other contestants are flawed in some aspect, whether it be their ability, catch-and-shoot preference, lack of “microwavability,” or anything else. Brunson continually defied the odds last year and through 52 games again this season and is a solid investment here.
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Sabrina Ionescu vs. Stephen Curry Three-Point Shootout: Sabrina Ionescu (+200) at FanDuel
Stephen Curry is the greatest shooter the game of basketball has ever seen, but Ionescu is a total beast. She made 44.8% of her 7.9 attempts per game for the New York Liberty. She also scored an absurd 37 of 40 possible points during the three-point shootout last year, marking the highest total ever set by man or woman.
The two are familiar with one another and have even spent time working out together. We expect to see a great show from both but can’t ignore the value of Ionescu’s odds given what she did the last time she participated in a three-point contest.
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How to Watch NBA All-Star Three Point Contest
Event: NBA All-Star Three Point Contest
Location: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Date: 8:00 PM EST, Saturday, February 17, 2024
TV: TNT
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