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First Quarterback Selected NFL Draft Predictions & Odds 2021

Written by: Mike Lukas
Updated October 14, 2022
12 min read
First Quarterback
  • The clear favorite for this prop bet is the multi-talented Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence
  • At a distant second and third here are BYU’s Zach Wilson and OSU’s Justin Fields 
  • Our longshot QB is Georgia’s Kyle Flask despite opting out of the 2020 season

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Teams like the 1-15 Jacksonville Jaguars and the 2-14 New York Jets are now desperately seeking quarterback talent and this 2021/22 NFL Draft is filled with plenty of it, so we share our predictions, odds, and picks for which of these rocket-armed prospects will be selected first.

First Quarterback Selected Odds

Odds taken 27 April, 2021 from DraftKings Sportsbook

Player/University Odds
Trevor Lawrence, Clemson -10000
Zach Wilson, BYU +1600
Justin Fields, Georgia + Ohio State +4000
Trey Lance, North Dakota State +8000
Jamie Newman, Wake Forest + Georgia +20000
Kyle Trask, Florid +50000

Odds from DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or check out more offers and promo codes for the best online sportsbooks.

First Quarterback Selected Predictions and Picks

Trevor Lawrence is that once-in-a-lifetime combination of talent and physical makeup that comes along every so often and that has every NFL offensive coordinator licking his chops, the clear favorite and our pick to win this prop bet.


Trevor Lawrence  (-10000)

How to Watch NFL Draft 2021/2022

NFL Draft Information
What NFL Draft 2021/2022
Where Cleveland, OH
When Thu, April 29 thru Sat May 1, 2021
How to watch NFL Network/ESPN

Favorites to Win

Trevor Lawrence, Clemson

What’s not to like about this 6’ 6” 220-pound team leader who compiled a 34-2 record in his three seasons with Clemson along with a CFP National Championship in 2018 and the MVP honors that go along with it.

The ACC Player of the Year in 2020 and 3x ACC Champion has been the darling of NFL scouts since he threw for 30 touchdowns his freshman season, with Lawrence posting 90 total TDs and 10,000+ passing yards in the three years he was a Clemson Tiger.

Every mock draft out there has Trevor Lawrence going first overall to the Jacksonville Jaguars, who have been struggling to find their franchise QB for some time now.

Zach Wilson, BYU

After the incredible 2020 season that this 21-year old had at BYU under center, it is no wonder that Zach Wilson joins the conversation for top QB in this draft, his three-season college career-ending as the MVP of the 2020 Boca Raton Bowl.

At 6’ 3” and 210 pounds, Wilson looks and throws like an NFL quarterback, with the stats to back that up over three years, completing 566 passes in that time for a total of 7,600+ yards for 56 touchdowns with only 15 interceptions.

Most mocks have Wilson going to the New York Jets with the second overall pick, just after Lawrence goes number one to the Jags.

Justin Fields, Georgia + Ohio State

Fields spent his 2018 at Georgia in the SEC and then transferred to OSU and dominated the Big Ten for two seasons, a 2x Graham-George Offensive Player of the Year and a 2x Griese-Brees QB of the Year.

Though his Buckeyes came up short in the CFP National Championship game against Alabama, Fields’ OSU numbers have NFL scouts on the lookout, with a 20-2 record and almost 400 completions for 5,373 yards and 63 touchdowns with 9 interceptions in two seasons.

Mock trades aside, some pre-drafts have Fields going at number four overall to the Atlanta Falcons, who seem ready to move on from Matt Ryan, while other mocks have his going to the QB hungry Panthers at eight.

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No Chance to Win

As talented as these two quarterback prospects are, they have little to no chance to win this challenging prop bet due and the oddsmakers have handicapped them accordingly.

Kyle Trask, Florida

Keep your eyes on this 6’ 5” 240-pound prospect who dominated the SEC the last two seasons, the Florida QB a Heisman Trophy finalist in 2020 after a season where he completed over 300 passes for 4,283 yards and 43 touchdowns with just 8 interceptions.

In his three years with the Gators, Trask has completed over 550 passes for 7,300+ yards and almost 70 TDs with just 15 picks along with 132 rush attempts for 8 more touchdowns.

Most mocks have Trask going in the second round or later, but that could change depending on trade-ups.

Jamie Newman, Wake Forest + Georgia

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Newman opted out of the 2020 season and spent the time preparing for the NFL draft.

Despite transferring to Georgia for his final year of college eligibility, the 6’ 4” 230 pound Newman played his college football at Wake Forest, where he posted 306 completions for almost 4,000 passing yards and 35 touchdowns over his three seasons there.

Most mock drafts have Newman going in the second round or later, though trade-ups by certain teams in need of QB help could change that on the day of the draft.

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Mike Lukas

1204 Articles

Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager. Email: [email protected]

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