Image for Christian Jope Christian Jope - October 14, 2022

NBA Regular Season Three-Point Leader Odds, Predictions, Picks

  • Let’s take a look at who might be the best three-point shooter in the coming NBA season!
  • Through the 2020-2021 season, Stephen Curry was the league’s Three-Point field goal leader with 337 in 63 games!
  • Curry remains the odds on favorite to win the three-point shooting crown this season!

2022 Regular Season Three-Point Leader Odds

Odds provided by Caesars Sportsbook.

Player Team 20-21 3P% 20-21 3 PM Odds
Stephen Curry Golden State Warriors .421 337 -170
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Damian Lillard Portland Trail Blazers .391 275 +400
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Buddy Hield Sacramento Kings .391 282 +650
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Duncan Robinson Miami Heat .408 250 +1200
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Malik Beasley Minnesota Timberwolves .399 128 +2000
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Klay Thompson Golden State Warriors +2000
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Nba Three Point Leader Odds

While in the NBA’s history it has been big men who have dominated the NBA, the shift toward guard play since 2010 has opened up opportunity for even the smallest players on the court. One of the most effective ways to impact the game is through the three-point shot!

With the influx of athleticism at the rim and on the perimeter, teams have focused on sharpening their shooting ability to avoid challenges at the rim on top of maximizing the production of their offence. Give credit to the Golden State Warriors, who revolutionized the NBA through the effectiveness of their ball movement and shooting from range.

This year’s odds-on favorite to be the three-point leader is once again Stephen Curry of the Golden State Warriors. With the increased offensive burden that Curry carried last season, he converted on 337 three-pointers. While he was well clear of second place last year, he’ll still have his fair share of competition ready to take the crown at a moments notice.

WSN’s Pick – Stephen Curry (GSW) (-170)

The Three-Point crown belongs to one player and it is his to lose.

Stephen Curry has been competitive, durable, and absolutely unconscious from three-point range since entering the league. With a stronger roster and continual drive for success, Curry may well build on his 337 three-point field goal season during the 2021-2022 NBA Campaign.

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2022 Regular Season Three-Point Leader Predictions

Let’s take a look at the favorites to be this season’s three-point leader!

(G) Stephen Curry – Golden State Warriors (-170)

  • 43.3% Career Three-Point Field Goal Percentage.
  • Two-time Three-Point Contest Champion (2015, 2021).
  • Six-time regular season three-point field goal leader (2021, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013).

For the last 12 seasons, NBA fans have been graced with the opportunity to watch Stephen Curry revolutionize the game through his shooting ability. The seven-time All-Star and three-time NBA Champion is rightfully the favorite to win the three-point shooting crown this season.

Despite a down year for the Golden State Warriors, Curry stepped up with one of his best ever offensive seasons. He led the league in three-pointers made with 337, on top of setting a career high in three-pointers made per game (5.3), and in points per game (32.0).

With Golden State struggling due to injury, Curry’s usage rate is higher than ever, at 34.8% in 2020-2021. While the return of Klay Thompson may lessen the burden on Curry, he’s still one of the most dangerous offensive players in the NBA. The three-point crown is his to lose.

(G) Damian Lillard – Portland Trail Blazers (+400)

  • 37.5% Career Three-Point Field Goal Percentage.
  • 3.0 Career Three-Point Field Goals per Game.
  • 24.7 Career Points per Game.

Damian Lillard hasn’t had the team success that a player of his calibre craves, but at an individual level there are few that can match his accomplishments. A dangerous scorer who is the focal of every offensive possession for his team, Lillard has every opportunity to take the three-point crown.

Lillard is coming off of a season where he converted on 275 of his 704 three-point attempts. While his overall three-point field goal percentage was lower than in seasons past, his volume has never been higher.

The Trail Blazers point guard will keep the race close due to his durability, having played in just over 93% of his games throughout his career. A confident offensive option with steady participation, Lillard may just snatch the three-point crown for himself.

(G) Buddy Hield – Sacramento Kings (+650)

  • 40.6% Career Three-Point Field Goal Percentage.
  • Three-Point Contest Champion (2020).
  • 3.0 Career Three-Point Field Goals per Game.

While all eyes move toward the likes of Stephen Curry and Damian Lillard when it comes to three-pointers, Buddy Hield has quietly joined them as one of the deadliest shooters from range in the NBA. While the Sacramento Kings aren’t the strongest team in the NBA, Hield takes every opportunity to get his numbers.

Hield is a career 40.6% three-point shooter, having hit an average of 277 three-pointers in each of his last three seasons. Hield isn’t just a spot-up threat anymore, showing the ability to find space off the ball as well as pull up in transition for the shot.

What the King’s shooting guard will struggle with in the race for the three-point crown is the ball dominance of the Sacramento roster. With De’Aaron Fox, Tyrese Haliburton, and Davion Mitchell in the rotation, Hield won’t see many opportunities to create for himself.

(F) Duncan Robinson – Miami Heat (+1200)

  • 42.3% Career Three-Point Field Goal Percentage.
  • 3.3 Career Three-Point Field Goals per Game.

Duncan Robinson is one of the great NBA success stories, moving from NCAA Division III, to Division I, the G-League, and now a starter for the Miami Heat. Found as one of the best competitors for the three-point shooting crown, Robinson’s key skill has always been his ability as a marksman.

The sample size for Robinson’s career is still quite small, having played in just 160 games over three seasons. However over that time he has made 530 three-point field goals, with just under two-percent of those coming in his rookie season.

Robinson will have one of the best playmakers in the league in Kyle Lowry feeding him the ball, so expect his numbers to go up. However, being solely a spot-up three-point option with little ability to create for himself, Robinson is unlikely to take the crown.

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(G) Malik Beasley – Minnesota Timberwolves (+2000)

  • 39.1% Career Three-Point Field Goal Percentage.
  • 1.7 Career Three-Point Field Goals per Game.

Malik Beasley enters the season as a +2000 to win the three-point shooting crown. While he deserves credit as a fantastic catch-and-shoot option, there are many others deserving of this position.

The Timberwolves are a weak team with a few stars and Beasley is not one of them. He’s also struggled with injuries, having played just 92 games over the last two seasons.

Sure, Beasley’s three-point shooting volume has increased since joining Minnesota. He’s gone from 3.6 three-point attempts per game for his career in Denver to 8.5 attempts per game with Minnesota. But we can’t rightly recommend a bet on a player who has hit over 100 three-point field goals just three times in five seasons.

(G-F) Klay Thompson – Golden State Warriors (+2000)

  • 41.9% Three-Point Field Goal Percentage.
  • Three-Point Contest Champion (2016).
  • Single Game Three-Point Field Goals Made Record (14).

Now here is an interesting player to take a look at. Klay Thompson enters at a +2000, after not playing in the NBA since the 2019 NBA Finals where he left due to injury.

Thompson has hit more than 200 three-pointers in all but one of his years in the league. He’s also very efficient converting on 41.9% of shots from range.

The 2016 Three-Point contest champion will only be hindered by the fact that he’s expected to miss the entirety of October and possibly November, while also sharing the ball with favorite Stephen Curry.

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AUTHOR

Christian Jope

897 Articles

Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.

Email: [email protected]

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