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Image for Grant Mitchell Grant Mitchell - Updated June 1, 2023

AFC West Odds, Predictions, Betting Picks 2023

  • The AFC West has been dominated by the Kansas City Chiefs in recent years 
  • The Chiefs are coming off of a Super Bowl victory despite having a young defense and an overlooked cast of offensive weapons
  • The Chargers have been on the cusp of competing for a division title recently but have not broken through

The AFC West is not only home to the reigning Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs, but it is also one of the fiercest and most stacked divisions in the NFL.

The Chiefs are the heavy favorites to win the AFC West title, but the Los Angeles Chargers have been on the verge of challenging for several years and are approaching arguably their best chance to usurp Kansas City. The Denver Broncos also enlisted Sean Payton to steer their ship, which should immediately make them more competitive. 

The Las Vegas Raiders—well, they’re there, and they’re talented. Their production and chemistry remain to be seen.

Here’s a comprehensive overview of the AFC West heading into the 2023 NFL season.

AFC West Division Winner Odds

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook

Team

Odds

Kansas City Chiefs

-165
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Los Angeles Chargers

+340
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Denver Broncos

+550
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Las Vegas Raiders

+1100
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Afc West Division Winner

Favorites to Win the AFC West

The favorite to win the AFC West is unsurprisingly the Kansas City Chiefs, the team that has been to five straight AFC Championship Games, won two of the last four Super Bowls, and seven straight AFC West titles. They have the best player in football, quarterback Patrick Mahomes, and just won the Super Bowl in what was supposed to be a rebuilding year for them.

It’s tough to bet against the Chiefs. Not only are they set at the most important position on the field, but tight end Travis Kelce just might be the most valuable offensive weapon, and their defense quietly gets after the quarterback and gets better as each year progresses. 

The Chargers are next in line and have tons of upside. Justin Herbert is recognized as a top-10 quarterback and has the potential to vault into the top five thanks to the addition of rookie wideout Quentin Johnston and the re-signing of running back Austin Ekeler.

AFC West Division Winner Predictions and Picks

Our pick: Kansas City Chiefs (-165)

Like we said, it’s tough to bet against the Chiefs. It also seems silly to fade them because they have not put a foot wrong in the past seven years, including all five of Patrick Mahomes’ as the full-time starter. Only a major injury to the quarterback could stop them from perennially winning double-digit games and being favored to hoist the Lombardi Trophy.

Longshot: Denver Broncos (+550)

The Broncos have great value here, and Sean Payton and Russell Wilson also have nice value in the Coach of the Year and Comeback Player of the Year markets. Payton is at the center of all of that because, although he has been away from the game recently, he is still one of the sharpest minds in the sport and always has his teams ready to win games. 

History of AFC West Winners

Year

Winner

1960

Los Angeles Chargers

1961

San Diego Chargers

1962

Dallas Texans

1963

San Diego Chargers

1964

San Diego Chargers

1965

San Diego Chargers

1966

Kansas City Chiefs

1967

Oakland Raiders

1968

Oakland Raiders

1969

Oakland Raiders

1970

Oakland Raiders

1971

Kansas City Chiefs

1972

Oakland Raiders

1973

Oakland Raiders

1974

Oakland Raiders

1975

Oakland Raiders

1976

Oakland Raiders

1977

Denver Broncos

1978

Denver Broncos

1979

San Diego Chargers

1980 

San Diego Chargers

1981

San Diego Chargers

1982

Los Angeles Raiders

1983

Los Angeles Raiders

1984

Denver Broncos

1985

Los Angeles Raiders

1986

Denver Broncos

1987

Denver Broncos

1988

Seattle Seahawks

1989

Denver Broncos

1990

Los Angeles Raiders

1991

Denver Broncos

1992

San Diego Chargers

1993

Kansas City Chiefs

1994

San Diego Chargers

1995

Kansas City Chiefs

1996

Denver Broncos

1997

Kansas City Chiefs

1998

Denver Broncos

1999

Seattle Seahawks

2000

Oakland Raiders

2001

Oakland Raiders

2002

Oakland Raiders

2003

Kansas City Chiefs

2004

San Diego Chargers

2005

Denver Broncos

2006

San Diego Chargers

2007

San Diego Chargers

2008

San Diego Chargers

2009

San Diego Chargers

2010

Kansas City Chiefs

2011

Denver Broncos

2012

Denver Broncos

2013

Denver Broncos

2014

Denver Broncos

2015

Denver Broncos

2016

Kansas City Chiefs

2017

Kansas City Chiefs

2018

Kansas City Chiefs

2019

Kansas City Chiefs

2020

Kansas City Chiefs

2021

Kansas City Chiefs

2022

Kansas City Chiefs

How to Watch 2023 NFL Regular Season

  • Where: USA and international 
  • When: Thursday, Sep 7, 2023 - Sunday, Jan 7, 2024
  • How to watch: FOX, ESPN, Amazon Prime Video, CBS, NBC, and NFL Network
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AFC West FAQ

Which AFC West Team Has Won the Most Division Titles?

Unbelievably, all four AFC West teams—the Kansas City Chiefs, Denver Broncos, Las Vegas Raiders, and Los Angeles Chargers—have won the division 15 times. The 2023 winner will thus claim bragging rights over their rivals for at least a year.

Which AFC West Team Has Won the Most Super Bowls?

The Broncos, Chiefs, and Raiders have all won three Super Bowls. The most recent Super Bowl trophy within the division went to the Chiefs in February 2023 when they beat the Philadelphia Eagles 38-35 behind 226 total yards and three touchdowns from QB Patrick Mahomes and 76 yards and a touchdown from running back Isiah Pacheco.The Chargers have been to one Super Bowl (in 1995), where they were wiped out by the San Francisco 49ers 49-26. 

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AUTHOR

Grant Mitchell

89 Articles

Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field.

In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.

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