AFC West Odds, Predictions, Betting Picks 2024: Chiefs to Continue Their Dominance

Written by: Michael Savio
Updated July 17, 2024
8 min read
  • The Chiefs enter as heavy favorite to repeat as champions

  • The Broncos will be starting rookie Bo Nix at quarterback

  • The Chargers lost Keenan Allen, Mike Willams, and Austin Ekeler in the offseason

The AFC West has been one of the least competitive divisions over the last few seasons, and that won’t change in 2024. The Kansas City Chiefs have improved their Super Bowl-winning roster in the offseason, making them a heavy favorite to add another AFC West title to their trophy case.

Below, we’ll share the latest insights into all four teams as well as our pick to win the division. If you need help navigating the AL West at sportsbooks this season, we have you covered!

AFC West Division Winner Odds

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Click the odds in the table below and claim the bonus at FanDuel: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets.

Kansas City Chiefs-230
Los Angeles Chargers+350
Las Vegas Raiders+900
Denver Broncos+2000
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Afc West Division Winner

AFC West Predictions and Favorites to Win

Kansas City Chiefs (-230 at FanDuel)

The Chiefs won last year’s Super Bowl despite having one of the worst receiving corps in football. The lack of production from pass catchers allowed defenses to key in on Travis Kelce, leading to a subpar year from the legendary tight end. A great defense and great play from Patrick Mahomes helped them overcome the deficiency, but the Chiefs seem to have fixed the problem heading into 2024.

The Chiefs made two big upgrades at receiver during the offseason. The first was drafting uber-athletic receiver Xavier Worthy in the first round. The Texas product may be a work in progress, but he is a player who could thrive with Mahomes. 

The second upgrade was the addition of Marquise Brown. The 26-year-old broke out in 2021 but struggled after joining a bad Cardinals team. While those struggles are a concern, the Cardinals were a mess during those two seasons, with no playmakers able to put up numbers. Now Brown will be paired with one of the best quarterbacks in history, and we think it will take the offense to a level we haven’t seen before.

Bet on Kansas City Chiefs (-230) at FanDuel 

Los Angeles Chargers (+350 at FanDuel)

For the first time in a while, the Chargers are not expected to compete for a playoff spot. Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, and Austin Ekeler have gone, leaving the offense with many new faces. While Justin Herbert will still be behind center, his receiving corps will now be led by Joshua Palmer, formerly their third option. 

The good news is that LA’s downfall may not last very long, thanks to a pair of young receivers. One is 2023 first-round pick Quentin Johnston, who had a quiet rookie campaign but will now play a significant role in the offense. He will be joined by rookie Ladd McConkey, who the Chargers took in the second round of this year’s draft. We think it takes at least a year for the two to settle in, but it's hard to completely rule out a surprising run from the former AFC West contender. 

Bet on Los Angeles Chargers (+350) at FanDuel 

Las Vegas Raiders (+900 at FanDuel)

The Raiders were better than expected last season, finishing second in the division. They were led by Maxx Crosby and the defense, who tried to make up for significant holes in their offense. While Crosby received a contract to keep him as the leader of the defense, the Las Vegas offense remains a big problem, with Aidan O’Connell again starting behind center.

One of the players we are most excited to watch is running back Zamir White. The 2022 draft pick served as a backup to Josh Jacobs for the first two seasons, but he was electric as a starter over the final four weeks of last season. He posted 397 over those four games, averaging an impressive 4.7 yards per carry. Jacobs is now with the Packers, meaning we’ll see if the former Georgia star can continue that momentum into 2024. 

Bet on Las Vegas Raiders (+900) at FanDuel 

Denver Broncos (+2000 at FanDuel)

The Broncos managed to turn their season around, and we think the future is bright in the Mile High City. A big reason for that is the departure of Russell Wilson and Jerry Jeudy. The team had hoped both would help lead this team to a Super Bowl, but injuries and dysfunction in the locker room limited what the two stars could do. While their departure may mean another losing season for the Broncos in 2024, it was clear they weren’t going to get the team where they wanted to go.

Denver spent the twelfth overall pick on quarterback Bo Nix. The long-time college star comes in at 24 years old, meaning he is slightly more mature than your average draft pick. He will be paired with a couple of young players the team has hope for in running back Javonte Williams and receiver Marvin Mims Jr. If Nix can gel with those two and perform well, it could set up a bright future for the Broncos. 

Bet on Denver Broncos (+2000) at FanDuel 

AFC West Pick - My Pick

Kansas City Chiefs -230 at FanDuel Sportsbook

The Chiefs are the only bet to make in the AFC West. The three other teams are capable of surprising, but none have anywhere close to the talent of the reigning Super Bowl champions. Considering that Kansas City has made some upgrades at receiver, we think they will finish with the best record in the league this season.

Bet on Kansas Chiefs (-230) at FanDuel 

Previous AFC West Winners

The Kansas City Chiefs have dominated this division, taking over from the Denver Broncos in 2016. 

Below are the last ten teams to win the AFC West:

YearWinnerPlayoff Results
2015Denver BroncosLost Divisional Round
2015Denver BroncosWon Super Bowl
2016Kansas City ChiefsLost Divisional Round
2017Kansas City ChiefsLost Wild Card Round
2018Kansas City ChiefsWon Super Bowl
2019Kansas City ChiefsLost Super Bowl
2020Kansas City ChiefsLost Super Bowl
2021Kansas City ChiefsLost AFC Championship
2022Kansas City ChiefsWon Super Bowl
2023Kansas City ChiefsWon Super Bowl

How to Read NFL Future Odds

NFL futures odds work the same as any other bet. Each bet includes a number following the team or player, preceded by a plus or minus sign. 

A plus sign before the number usually indicates an underdog, which is common with futures bets. If the odds next to a team or player have a plus sign, that is the amount that you will win for every $100 you bet.

A minus sign usually indicates the favorite to win, though they are rarely seen for future bets. A minus sign in front of the odds means that is how much you need to bet to win $100.

For example, you bet $100 on the Broncos +350 to win the AFC West. If they win the division, you will win $350. 

If you aren't looking to bet $100 at a time, don't worry! Check out our odds calculator to help you determine potential winnings based on different wager amounts.

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the AFC West

Are you ready to start betting on the AFC West but unsure where to start? If so, we have you covered with our sportsbook reviews. Below is a comparison between some of the industry’s top online sportsbooks.

Odds for AFC West FavoriteChiefs -230Chiefs -250Chiefs -250
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More NFL Division Betting Guides


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Michael Savio

Sports Betting Analyst

Gambling News
Online Sports Betting
Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Political Science
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
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