New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Predictions, Odds, Picks

Written by: Christian Jope
Updated October 14, 2022
5 min read
  • Coming off of a solid win, the Knicks are still clawing at a chance at Play-In position.
  • Despite recent drama, the Miami Heat sit 1st in the East and 1.5 games clear of second.
  • The Heat won their first two meetings with the Knicks this season.

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Odds

Knicks Vs Miami Heat 25 03

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Predictions and Pick

The New York Knicks are coming off of a solid win, over their Eastern Conference competition. While the Heat are on a two-game losing streak, their two-way play is still too much for the Knicks to overcome.

Pick:

Miami Heat def. New York Knicks

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Head-to-Head: New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

New York Knicks
Head-to-Head Miami Heat
Tom Thibodeau Head Coach Erik Spoelstra
31-42 (11th in East) Standing 47-26 (1st in East)
W-L-L-W Form L-L-W-W
110.0 (22nd of 30) Off Rtg 113.0 (12th of 30)
110.7 (11th of 30) Def Rtg 108.6 (6th of 30)
96.0 (26th of 30) Pace 95.8 (29th of 30)

Leaders (Per Game)

J. Randle (20.3) PPG J. Butler (21.2)
J. Randle (10.0) RPG B. Adebayo (10.2)
J. Randle (5.1) APG K. Lowry (7.7)
N. Noel (1.2) SPG J. Butler (1.7)
M. Robinson (1.8) BPG B. Adebayo (0.8)
M. Robinson (.763)/J. Randle (7.2) FG%/FGM D. Dedmon (.563)/T. Herro (7.7)
T. Gibson (.444)/E. Fournier (3.1) 3P%/3PM D. Dedmon (.472)/D. Robinson ()

Injury Report

Player Team Date Status Info
Derrick Rose New York Knicks 25 Feb 2022 Out (Ankle) Rose underwent a minor procedure on his right ankle. There is no timetable for his return.
Cam Reddish New York Knicks 10 Mar 2022 Out (Shoulder) Reddish will miss the remainder of the season after undergoing AC joint surgery.
Nerlens Noel New York Knicks 22 Mar 2022 Out (Foot) Noel hasn’t played since Feb. 7. There is no timetable for his return.
Julius Randle New York Knicks 23 Mar 2022 Out (Quad) Randle was OUT for New York’s Wednesday (Mar 23) game.
Mitchell Robinson New York Knicks 23 Mar 2022 Out (Back) Robinson was OUT for New York’s Wednesday (Mar 23) game.
Tyler Herro Miami Heat 23 Mar 2022 Out (Knee) Herro was OUT for Miami’s Wednesday (Mar 23) game.
Gabe Vincent Miami Heat 23 Mar 2022 Out (Toe) Vincent was OUT for Miami’s Wednesday (Mar 23) game.

How Can the Knicks Beat the Heat?

The New York Knicks are outmatched in almost every category against the Miami Heat, but they’ve shown in recent wins that their team play can dismantle defences. If they want to beat Miami, the Knicks need to be aggressive from the tip.

In their last game, a win against the Hornets, New York shot 51.8% from the field and 44.4% from three-point range. They were able to outscore the Knicks 40-24 in the first quarter, and never looked back.

New York will face a much tougher defence in the Heat this time out, so they’ll need to push the pace to avoid their halfcourt pressure. Despite one of the league’s best three-point defences, New York will need to find a way to convert from range to keep pace.

Knicks Key Player: (G-F) RJ Barrett


With each passing day it looks like RJ Barrett will be the one to lead the New York Knicks to an exciting future. In his last game, a win over the Charlotte Hornets, Barrett showed that he’s more than capable of taking on a leadership role.

Barrett is coming off of a performance where he posted 30 points, 3 rebounds, and 3 assists. On top of his solid shooting from deep, 3 of 7, Barrett hit 7 of his 8 free throw attempts.

The Miami Heat are the type of team that can give Barrett a lot of issues. Unless his shooting game is on point, the Heat will smother him on all of his drives. Barrett’s playmaking will be just as crucial as his scoring in this matchup.

How Can the Heat Beat the Knicks?

The Miami Heat are a better team than the New York Knicks. However, through their last two games the Heat have struggled to sort out their defence. They must improve in that area to beat the Knicks.

Over the course of their past two losses, the Heat have allowed their opponents to shoot 50.9% from the field and 41.1% from three-point range. Many of their struggles stem from their inability to rebound the ball, losing the battle on the boards by an average of 11.0 over their last two.

The Knicks own an explosive offence, so Miami must tighten the screws on the defensive end if they hope to win the game. If they can’t control the Knicks early, they’ll have a tough time holding them off.

Heat Key Player: (F) Jimmy Butler


Jimmy Butler has always been a polarizing figure for his teams, but emotions seemed to boil over in his last game. Despite the incident, Butler still performed admirably in light of the loss.

In his last game, a loss to the Golden State Warriors, Butler posted 20 points, 5 rebounds, 3 assists, and 2 steals in 40 minutes of play. While his shooting can be inconsistent, he more than makes up for it with his defensive effort.

Butler will need to be the one to organize the Heat’s defence against New York’s dangerous inside-outside attack. If he can control the Knicks from the point of attack, the Heat can put the Knicks to bed early.

How to Watch New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Information
Who New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat
Where FTX Arena, Miami, Florida
When 8:00 PM EST, March 25th, 2022
How to Watch Bally Sports Sun, MSG, NBA League Pass (Stream)
Image for Christian Jope

Christian Jope

NBA Betting Analyst

Expertise:
NBA
Betting Picks
Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.
Nationality: Canadian
Education: Bachelor of Arts (Applied Economics)
Favourite Sportsbook: FanDuel Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience:
6 years
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