NBA Southwest Division Winner Predictions, Odds 2025
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NBA Southwest Division Winner Predictions, Odds & Best Bets: Memphis and Houston Compete for the Title

Updated: Mar. 10, 2025, 05:50 AM ET
7 min read
  • The Memphis Grizzlies are the favorite to win the Southwest Division, a -150 for the division title.

  • The Houston Rockets are the top contender to win the Southwest, a +130 to reclaim control of the Southwest.

  • Last year's Southwest Division Champions were the Dallas Mavericks.

The Southwest Division has been revitalized this year, but a massive trade by one of its top contenders has shaken up the odds table. At WSN, we're locked in on the race for the 2025 NBA Southwest Division Winner, offering the latest odds, predictions, and analyses for the 2024-25 NBA season!

For the best NBA Futures bets, WSN has you covered with betting picks and tips every day throughout the 2024-25 NBA season and playoffs! New sports bettors can use the best NBA sportsbook promos and bonuses before their favorite team tips off!

The Memphis Grizzlies stand atop the Southwest Division, winning two straight games despite a 4-6 run over their last ten games. The Houston Rockets are just one game behind the Grizzlies, splitting their last ten as they try to reclaim their place atop the division. The Dallas Mavericks remain in a Play-In position, but an injury-riddled run post-All-Star Break has halted their ambitions. The San Antonio Spurs and New Orleans Pelicans are rounding out the Southwest, who look out of the running as they try to adjust to massive changes to their roster this season.

Let's check out the bets!

2025 NBA Southwest Division Odds

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Bet on your favorites at FanDuel and claim the following bonus: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins.

WinnerOdds
Memphis Grizzlies-160
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Houston Rockets+130
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Dallas MavericksN/A
New Orleans PelicansN/A
San Antonio SpursN/A

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NBA Southwest Division Odds

The Memphis Grizzlies have made tremendous strides this season, recovering from recent seasons of significant struggle. They’ve fought their way back to the top of the Southwest Division and have been a constant in the top four of the Western Conference. They have serious competition in the Houston Rockets, but their depth and experience have men touting them as eventual division champs!

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NBA Southwest Division Odds

Who Is the Favorite to Win the Southwest Division in 2025?

Memphis Grizzlies

YearRecordFinishOff RtgDef RtgPacePPGOpp PPG
2024-2537-20, 2nd in NBA Western Conference-117.9 (6th of 30)111.4 (7th of 30)104.1 (1st of 30) 122.8 (2nd of 30)116.0 (23rd of 30)
  • Head Coach: Taylor Jenkins

  • Key Players: Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, Jaren Jackson Jr.

  • Key Additions: Marvin Bagley, Johnny Davis

  • Key Losses: Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia

The Memphis Grizzlies have been promising as the regular season has developed. After a strong run into the midseason break, the Memphis Grizzlies have gone 1-2 over the last week. Their sole win came against the Orlando Magic, finding a one-point victory in a hard-fought, defensive battle led by Ja Morant’s 23-point effort.

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Who Are the Contenders to Win the Southwest Division in 2025?

Houston Rockets

YearRecordFinishOff RtgDef RtgPacePPGOpp PPG
2024-2535-22, 5th in NBA Western Conference-113.8 (15th of 30)109.9 (4th of 30)98.6 (19th of 30) 112.9 (16th of 30)109.0 (6th of 30) 
  • Head Coach: Ime Udoka

  • Key Players: Alperen Sengun, Fred VanVleet, Jalen Green

  • Key Additions: Cody Zeller, Jaden Springer

  • Key Losses: n/a

The Houston Rockets have been one of the NBA’s most exciting teams this season, behind the growth of young stars like Alperen Sengun and Jalen Green. The Houston Rockets split their two games last week, winning against the Minnesota Timberwolves but showing their inconsistency in losing to the lowly Utah Jazz. They couldn’t lock in on defense against the Jazz, getting 52 points from their duo of Sengun and Green, but allowed their opponents to shoot 50.0% from the field.

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Dallas Mavericks

YearRecordFinishOff RtgDef RtgPacePPGOpp PPG
2024-2531-27, 8th in NBA Western Conference-116.2 (7th of 30)114.3 (14th of 30)99.0 (17th of 30) 115.4 (11th of 30)113.5 (16th of 30)
  • Head Coach: Jason Kidd

  • Key Players: Anthony Davis, Kyrie Irving, Klay Thompson

  • Key Additions: Anthony Davis, Max Christie

  • Key Losses: Luka Doncic, Maxi Kleber, Markieff Morris

The Dallas Mavericks have been the talk of the NBA after General Manager Nico Harrison dealt star man Luka Doncic to the Los Angeles Lakers in exchange for Anthony Davis. After dealing with Doncic and losing Davis to injury, the Mavericks rattled off a 3-1 streak. Unfortunately, they closed out last week with a blowout loss to the Warriors, losing by 24 points despite shooting 46.2% from the field and 40.6% from three-point range.

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San Antonio Spurs

YearRecordFinishOff RtgDef RtgPacePPGOpp PPG
2024-2524-31, 12th in NBA Western Conference-113.1 (17th of 30)114.9 (18th of 30)99.3 (13th of 30) 112.7 (17th of 30)114.5 (19th of 30)
  • Head Coach: Gregg Popovich, Mitch Johnson (interim)

  • Key Players: Victor Wembanyama, Chris Paul, De’Aaron Fox

  • Key Additions: De’Aaron Fox

  • Key Losses: Tre Jones, Zach Collins

The San Antonio Spurs made a big move before the NBA Trade Deadline, acquiring Sacramento Kings point guard De'Aaron Fox in a multi-team trade. The San Antonio Spurs were dealt a blow when Wembanyama was ruled out for the rest of the season with injury owing to their 1-2 run last week. Their sole win came against the Phoenix Suns, behind 26 points and seven rebounds from De’Aaron Fox.

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New Orleans Pelicans

YearRecordFinishOff RtgDef RtgPacePPGOpp PPG
2024-2513-43, 15th in NBA Western Conference-110.4 (26th of 30)119.3 (28th of 30)99.4 (10th of 30) 110.4 (23rd of 30)119.3 (27th of 30)
  • Head Coach: Willie Green

  • Key Players: Zion Williamson, Brandon Ingram, CJ McCollum

  • Key Additions: Bruce Brown, Kelly Olynyk

  • Key Losses: Brandon Ingram, Daniel Theis

The New Orleans Pelicans have gone all in on rebuilding for the next season, trading away All-Star Brandon Ingram for financial flexibility. Sitting at the bottom of the Southwest, the Pelicans have split two games since returning from the All-Star break. They closed out last week with a win over the shorthanded San Antonio Spurs behind Zion Williamson’s 22 points.

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NBA Southwest Division FAQs

Who won the Southwest Division last season?

How many times has a Southwest Division team won the NBA Championship?

Who are the top players in the Southwest Division?

Which team has won the Southwest Division most?

Do the Southwest Division Champions receive a trophy?

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Christian Jope WSN Contributors

Christian Jope

NBA Betting Analyst

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Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: Canadian
Education: Bachelor of Arts (Applied Economics)
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