Best Bo Nix Player Props for Broncos vs. Chiefs in Week 11

• Bo Nix has failed to throw for more than 176 yards in five of his 10 games this season

• Nix has completed fewer than 60% of his passes in three of his last four games

• The Chiefs have held both Jalen Hurts and Josh Allen to less than 20 rushing yards this season

There aren’t many players with more to prove in Week 11 than Bo Nix. Despite being the leader of an 8-2 team, Denver’s inconsistent offense has raised some eyebrows. Of course, this week’s home game against the Chiefs is the perfect opportunity for Nix to prove that he can step up in a big game, while helping the Broncos prove that they are indeed a threat to win the AFC West this season.

For Nix, playing the Chiefs also means sharing a field with Patrick Mahomes, who is predictably among the top candidates for MVP honors. It’s also a source of pride for Nix that the Broncos still aren’t the betting favorites in the AFC West. Denver and Kansas City are co-favorites at the moment, while the Chiefs also have the shortest Super Bowl LX odds.

How will Nix perform in such a big game? We looked closely at his season and the Kansas City defense to pick out our three favorite prop bets involving Nix for Denver’s Week 11 game with the Chiefs.

Best Bo Nix Player Props in Week 11

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Bo Nix Anytime Under 221.5 Passing Yards (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook

In terms of passing yards, Nix has been all over the place this year. In 10 games, he’s only gone over 221.5 passing yards four times. In fact, he’s failed to throw for more than 176 yards in five of 10 games, including his last two outings. Despite winning both games, the Broncos have just 28 total points over their last two games, making it easy to fade Nix with this bet.

The Chiefs also have one of the better pass defenses in the NFL, yielding just 195.9 yards per game through the air. Considering how good Denver’s defense has been this season, this feels like a low-scoring game, even against Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City offense. That means the Broncos won’t force Nix to throw the ball too much, keeping his passing yards below 200 yet again.

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Bo Nix Under 21.5 Pass Completions (+100) at bet365 Sportsbook 

Along with his yards, Nix’s completions should be relatively low as well. If this game ends up being a shootout or the Broncos have to play from behind, that could easily change. But given his disappointing completion percentage on the season and his struggles the past two weeks, we’ll happily take plus odds on Nix completing 21 passes or fewer.

Ever since Denver’s epic comeback against the Giants, Nix has failed to reach 20 completions in three straight games. In his defense, he’s gone over 21.5 completions in five of 10 games, which is why this number makes sense. However, with Nix trending in the wrong direction against a good defensive team, it makes sense to take the under with this bet.

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Bo Nix Longest Under 26.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook

For whatever reason, the Broncos haven’t wanted to use Nix as a runner much this season. He’s barely averaging over 20 rushing yards per game, which isn’t much for a quarterback with his mobility. Occasionally, he’s had one big running play in a game. But if that doesn’t happen, Nix usually doesn’t rack up a lot of rushing yards.

Unless they fall behind by multiple scores, the Broncos will likely stay conservative in this game. That means not calling designed runs for Nix. This season, the Kansas City defense has held both Jalen Hurts and Josh Allen to fewer than 20 rushing yards. They should be able to do the same to Nix.

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Bo Nix 2025/26 Stats

• Completions: 213

• Attempts: 350

• Passing Yards: 2,26

• Yards Per Pass: 6.1

• Passing Touchdowns: 18

• Interceptions: 8

• Completion Percentage: 60.9

• Carries: 47

• Rushing Yards: 205

• Yards Per Carry: 4.4

• Rushing Touchdowns: 3

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