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Image for Christian Jope Christian Jope - Updated September 19, 2023

NBA Southwest Division Winner Predictions, Odds & Best Bets 2023/24

  • The Dallas Mavericks and the Memphis Grizzlies are expected to compete for the Southwest Division title.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to challenge Memphis and Dallas in the Southwest.
  • Last year's Southwest Division Champions were the Memphis Grizzlies.

The Memphis Grizzlies and Dallas Mavericks are the joint favorites to win the Southwest Division in 2024! It won't be long until the 2024 NBA season tips off, and fans and bettors are locked in on the Southwest Division competition! After a definitive victory in the Southwest by the Memphis Grizzlies in 2023, the competing teams in the division have re-tooled and look set to challenge for the division crown in 2024!

The Memphis Grizzlies enter as last year's division winners after finishing second in the Western Conference. However, there's much faith being put in Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks, who are seen as equal competitors to the Grizzlies. The Houston Rockets and New Orleans Pelicans think they can improve on their performance last season and challenge for the crown, but the San Antonio Spurs are still rebuilding.

Let's check out the bets!

2024 NBA Southwest Division Odds

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Check out our list of the best NBA betting sites for more betting opportunities.

Dallas Mavericks+160
Memphis Grizzlies+160
New Orleans Pelicans+250
Houston Rockets+2500
San Antonio Spurs+3500

WSN's Pick

Our Pick: Memphis Grizzlies to Win Southwest Division (+160)

The Southwest Division will be competitive this season, with every team strengthening its roster since last season. However, the Memphis Grizzlies have the edge behind the talents of Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. Their two-way play is still the best in the division, and they've only improved their roster over the offseason.

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Southwest Division Winner Predictions

Who Is the Favorite to Win the Southwest Division in 2024?

Memphis Grizzlies

YearRecordFinishOff RtgDef RtgPacePPGOpp PPG
22-2351-312nd (West)115.1 (15th)111.2 (2nd)101.1 (5th)116.9 (9th)113.0 (11th)

Head Coach: Taylor Jenkins

Key Players: Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr., Marcus Smart

Key Additions: Marcus Smart, Derrick Rose

Key Losses: Dillon Brooks, Tyus Jones

After a stellar regular season campaign, some off-court issues and a lack of experience incorrectly drew attention to the Memphis Grizzlies. After getting eliminated in the first round of the 2023 NBA Playoffs, Memphis made some moves to reset their culture and put themselves in a position to make an improved run in 2024.

However you may feel about him, the Memphis Grizzlies lost their best perimeter defender in Dillon Brooks this off-season and followed that up by letting Tyus Jones go via trade. However, the Grizzlies did bring in veteran presences, Marcus Smart and Derrick Rose, to help the locker room.

Talent isn't the issue in Memphis, but their fun, underdog attitude through the regular season suddenly shifted to off-court drama and an inability to perform in the post-season. A year of experience and some new locker room voices should do wonders for a team led by one of the league's most exciting young players in Ja Morant.

Who Are the Contenders to Win the Southwest Division in 2024?

Dallas Mavericks

YearRecordFinishOff RtgDef RtgPacePPGOpp PPG
22-23 38-4411th (West)116.8 (6th)116.7 (24th)96.6 (28th)114.2 (16th)114.1 (16th)

Head Coach: Jason Kidd

Key Players: Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving

Key Additions: Grant Williams, Seth Curry

Key Losses: Christian Wood, Davis Bertans, Reggie Bullock

The Dallas Mavericks fell well below expectations last season, even after bringing in another star to help Luka Doncic in his push for the postseason. Eventually falling into lottery position, the Dallas Mavericks will hope an entire training camp and some new role player will help them back into the playoffs.

Their most significant off-season acquisition was forward Grant Williams, who signed a long-term contract in Dallas after several successful years in Boston. Dallas reloaded their roster with solid role players like Seth Curry and Richaun Holmes while bringing in the promising Olivier-Maxence Proper through the NBA Draft.

The Mavericks aim to compete for the Southwest Division title after their brutal 2022-23 campaign. After committing to a Doncic-Irving backcourt, Dallas has their offense set, but it's their defense that will be closely monitored through the NBA season. Expect the Mavericks to challenge Memphis for the top spot in the division.

New Orleans Pelicans

YearRecordFinishOff RtgDef RtgPacePPGOpp PPG
22-2342-409th (West)114.4 (21st)112.5 (6th) 99.1 (14th)114.4 (15th)112.5 (9th)

Head Coach: Willie Green

Key Players: Brandon Ingram, C.J. McCollum, Zion Williamson

Key Additions: Cody Zeller

Key Losses: Jaxson Hayes, Josh Richardson

The New Orleans Pelicans struggled with inconsistency last season, showing promise and a lack of cohesion as they failed to qualify for the Western Conference Playoffs. Their offseason saw them make only minor changes, as they'll bank on health and continuity to carry them to a better record for the coming 2024 season.

New Orleans' most significant summer move was re-signing Herb Jones to a multi-year contract. They also brought in rookie Jordan Hawkins and veteran Cody Zeller, but their most important decision was to keep Zion Williamson in New Orleans.

There's fear that this season will see more of the same from the Pelicans, but a healthy season from Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram could send them surging up the Western Conference and the Southwest Division. Don't expect them to be consistent enough throughout the season to earn a top spot, but if they're trending in the right direction and their health is good, the Pelicans might surprise.

Houston Rockets

YearRecordFinishOff RtgDef RtgPacePPGOpp PPG
22-2322-6014th (West)111.4 (27th)119.3 (29th)99.0 (28th)110.7 (28th)118.6 (28th)

Head Coach: Ime Udoka

Key Players: Fred VanVleet, Dillon Brooks, Jalen Green

Key Additions: Fred VanVleet, Dillon Brooks, Amen Thompson

Key Losses: Kenyon Martin Jr.

The Houston Rockets have been rebuilding for a few seasons, resulting in a poor season in 2022-23. They ended up with another top pick, but they also had a fair amount of cap room that allowed for a roster overhaul.

Adding veterans to their young and immature roster was crucial for the Houston Rockets. They brought in All-Star and NBA Champion point guard Fred VanVleet and All-NBA defender Dillon Brooks to help reset their defense and culture. While they also added valuable pieces in Jeff Green and Jock Landale, their success will be determined by new head coach Ime Udoka.

Despite their revamped roster, the Houston Rockets' expectations are still being determined. They have plenty of talent, but only some expect them to compete with the best in the Southwest Division. Expect an improvement, but winning the division is a long shot.

San Antonio Spurs

YearRecordFinishOff RtgDef RtgPacePPGOpp PPG
22-2322-6015th (West)110.2 (29th)120.0 (30th)101.6 (1st)113.0 (23rd)123.1 (30th)

Head Coach: Gregg Popovich

Key Players: Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Jeremy Sochan

Key Additions: Victor Wembanyama, Cedi Osman

Key Losses: Keita Bates-Diop

The San Antonio Spurs were dreadful last season but were rewarded in the offseason after their awful season. After earning the worst record in the Western Conference, the San Antonio Spurs won the first overall pick in the 2023 NBA Draft and the right to draft Victor Wembanyama.

After their performance in 2022-23, only some players were locked-on keepers for the Spurs. San Antonio is building around Wembanyama as their franchise centerpiece, and they've brought in veterans like Reggie Bullock and Cedi Osman to help him ease into his first NBA season.

The San Antonio Spurs now have a direction after acquiring Victor Wembanyama. They don't project to be competitive, and the Spurs have already been open about managing expectations for the young Frenchmen. Expect another season in the bottom half of the West for San Antonio and definitely at the bottom of the Southwest Division.

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NBA Southwest Division FAQs

Who won the Southwest Division last season?

The Memphis Grizzlies won the Southwest Division in 2022-23. They finished with a 51-31 overall record and a 13-3 record against their division.

How many times has a Southwest Division team won the NBA Championship?

Southwest Division teams have won the NBA Championship eight times. The San Antonio have won the Larry O'Brien most, and most recently, with five. The Houston Rockets won their NBA Championships back-to-back in 1994 and 1995. The Dallas Mavericks won their sole NBA Championship in 2011.

Who are the top players in the Southwest Division?

The top players in the Southwest Division are Luka Doncic (DAL), Kyrie Irving (DAL), Ja Morant (MEM), Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM), and C.J. McCollum (NOP).Which team has won the Southwest Division most?The San Antonio Spurs have won the Southwest Division most, owning nine titles. The Houston Rockets are second with four division titles. The Dallas Mavericks have three Southwest Division titles to their name. The Memphis Grizzlies have won the Southwest twice, and the New Orleans Pelicans have won it once.

Which team has won the Southwest Division least?

The New Orleans Pelicans have the fewest Southwest Division titles, with one in 2008.

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Christian Jope

1129 Articles

Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.

Email: [email protected]

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