NBA Southwest Division Winner Predictions, Odds & Best Bets 2024

Written by: Christian Jope
Fact-checked by: James Whitelock
Updated March 8, 2024
6 min read
  • The New Orleans Pelicans are the favorite to win the Southwest Division in 2024.

  • The Dallas Mavericks are the top contender to win the Southwest this season.

  • Last year's Southwest Division Champions were the Memphis Grizzlies.

The Southwest Division has been a two-team race throughout the season, but at the moment, the New Orleans Pelicans have separated themselves at the top. While some teams have taken themselves out of contention, plenty of competitors remain. Stay tuned to WSN for regular updates, offering the finest odds, predictions, and analyses as the competition unfolds for the coveted Southwest Division crown.

After a grueling few weeks since the All-Star break, the New Orleans Pelicans find themselves the favorite for the Southwest Division. Despite incredible performances from Luka Doncic, the Dallas Mavericks have struggled to find consistency and have fallen behind the Pelicans in the race for the Southwest. The Houston Rockets are still mathematically able to compete for the division crown, but it seems only a matter of time before they fall out of the race entirely.

Let's check out the bets!

2024 NBA Southwest Division Odds

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Wager $5 and get $150 in bonus bets if your first bet at FanDuel wins. Check out our list of the best NBA betting sites for more betting opportunities.

TeamOdds
New Orleans Pelicans-300
BET HERE
Dallas Mavericks+210
BET HERE
Houston Rockets+21000
BET HERE
Memphis GrizzliesN/A
San Antonio SpursN/A

WSN's Pick

Our Pick: New Orleans Pelicans to Win Southwest Division (-300) at FanDuel

While eyes have been on the success of the Thunder and Timberwolves in the Western Conference or the incredible play of Luka Doncic, the Pelicans have shown that consistency is the key to challenging for a division crown. One of the league’s top ten offenses and defenses, New Orleans has proven that their egalitarian approach to both sides of the court can pay dividends. They’re not clear at the top yet, but they gain separation from their rivals with each game.

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NBA Southwest Division Odds

Who Is the Favorite to Win the Southwest Division in 2024?

New Orleans Pelicans (-300) at FanDuel

YearRecordFinishOff RtgDef RtgPacePPGOpp PPG
2023-2437-25, 5th in NBA Western Conference -118.0 (9th of 30) 112.8 (6th of 30)98.6 (16th of 30) 116.6 (14th of 30) 111.5 (8th of 30) 

Head Coach: Willie Green

Key Players: Brandon Ingram, C.J. McCollum, Zion Williamson

Key Additions: n/a

Key Losses: n/a

The New Orleans Pelicans were on a few people’s radar coming into the season. Still, a healthy campaign and an organized two-way game plan have seen them soar from postseason hopeful to division title threat! Led by a triple threat in McCollum, Ingram, and Williamson, the Pelicans have a top-ten-rated defense backing one of the most efficient offenses in the league. Despite going 3-3 since the All-Star break, the Pelicans begin their three-game Eastern Conference road trip with a 41-point win in Toronto. They have an intimidating schedule to close out the season, but the Pelicans have proven they won’t back down en route to the Willis Reed Trophy.

Who Are the Contenders to Win the Southwest Division in 2024?

Dallas Mavericks (+210) at FanDuel

YearRecordFinishOff RtgDef RtgPacePPGOpp PPG
2023-2435-28, 8th in NBA Western Conference -118.3 (7th of 30) 117.8 (22nd of 30)100.3 (7th of 30) 118.7 (7th of 30) 118.1 (24th of 30) 

Head Coach: Jason Kidd

Key Players: Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving

Key Additions: P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford

Key Losses: Grant Williams, Seth Curry

The Dallas Mavericks made some moves to improve their team at the trade deadline, but it’s all yet to click for the Southwest Division hopefuls. Game after game, stellar performances lead them from Luka Doncic, but that hasn’t stopped the Mavericks’ inconsistent streak – going 3-5 since the All-Star break. With half of their remaining schedule against sub-.500 teams, though, don’t count out the Mavericks yet. Their defense is inconsistent, but Dallas can make a play for the Southwest Division if they can take care of business against lesser opponents.

Houston Rockets (+21000) at FanDuel

YearRecordFinishOff RtgDef RtgPacePPGOpp PPG
2023-2427-35, 12th in NBA Western Conference -112.9 (24th of 30) 113.0 (7th of 30)99.1 (14th of 30) 112.9 (21st of 30) 112.9 (11th of 30) 

Head Coach: Ime Udoka

Key Players: Fred VanVleet, Dillon Brooks, Jalen Green

Key Additions: Steven Adams

Key Losses: Victor Oladipo

The Houston Rockets surprised the league with their start to the season, challenging for the division crown and a spot in the top six. Though the campaign has worn on, it seems the Rockets have maxed out their potential. Going 3-5 since the All-Star break, the Rockets haven’t been able to mount a consistent effort. On the bright side, the future with Alperen Sengun at the center looks promising, but it’ll take some changes or a miraculous late-season run to alter their fortunes this season.

NBA Southwest Division FAQs

Who won the Southwest Division last season?

How many times has a Southwest Division team won the NBA Championship?

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Christian Jope

NBA Betting Analyst

Expertise:
NBA
Betting Picks
Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.
Nationality: Canadian
Education: Bachelor of Arts (Applied Economics)
Favourite Sportsbook: FanDuel Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience:
6 years
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