Best NBA Prop Bets Today: NBA Player Props for Thursday 11/30/23

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The Los Angeles Lakers stomped the Detroit Pistons behind 35 points and nine assists from D’Angelo Russell, while Nikola Jokic’s 30-point triple-double helped the Denver Nuggets beat the Houston Rockets 134-124.

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Thursday.

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Myles Turner 2+ Threes (+116) at FanDuel

The Indiana Pacers are on pace to have the highest offensive rating in NBA history. While Tyrese Haliburton deservedly gets a majority of the credit for that, Turner’s flexibility as a three-level scorer is also a big part of that.

The Miami Heat are only 26th in three-point percentage allowed, and Bam Adebayo is so important to their overall defense that he won’t be wasted standing idly outside the three-point line guarding Turner. Expect him to get a few open looks and sink a couple of triples to continue his hot shooting for the month (38.5% in November).

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Jalen Brunson Over 24.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel

Brunson is no longer a nice young player, he is a legitimate star. He only scored 12 points on nine shots in his last game but hit the over in four of five games before that and is shooting career-highs in three-point percentage, makes, and attempts per game.

The Detroit Pistons are really struggling. Not only have they lost 15 straight games, but they’ve sacrificed defense for offense and dropped to 23rd in defensive rating. They also just let another point guard, D’Angelo Russell, score 35 points on highly efficient numbers last night, which sets Brunson up for a strong outing.

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Trae Young Over 10.5 Assists (-128) at FanDuel

Young is flying under the radar despite having arguably the best season of his career. He averages 10.4 assists per game and hit over 10.5 assists in five of 12 games this month and has a great chance to add to that tonight.

The Atlanta Hawks are facing the San Antonio Spurs, who are 27th in defensive rating and 28th in average points allowed (123.4). They also don’t start a true point guard, which should give them a theoretical advantage on defense, but that has not panned out. The Hawks also have a top-five offense and should exploit the gaps the Spurs present, leading to a great night for Young.

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Giannis Antetokunmpo Under 30.5 Points (-111) at FanDuel

We’re not betting the under because we’re fading Giannis—quite the opposite. The Chicago Bulls are cooked with this iteration of the roster and are waiting to see who will be traded first, which has resulted in them being highly uncompetitive, as seen by their five-game losing streak and with losses in eight of their last nine games.

Giannis, who went over this line in five of his last six games, has a great chance to make this game a blowout and earn himself an early rest. If that happens, he’ll have a hard time to hit the over on his total, but even if he plays his usual minutes, the Bulls play at the slowest pace in the league and will limit his overall scoring chances.

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Lu Dort Over 1.5 Threes (+150) at FanDuel

If you still haven’t seen the Oklahoma City Thunder play a game, tune into this one. Their lethal offense is built on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s ability to drive the lane and collapse the defense, which leads to kick-outs and tons of open looks for three-point shooters.

Dort, though he is not known as a knockdown shooter, is streaky and shooting 44.2% from range this month. He’s only hit the 2+ once in his last eight games but cashed the over in five straight games before that, and he’s getting a Lakers defense that is lackadaisical defending the perimeter and allows opponents to make the fifth-most threes per game. 

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