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Knicks vs Heat Game 6 Predictions: New York Is Desperate to Force a Game 7

Written by: Christian Jope
Published May 12, 2023
11 min read
  • Jalen Brunson led the Knicks with 38 points in Game 5.
  • Jimmy Butler continues his all-around play, leading the Heat in scoring with 24.8 per game.
  • The Miami Heat lead the New York Knicks 3-2.

The New York Knicks and the Miami Heat have gone back and forth through their intense, defensive series. Game 5 saw the Knicks earn a hard-fought victory and force a Game 6, but it has allowed the Heat to host this game on their home court. With single-digits deciding four of their five games this series, Game 6 projects to be another tightly contested matchup.

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Knicks vs Heat Odds

Odds taken from Caesars Sportsbook

New York Knicks+5.5 (-110)
O 208.5 (-110)
Miami Heat-5.5 (-110)
U 208.5 (-110)

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Knicks vs Heat Predictions

What Happened in Game 5?

Jalen Brunson played all 48 minutes of Game 5, and it was needed for the Knicks to earn a victory. In Game 5 against the Miami Heat, Brunson posted 38 points, nine rebounds, and seven assists to propel the New York Knicks to a 112-103 victory. This win extended the series and forced a pivotal Game 6 showdown in Miami.

Despite a 19-point lead in the third quarter, New York withstood the Heat's barrage of three-pointers and held on as Miami cut the deficit to just two points. Despite sustaining an injury early on, Julius Randle contributed 24 points, and RJ Barrett added 26 to support Brunson's heroics.

After their defeat, Miami will remain confident in their team's ability to succeed, especially with homecourt advantage. Heat star Jimmy Butler was limited to 19 points, highlighting the Knicks' defensive efforts. As the series heads back to Miami for Game 6, the Knicks will have no reservations regarding player minutes, with only elimination facing them if they lose.

Key Stats from last game

The New York Knicks won the rebounding battle in Game 5 against the Miami Heat. They collected 50 rebounds to Miami's 34 while also winning on the offensive glass 14 to 11.

Despite the loss, the Heat's defense was on full display, forcing 19 turnovers out of the Knicks. Unfortunately, Miami could only capitalize by scoring five points off those 19 turnovers. On the other hand, the Knicks scored 29 points off of Miami's 12 turnovers.

The paint battle was intense, with the Heat scoring 42 points to the Knicks' 40. New York's aggression saw them get to the line 40 times, despite converting on 29 attempts.

Knicks vs Heat Game Preview

With Game 6 set to tip off on Friday night, the New York Knicks aim to force a Game 7 on the Miami Heat's home court. Still undefeated at Kaseya Center, the odds are certainly in Miami's favor. However, with momentum in their favor, the Knicks won't go down without a fight.

The New York Knicks were one of the league's better teams on the road this season. They've posted a road ATS Record of 28-17-1 while covering the spread 62.2% of the time. The Knicks have a 0.9-point margin of victory on the road with an ATS +/- of +3.0.

On their home court, the Miami Heat were successful but were unthreatening offensively. They posted a home ATS Record of 19-26-2 while covering the spread just 42.2% of the time. Miami had an average home margin of 2.2 with an ATS +/- of -1.8.

New York Knicks Team Preview

New York Knicks ATS Record: 49-39-4

The New York Knicks are looking to force a Game 7 with a win on Friday night. They'll be hard-pressed to find victory, as they've yet to find a win on the road against the Heat. If New York wants to find their first consecutive victory against the Heat, they've got a lot to consider.

The Knicks found their success in the paint in Game 5. They scored 112 points on 49.3% from the field and 38.2% from three on 13 made. Their ability to control the glass was a game-changer, allowing them to push their lead to double-digits despite Miami's late run.

New York's offense must be near-perfect if they hope to force Game 7. In a desperate situation, Knicks head coach Tom Thibodeau played guards Jalen Brunson and Quentin Grimes for 48 minutes to earn a win. They combined for 46 points, 13 rebounds, and 12 assists on 15 of 30 from the field. Randle and Barrett combined for 50 points to support their backcourt's efforts.

Miami Heat Team Preview

Miami Heat ATS Record: 39-52-3

The Miami Heat want to end the series and book their ticket to the Eastern Conference Finals. With an unbeaten record on their homecourt through the NBA Playoffs, the Heat will be confident in their ability to find a win. While their offense has had its ups and downs, the Heat has proven the ability to keep up with the Knicks in any situation.

Game 5 saw the Heat score 103 points on 42.0% shooting from the field and 30.2% from three-point range. Despite their struggles on the offensive end, the Heat stayed to their roots and were able to assist on 27 of their 37 field goal attempts. If they hope to beat the Knicks in Game 6, Miami must improve their shooting.

Already one of the league's poorer offensive teams, the Miami Heat need their reserves to support their scoring efforts. Jimmy Butler led the Miami Heat through Game 5, posting 19 points, nine assists, and seven rebounds on 41.7% from the field. Sharpshooter Duncan Robinson finally got back on track, scoring 17 points off the bench off the back of five made three-pointers.

Knicks vs Heat Game Pick

  • Spread: Miami Heat -5.5 (-110)
  • Total: Over 208.5 (-110)
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How to Watch Knicks vs Heat

  • Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
  • Game Time & Date: 7:30 PM EST, Friday, May 12, 2023
  • TV: ESPN
  • Streaming: YouTube TV, Hulu, Sling
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Christian Jope

1494 Articles

Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.

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