Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Predictions, Odds, Picks

Written by: Christian Jope
Updated October 14, 2022
4 min read
  • Miami’s two-way play is in top gear at the moment, receiving production across the board
  • Philly continues to struggle to shoot from three-point range, now hoping home court can change their fortunes
  • The Heat lead the series 2-0

Heat vs Sixers Game 3 Odds

Heat Vs Sixers Game 3 Predictions

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Head-to-Head: Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers

Philadelphia 76ers
Head-to-Head Miami Heat
Doc Rivers Head Coach Erik Spoelstra
51-31 (4th in East) Standing 53-29 (1st in East)
L-L-W-L Form W-W-W-W
113.5 (12th of 30) Off Rtg 113.7 (10th of 30)
110.8 (12th of 30) Def Rtg 109.1 (5th of 30)
96.2 (25th of 30) Pace 95.9 (28th of 30)

Leaders (Playoffs)

J. Embiid (26.2) PPG J. Butler (26.5)
J. Embiid (11.3) RPG B. Adebayo (8.7)
J. Harden (9.4) APG J. Butler (6.0)
D. Green, T. Harris (1.0) SPG J. Butler (2.5)
J. Harden, T. Harris (1.0) BPG K. Lowry (1.0)
T. Harris (.536)/J. Embiid (8.7) FG%/FGM B. Adebayo (.587)/J. Butler (9.5)
F. Korkmaz (.571)/D. Green (2.3) 3P%/3PM P. Tucker (.545)/M. Strus (2.9)

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Injury Report

Player Team Date Status Info
Joel Embiid Philadelphia 76ers 29 Apr 2022 Out (Concussion/Eye) Embiid suffered a right orbital fracture and is under concussion protocol. There is no timetable for his return.
Kyle Lowry Miami Heat 1 May 2022 Out (Hamstring) Lowry is OUT for Miami’s Monday (May 2) game.

How Can the Heat Beat the Sixers?

The Miami Heat have done an excellent job on both ends of the floor. While the Heat’s offense has had a little issue, especially through Game 2, their defensive standards need to be maintained when they’re on the road.

In Game 2, Miami were able to hold off the Sixers’ three-point game plan. Out of Philadelphia’s 30 three-point field goal attempts, they were only able to convert on 8 of them. Miami were willing to let the Sixers attack the paint, in exchange for locking down the perimeter.

If Miami can continue to control the Sixers from the perimeter, they don’t have the interior presence to trouble the Heat. Miami can continue comfortably so long as their perimeter defense stays disciplined.

Heat Key Player: (C) Bam Adebayo


Miami Heat center Bam Adebayo has been performing very well without Joel Embiid opposing him in the paint. Neither DeAndre Jordan nor Paul Reed have been able to challenge Adebayo defensively.

Through two games against the Sixers, Adebayo has averaged 23.5 points, 10.5 rebounds, and 3.5 assists, in 33.3 minutes per game. He’s shooting a very efficient 71.4% from the field, although he is committing 2.0 turnovers per game.

If Adebayo continues to go unchallenged in the paint, the Heat will find another victory for themselves in this series. Adebayo’s offensive contributions are really just a secondary benefit to his constant defensive presence.

How Can the Sixers Beat the Heat?

The Philadelphia 76ers need to find the positives from their past two losses and build on them. They’ve looked uncompetitive without Embiid in the lineup, thus their two-way play needs to be in top form.

In their Game 2 loss to the Miami Heat, the Sixers tried to pressure the ball to find extra opportunities. They forced the Heat to commit 14 turnovers to just 8 of their own, but their exuberance led to being beaten with passing. The Heat eventually shot 51.3% from the field and 48.3% from three.

If the Sixers can add a new wrinkle to their game like getting on the glass, where they were outrebounded by 10 in Game 2, they can bring new life to this series. As they are, there’s little to suggest the Sixers can claw back into this series.

Sixers Key Player: (G) Tyrese Maxey


The Philadelphia 76ers are down in a 0-2 hole, but one of their sole bright spots through the performance has been Tyrese Maxey. The second-year guard has taken a massive step forward in his role, and has flourished while doing so.

In his Game 2 performance against the Miami Heat, Maxey was unstoppable on the offensive end. He posted 34 points, 3 rebounds, and 2 steals in 43 minutes of play. He shot 54.5% from the field and made 9 of his 11 free throw attempts.

Maxey needs to keep up his scoring if he hopes to help the Sixers to their first victory of the series. Home court will help, but he needs to help create opportunities for shooters, while also helping to push the pace.

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How to Watch Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers

Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers Information
Who Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Where Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
When Friday, 7:00 PM EST, May 6th, 2022
How to Watch ESPN
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Image for Christian Jope

Christian Jope

NBA Betting Analyst

Expertise:
NBA
Betting Picks
Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.
Nationality: Canadian
Education: Bachelor of Arts (Applied Economics)
Favourite Sportsbook: FanDuel Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience:
6 years
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