2020-2021 Southwest Division Winner Odds & Predictions

Southwest Division 2020

  • The Southwest Division is home to the Western Conference’s most exciting, up and coming teams!
  • After an MVP-calibre season, Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks are the favourites to win the Southwest Division.
  • Despite making their way to the Play-In Games, the Memphis Grizzlies fell short of the NBA Playoffs last season.

If you want to get a sneak peek at some of the most exciting young teams in the NBA, look no further than the Southwest Division. After the Houston Rockets won the division last season, the Dallas Mavericks look to be the favourites to take the divisional crown in 2020-2021.

In terms of potential, you can’t get more exciting than the Memphis Grizzlies and the New Orleans Pelicans. Led by reigning Rookie of the Year Ja Morant, the Grizzlies look to avenge their late-season collapse to make the 2020 Playoffs. On the other end of the division, the New Orleans Pelicans will hope Zion Williamson can carry their club after the departure of long-time point guard Jrue Holiday.

This might be the season that we see the hierarchy of the Southwest Division truly change. With stardom lying in the younger sides, the old guard of the Rockets and Spurs may need to make way.

2020/2021 Southwest Division Winner Odds

Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook, updated on April 6, 2021.

TeamOdds
Dallas Mavericks-1000
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San Antonio Spurs+1600
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Memphis Grizzlies+1600
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New Orleans Pelicans+2000
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Houston Rockets+50000
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Odds from DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or check out more offers and promo codes for the best online sportsbooks.

WSN’s Pick:

The Dallas Mavericks took a big step last season and they’re expected to continue their growth. With the dismantling of the Houston Rockets’ roster, there is little resistance at the top for the Mavericks in their pursuit of the Southwest Division’s crown.

Dallas Mavericks (-1000)

19-20 Team Performance

RecordPPGOpp PPGPaceOff RtgDef Rtg
43-32117.0 (3 of 30)112.1 (16 of 30)99.3 (18 of 30)116.7 (1 of 30)111.7 (18 of 30)


The Dallas Mavericks’ entrance in the 2020 NBA Playoffs was their first post-season appearance since the 2017 NBA season, also led by head coach Rick Carlisle. While the LA Clippers eliminated the Mavs in the first round, they rested comfortably knowing that they pushed the Clippers to the limit. While amongst a court of stars like Kawhi Leonard and Paul George, second-year guard Luka Doncic shined brightest.

The Dallas Mavericks didn’t make a big splash in the offseason, being more interested in restructuring current contracts and re-tooling in order to optimize play around Luka Doncic. There was a clear focus on adding playmaking to relieve Luka Doncic as the Mavericks drafted capable point man Tyrell Terry while trading sharpshooter Seth Curry for two-way veteran Josh Richardson.

The Southwest Division is theirs to lose in the eyes of Mavericks fans and sportsbooks. Also one of the top favourites in MVP odds, Luka Doncic is expected to lead the Mavericks to greater heights. With a healthy Porzingis and better depth, the Mavericks could be challenging for the title as much as their division.

Houston Rockets (+50000)

19-20 Team Performance

RecordPPGOpp PPGPaceOff RtgDef Rtg
44-28117.8 (2 of 30)114.8 (23 of 30)103.7 (3 of 30)112.9 (6 of 30)110.1 (14 of 30)


Another season went by for the Houston Rockets and they were once again well short of making their way to the NBA Finals. While they’ve found regular success in the regular season, Houston’s brand of offense-first basketball never seems to hold up in the post-season. After their most recent failure, ownership saw a need to end the experiment and let go of executive Daryl Morey, head coach Mike D’Antoni, and former MVP Russell Westbrook.

The Houston Rockets seem to be in a sort of limbo with their current roster. Looking to stay relevant but not near talented enough to compete for the title, the Rockets are hoping their acquisitions of point guard John Wall and center DeMarcus Cousins will pay off.

On paper the Rockets have an interesting group, but the trade rumors surrounding James Harden continue to plague the club. At the moment it doesn’t seem like Harden will be making a move, but with a dim future that could change with the right offer. If all things reach their potential the Rockets could be as successful as last season, but the odds are slim.

New Orleans Pelicans (+2000)

19-20 Team Performance

RecordPPGOpp PPGPaceOff RtgDef Rtg
30-42115.8 (5 of 30)117.1 (27 of 30)103.7 (2 of 30)110.7 (17 of 30)111.9 (19 of 30)


The New Orleans Pelicans were curiously invited to the NBA bubble last season and the only justifiable cause was really for the NBA to showcase its shiniest new product, Zion Williamson. While the Pelicans struggled and failed to make the playoffs, they showed flashes of true potential as Ingram, Ball, and Williamson combined for some deadly play.

The Pelicans front office made some savvy moves this offseason, netting a bundle of assets for Jrue Holiday. As the Pelicans look to their youth to lead them, additions like Eric Bledsoe, Steven Adams, and Willy Hernangomez add welcome depth and experience to the side.

The Pelicans are looking to challenge for the eighth spot in the Western Conference but could surprise to become runners up to the division as well. On paper, they are not as talented as the Dallas Mavericks, but the potential of their squad gives them an unpredictable nature.

Memphis Grizzlies (+1600)

19-20 Team Performance

RecordPPGOpp PPGPaceOff RtgDef Rtg
34-39112.6 (14 of 30)113.7 (21 of 30)102.8 (6 of 30)109.2 (20 of 30)110.3 (15 of 30)


The Memphis Grizzlies finished ninth in the Western Conference last season but drop behind the Pelicans in odds to win the Southwest Division. Memphis nearly made the 2020 NBA Playoffs but were eliminated in the play-in games by the Portland Trail Blazers. Surprising success and the growth of Rookie of the Year Ja Morant gives the Grizz a brighter outlook than most expect.

The Grizzlies didn’t make too many changes this offseason, opting for some stability in hopes of encouraging the growth of their young star Morant. Re-signing De’Anthony Melton was key, while the addition of Mario Hezonja adds another outlet piece for their point guards to feed in transition.

Memphis is a team with bundles of energy, grit, and a willingness to go against the toughest opponents. While it surprised a number of teams last season, their lack of secondary options to Morant on offence is what will stifle their success. Its not that they don’t have the potential, but they’ll need big jumps in play from Jackson Jr, Winslow, and Brooks to challenge for the top.

San Antonio Spurs (+1600)

19-20 Team Performance

RecordPPGOpp PPGPaceOff RtgDef Rtg
32-39114.1 (8 of 30)115.2 (25 of 30)100.5 (14 of 30)112.4 (9 of 30)113.5 (25 of 30)


It has been one of the most “Spurs-y” offseasons in a long time in the NBA, and that could be great or bad news for Gregg Popovich’s team. They failed to make the playoffs for the first time since 1997 and they look to be just shy of a rebuilding phase. The future of the Spurs and Hall of Fame worthy head coach Gregg Popovich may be decided this season.

Without many major additions to the roster, the Spurs enter the season looking to run it back with Demar Derozan and LaMarcus Aldridge leading the line. That doesn’t mean they’re without improvement though, streaky guards Marco Belinelli and Bryn Forbes were happily replaced by rookies Devin Vassell and Tre Jones who project to thrive in Popovich’s system.

The San Antonio Spurs are rightly at the bottom of the odds table to compete in the Southwest as well as the West. But with the return of Dejounte Murray, the improvement of Lonnie Walker, and the return of Demar Derozan – who is coming off of his best career season – anything can happen for the Spurs. Best in the Southwest or worst, a club of San Antonio’s quality can upset a lot of sportsbooks.

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Christian Jope

Expert on NBA

Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.



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