NBA Player Props and Best Bets for Tuesday 2/13/24

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Giannis Antetokounmpo’s 36 points helped power the Milwaukee Bucks past the Denver Nuggets as the defending champ’s road struggles continued, while the Minnesota Timberwolves secured the best spot in the Western Conference with a 21-point win over the Los Angeles Clippers.

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Tuesday.

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Use our FanDuel promo code for $200 in bonus bets.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 31.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel

Gilgeous-Alexander dropped 38 points on 57.7% shooting on Sunday and also scored 37 points on 65% shooting in a lone matchup with the Orlando Magic earlier this season. Although his scoring average is down slightly to the start of February, he also has s57.3/61.5/77.1% shooting splits and is scoring with ease.

The Magic are sixth in defensive rating over the last 15 games but have been hit or miss at home. The Thunder are a game behind the first-place Timberwolves and have an opportunity to get within a half-game with a win, and we expect SGA to take over as he so often does. 

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Damian Lillard Over 24.5 Points (-111) at FanDuel

Lillard is having one of the most confusing seasons of his career. He scored 18 points in 23 minutes yesterday and has seven overs in his last 13 games, following a near-perfect pattern of over, under, over, under, etc. 

Despite his inconsistency, the 33-year-old averages 1.9 more points per game at home (25.7) than when he is on the road (23.8). He also scored 25 and 32 points in two matchups against the Miami Heat, who have had decent success defending Giannis but could struggle to also account for Lillard. 

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Kevin Durant Over 6.5 Rebounds (-132) at FanDuel

Durant’s unbelievable scoring and shooting are two of many headlines of the season, but he’s become a more involved and effective rebounder as of late. He averaged 8.0 boards to start February and beat the 6.5 line in seven of his last 11 outings, including Saturday when he had 10 rebounds against the Golden State Warriors.

The Phoenix Suns are really leaning into the Durant/Devin Booker/Bradley Beal trio and playing them heavy minutes, which should give Durant enough opportunities to cash the over yet again. He’s also facing a Sacramento Kings team that doesn’t have great rebounding bigs or wings and is only 18th in rebound rate over the last 15 games.

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Anthony Edwards Under 2.5 Threes (+128) at FanDuel

Edwards went 1-11 from three against the Clippers on Monday and could not find any sort of rhythm on his shot, with many attempts looking awkward and out of sync. Tuesday is an entirely new prospect, but has gone through cold stretches before and also cashed the under in half of his last six games.

Ant-Man’s matchup doesn’t set up particularly well as he’s on the road on the second night of a back-to-back and is going against a Portland Trail Blazers team that holds opponents to the second-lowest three-point percentage (34.5%). Edwards might have a strong scoring night, but he could struggle to be effective from the perimeter.

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Cade Cunningham Over 21.5 Points (-113) at FanDuel

The Detroit Pistons are playing their best basketball of the year, and Cade scored 22+ points in back-to-back outings against strong defensive teams (the Clippers and the Trail Blazers). He’ll now face a Los Angeles Lakers team that, despite their billing, is only 18th in defensive rating over the last 15 games and is especially weak at the point guard spot.

Jaden Ivey has been on a hot scoring streak, so he should draw the Lakers’ top defenders. Cunningham will have a size advantage over the Lakers’ guards and should be able to take advantage of their fleeting defense, even though he only scored 15 points in 23 minutes when they squared off earlier in the year.

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