Lions vs. Texans SNF Picks, Predictions & Player Props: Expect CJ Stroud to Round Back Into Form

• CJ Stroud was held to just 191 passing yards against the New York Jets last Thursday

• Star wide receiver Nico Collins is expected to make his return from injury

• The Detroit Lions defense ranks below league average in Def Pass Success Rate and Adjusted Sack Rate

With Nico Collins expected to make his return from injury, CJ Stroud will have the opportunity to round back into form after being held to just 191 total passing yards last Thursday against the New York Jets. Collins is a field stretching star talent who commands defensive attention, freeing up space for their other pass catchers to help give Stroud higher quality passing lanes. With Detroit’s defense struggling to pressure opposing quarterbacks, expect Stroud to bounce back in a big way.

Lions vs. Texans Odds 

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Lions vs. Texans My Pick

• My Pick: Houston Texans +3.5 (-110) at BetMGM

Even though Detroit’s odds to win the Super Bowl continue to grow, negative regression looms large as their defense has benefited from critical down luck while their offense is routinely averaging less yards per play and getting outgained. Heading into Sunday, Jared Goff faces off against one of the best defenses in the league as the Texans currently rank top-10 in Def DVOA, EPA, Success Rate, Adjusted Line Yards, and Adjusted Sack Rate. Expect the Lions offense to drastically slow down while their own defense struggles to defend against the Texans pass attack.

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Lions vs. Texans Predictions 

With Detroit’s pass attack expected to slow down, the Lions may opt into a heavier dose of the run as their star duo of David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs should help them stay ahead of the sticks against a Texans front seven who ranks in the middle of the pack in Def Rush Success Rate. That means less pass attempts for Jared Goff, shading value towards the under on his player props while the clock simultaneously keeps moving after each carry.

Lions vs. Texans Best Player Props

Jared Goff Under 220.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)

Even with Jameson Williams making his return from suspension, the Lions vaunted group of pass catchers will struggle to create separation from a Texans secondary that ranks top-10 in Def Pass DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate. Goff may also find himself with less time in the pocket than he has been accustomed to as the Texans front line ranks top-5 in Adjusted Sack Rate and Pressure Rate. Especially if Defensive Player of the Year contender Will Anderson Jr suits up, giving the Texans a consistent source of pass rush production on the edge.

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CJ Stroud Over 225.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)

While Goff is expected to struggle, CJ Stroud is in a position to round back into form as the Lions defense has struggled to generate pressure and limit opposing pass production. Nico Collins is also expected to make his return from injury, giving Stroud his number one target who can stretch the field and burn any opposing corner in single coverage. Even if Za’Darius Smith is able to play after being traded on Tuesday, the Texans offensive line can shift their protection to double him while forcing someone else to beat them.

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Joe Mixon Under 78.5 Rushing Yards (-120 at BetMGM Sportsbook)

With the Texans offense in a position to thrive through the air, Joe Mixon may see a decrease in rush attempts which handicaps his chances of clearing the total on his rushing yards prop. The Lions front seven have excelled at limiting opposing rush production when in the middle of the field, entering the contest ranked top-10 in Def Rush DVOA and Success Rate. Houston’s offensive line also struggles to open up high quality rushing lanes as the Texans rank near dead last in Off Adjusted Line Yards.

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Detroit Lions vs. Houston Texans How to Watch

• When: Sunday, November 10th

• Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas

• Where to Watch: NBC

Detroit Lions vs. Houston Texans Best Promos and Sportsbooks

Take a look at some of the best NFL promos and top NFL betting sites available in the U.S. for Sunday night’s primetime matchup between the Detroit Lions and Houston Texans. Our favorites are listed in the table below.

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Detroit Lions vs. Houston Texans Injuries

Detroit Lions

• DE Za’Darius Smith - Questionable

• DE Josh Paschal - Questionable

• LB Malcolm Rodriguez - Questionable

Houston Texans

• WR Nico Collins - Questionable

• OG Jarrett Patterson - Questionable

• DE Will Anderson Jr - Questionable

• LB Azeez Al-Shaair - Questionable

• FS Jimmie Ward - Questionable

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