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NBA Southwest Division Winner Predictions, Odds & Best Bets 2025: Houston Climb to Second in the West

Contributors
Updated December 3, 2024
8 min read
  • The Dallas Mavericks are the favorite to win the Southwest Division in 2025

  • The Houston Rockets are the top contender to win the Southwest this season

  • Last year's Southwest Division Champions were the Dallas Mavericks

A new contender for the Southwest Division has entered the fold after Week 6 of the NBA regular season. At WSN, we're locked in on the race for the 2025 NBA Southwest Division Winner, offering the latest odds, predictions, and analyses for the 2024-25 NBA season!

For the best NBA Futures bets, WSN has you covered with betting picks and tips every day throughout the 2024-25 NBA season and playoffs! New sports bettors can use the best NBA sportsbook promos and bonuses before their favorite team tips off!

After six weeks of the NBA regular season, the Dallas Mavericks maintain their place atop the Southwest Division odds table. Right behind them are the Houston Rockets, who are second in the West after an 8-2 run. The Memphis Grizzlies are also in the running, while the San Antonio Spurs and New Orleans Pelicans are on the outside looking in.

Let's check out the bets!

2025 NBA Southwest Division Odds

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Head over to FanDuel and place your bets on the 2025 NBA Southwest Division Winner: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins. Also, check out our list of the best NBA betting sites for more betting opportunities.

TeamOdds
Dallas Mavericks+120
BET HERE
Houston Rockets+175
BET HERE
Memphis Grizzlies+300
BET HERE
San Antonio Spurs+5500
BET HERE
New Orleans Pelicans+50000
BET HERE

NBA Southwest Division Odds

The Dallas Mavericks have gone through every emotion to start the regular season, from inconsistency to injury, and the Mavericks have experienced it all. Despite that, they remain in the top five of the West, just two games back from the surging Rockets. With veteran leadership in their squad, the Mavericks are favorites as the season wears on, but don’t expect them to relax through December.

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NBA Southwest Division Odds

Who Is the Favorite to Win the Southwest Division in 2025?

Dallas Mavericks (+120) at FanDuel

YearRecordFinishOff RtgDef RtgPacePPGOpp PPG
2024-2513-8, 5th in NBA Western Conference -118.4 (4th of 30)111.9 (8th of 30) 99.1 (12th of 30) 117.9 (6th of 30)111.4 (10th of 30) 
  • Head Coach: Jason Kidd

  • Key Players: Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Klay Thompson

  • Key Additions: Klay Thompson, Spencer Dinwiddie, Quentin Grimes

  • Key Losses: Derrick Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Green

After an up-and-down start to the regular season, the Dallas Mavericks have regained their form and confidence over recent weeks. They played seven games over the last two weeks and have won six, including key wins over the Pelicans, Nuggets, and Knicks. They’re on fire offensively, averaging 124.9 points per game on 50.0% shooting. Notably, their strong performances have come with Luka Doncic out of the lineup, instead led by Kyrie Irving, who averaged 24.6 points, 6.6 assists, and 3.7 threes per game over their last two-week stretch.

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Who Are the Contenders to Win the Southwest Division in 2025?

Houston Rockets (+175) at FanDuel

YearRecordFinishOff RtgDef RtgPacePPGOpp PPG
2024-2515-6, 2nd in NBA Western Conference -112.9 (18th of 30)104.8 (2nd of 30)100.0 (7th of 30) 114.6 (11th of 30)106.3 (3rd of 30) 
  • Head Coach: Ime Udoka

  • Key Players: Alperen Sengun, Fred VanVleet, Jalen Green

  • Key Additions: Reed Sheppard

  • Key Losses: Reggie Bullock, Boban Marjanovic

The Houston Rockets have been in excellent form lately, climbing to the second seed in the Western Conference. It’s been their defense taking headlines, as they’ve generated the second-best defense in the league. The Rockets are challenging for the first seed after going 5-2 over the last two weeks. Alperen Sengun’s quality has been central to their success, coming off his first Western Conference Player of the Week award while averaging 21.3 points, 10.0 rebounds, and 6.0 assists over the last two weeks of regular season play.

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Memphis Grizzlies (+300) at Fanduel

YearRecordFinishOff RtgDef RtgPacePPGOpp PPG
2024-2514-7, 3rd in NBA Western Conference -117.0 (5th of 30)108.5 (4th of 30)104.0 (2nd of 30) 121.7 (2nd of 30) 112.9 (17th of 30) 
  • Head Coach: Taylor Jenkins

  • Key Players: Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, Jaren Jackson Jr.

  • Key Additions: Zach Edey

  • Key Losses: Derrick Rose

The Memphis Grizzlies are an exciting team. Set on being title contenders, they also boast two of the best players from this season’s rookie class. They’ve won six straight and sit third in the West, with their offense looking unstoppable over their recent run. It’s worth noting that the Grizzlies faced just one plus-.500 team over the last two weeks, but they took care of business regardless. Jaren Jackson Jr. has been their most consistent and available player this season, putting up 21.1 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 2.6 blocks per game over their last two-week run.

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San Antonio Spurs (+5500) at Fanduel

YearRecordFinishOff RtgDef RtgPacePPGOpp PPG
2024-2511-9, 10th in NBA Western Conference -113.3 (16th of 30)113.0 (13th of 30) 98.0 (18th of 30) 111.1 (20th of 30)110.8 (8th of 30) 
  • Head Coach: Gregg Popovich

  • Key Players: Victor Wembanyama, Chris Paul, Devin Vassell

  • Key Additions: Chris Paul, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle

  • Key Losses: Cedi Osman, Devonte’ Graham

Don’t look now, but the San Antonio Spurs are building something good. While they’re tenth in the West, the Spurs have a plus-.500 record, despite the absence of head coach Gregg Popovich. They’re 5-1 over the past two weeks, with impressive wins over the Thunder, Warriors, and Kings. Victor Wembanyama has been brilliant since returning from injury, averaging 28.3 points, 9.5 rebounds, 3.0 blocks, and 4.3 threes per game over San Antonio’s last four games.

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New Orleans Pelicans (+50000) at Fanduel

YearRecordFinishOff RtgDef RtgPacePPGOpp PPG
2024-254-17, 15th in NBA Western Conference -105.6 (29th of 30)118.7 (27th of 30)97.5 (23rd of 30) 102.9 (30th of 30) 115.7 (23rd of 30) 
  • Head Coach: Willie Green

  • Key Players: Zion Williamson, Brandon Ingram, CJ McCollum

  • Key Additions: Dejounte Murray, Daniel Theis

  • Key Losses: Jonas Valanciunas, Larry Nance Jr., Cody Zeller

The New Orleans Pelicans ranked last among the Southwest Division and the Western Conference. Plagued with injuries to key players, the Pelicans are winless in eight straight games. They can’t keep up on either end of the ball, but there’s light at the end of the tunnel with CJ McCollum and Dejounte Murray back from injury. It looks like another lottery year for the Pelicans.

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NBA Southwest Division FAQs

Who won the Southwest Division last season?

How many times has a Southwest Division team won the NBA Championship?

Who are the top players in the Southwest Division?

Which team has won the Southwest Division most?

Do the Southwest Division Champions receive a trophy?

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Christian Jope WSN Contributors

Christian Jope

NBA Betting Analyst

Expertise:
NBA
Betting Picks
Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: Canadian
Education: Bachelor of Arts (Applied Economics)
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Experience: 6 years
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