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Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns (Game 1) Predictions, Money Line, Picks

Written by: Christian Jope
Updated October 14, 2022
11 min read
Bucks Vs Suns Game 1
  • The Milwaukee Bucks finally return to the NBA Finals, but they may be without superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo.
  • Despite joining the team just this season, Chris Paul has led the Phoenix Suns to their first finals appearance since 1993.
  • With home-court advantage, the Phoenix Suns open as the favorites to win Game 1!

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Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns Odds

Team Point Spread Total Money Line
Milwaukee Bucks +5.5 (-110)
O 217 (-115)
Phoenix Suns -5.5 (-110)
U 217 (-105)

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Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns Predictions and Picks

Our Pick

The Milwaukee Bucks are a capable side, but they are missing a big piece with Giannis Antetokounmpo out. The Phoenix Suns play tremendous team basketball, and their stars are more than capable of stepping up. Phoenix should take advantage of their home court.

The best odds for this match

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How to Watch Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns

Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns Information
Teams Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns
Location Phoenix Suns Arena, Phoenix, Arizona
Time 9:00 PM EST, July 6th, 2021
How to Watch ABC

Head-to-Head: Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns

Milwaukee Bucks Head-to-Head Phoenix Suns
Mike Budenholzer Head Coach Monty Williams
46-26 (3rd in East) Standing 51-21 (2nd in West)
W-W-L-W Form W-L-W-L
117.2 (6th of 30) Off Rtg 117.2 (5th of 30)
111.4 (10th of 30) Def Rtg 111.3 (9th of 30)
102.2 (2nd of 30) Pace 97.2 (26th of 30)

Leaders (Per Game)

G. Antetokounmpo (28.2) PPG D. Booker (27.0)
G. Antetokounmpo (12.7) RPG D. Ayton (11.8)
J. Holiday (8.4) APG C. Paul (8.7)
J. Holiday, K. Middleton (1.5) SPG C. Paul (1.4)
B. Lopez (1.8) BPG D. Ayton (0.9)
B. Lopez (.572)/G. Antetokounmpo (11.6) FG%/FGM D. Ayton (.706)/D. Booker (9.2)
J. Teague (.500)/K. Middleton (2.6) 3P%/3PM C. Johnson (.451)/J. Crowder (2.4)

MIL: Prove Your Worth

The Milwaukee Bucks can boast one of the better Eastern Conference runs over the last ten years, missing the playoffs just four times. They even had Giannis Antetokounmpo leading them through much of this stretch, where he won two NBA Most Valuable Player Awards.

Antetokounmpo may be out for a few games in this series, but it’s obvious who their leaders are. Of their top three players in terms of plus-minus, Antetokounmpo is joined by Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday. Making up Antetokounmpo’s 28 points per game won’t be easy, but it’ll be up to head coach Mike Budenholzer to find a way.

Unlikely to go more than eight or nine players deep in Game 1 without Antetokounmpo, the Bucks need to enforce their trademark offense early. Efficient production across the board is the best way for them to overcome the loss of their star.

Bucks Key Player: (G) Jrue Holiday

The Bucks’ last two games against the Atlanta Hawks, where they had to play without Giannis Antetokounmpo for the majority, also looked like an audition for the Bucks’ first option. With the Greek Freak out, Holiday looked fantastic.

With Antetokounmpo out due to injury, Holiday averaged 26 points, 11 assists, and 7.5 rebounds per game on 46.5% shooting from the field. While he also committed four turnovers per game, Holiday’s playmaking more than made up for it.

The Bucks’ star man is still listed as day-to-day, but they seem to be in good hands with Holiday running the show. Make no mistake, the Bucks are at a disadvantage. However, Holiday has the ability to help bridge their gap in production due to injury.

PHO: Stay Flexible

The Phoenix Suns are in the NBA Finals, a statement that few expected when the 2020-2021 NBA Season began. The reason for their success has been their growth and willingness to compete on different areas of the court.

They can beat you with reliance on the scoring of their stars like Booker and Paul. Or Monty Williams can beat you from the chalkboard, as seen through their famous “Valley-Oop” victory in Game 2. Of course, they can also rely on their role players like Bridges, Payne, and Crowder who all average double-digit scoring.

The Bucks play a fast-paced game but are more than willing to fight in the halfcourt. Phoenix has shown how tough they can be, and with Antetokounmpo’s injury, the Suns look as if the series is in their favor.

Suns Key Player: (G) Chris Paul

Nobody expected that the Suns would be as good as they’ve proven to be this year. In fact, reaching the NBA Finals seemed like a pipe dream for a franchise that hadn’t made the NBA Playoffs in a decade. The key to their success is found in one player, Chris Paul.

In Phoenix’s pivotal Game 7 against the LA Clippers in the Western Conference Final, Chris Paul led the blowout. Paul posted 41 points, eight assists, and four rebounds on a fantastic 16 of 24 shooting from the field. Usually a playmaker first, Paul outdid expectations with his 41 points and even converted on 7 of 8 three-point field goal attempts.

Given it is the opening game of the series, Paul will certainly be focused on getting his teammates involved against the shorthanded Bucks. But given his offensive form, the Suns will be encouraged that Paul can always fall back on his scoring ability.

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Christian Jope

1489 Articles

Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.

Email: [email protected]

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