Dallas Cowboys quarterback Cooper Rush averaged 1.9 yards per attempt in Week 10.
Houston Texans running back Joe Mixon has scored in every game he’s started and finished this season.
Ahead of this game, Cowboys head coach Mike McCarthy said Rico Dowdle will be the lead running back.
On Monday Night Football in Week 11 of the NFL season, the 3-6 Dallas Cowboys will host the 6-4 Houston Texans. Both teams are on losing streaks, with Dallas losing their last four and Houston losing their last two.
The headline heading into this game is the Cowboys without quarterback Dak Prescott. In his place will be Cooper Rush once again, who was benched at his start last week for third-string signal-caller Trey Lance.
Below is a four-leg Same Game Parlay with odds of +625 for this game, featuring players like Rush, Rico Dowdle, Joe Mixon, and more. All odds are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook, where you can get a $1,000 First bet on Caesars if your wager loses when you use our promo code “WSN1000.”
I don’t feel great about the Texans at -7.5 against most teams, but it’s hard to not see them covering this against the Cowboys.
The only rationale for taking the Cowboys +7.5 would be the value of the bet.
Other than that, I’m not sure what else to point to.
Sure, the Eagles, who the Cowboys played last week, have a better defense than the Texans, but Rush and Lance combined for just over two yards per attempt. They attempted 29 passes and threw for 66 yards.
The Texans have allowed two touchdown passes or more in four of the last five games, but that’s assuming you think Rush can take advantage of that.
Over his career, Rush has completed 178 of 298 passes (59.7%) for nine touchdowns and six interceptions.
The Cowboys rushing attack is second-worst in the league. Sure, they’re turning things over to Dowdle as the main back, but I’m just not sure where the offense comes from in this game.
As for the Texans, they’ll face a Cowboys defense that’s allowed five touchdown passes over the last two games. They’re also allowing 1.11 rushing touchdowns per game to running backs.
I could see the Cowboys reaching 10-13 points, but not much more than that.
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With a four-leg parlay, I always like adding a relatively reliable one that doesn’t offer fantastic standalone odds but helps drive the overall parlay line.
That’s this one: Mixon is scoring a touchdown.
As mentioned, the Cowboys allow 1.11 rushing touchdowns per game to running backs. They’ve allowed four over the last four games.
As for Mixon, he’s scored in every game this season except for Week 2, when he left due to injury.
In addition, Mixon has had 24 carries or more in five of seven games this season.
He’ll get a ton of volume and will score.
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The Texans are holding opposing quarterbacks to 195.6 passing yards per game this season. As for the line of 183.5, they’ve held five quarterbacks to 183 yards or less.
This week, they take on Rush. He’s started seven games in his career and has had 184 passing yards or more in four of those seven. The most recent game with more than 184 yards came in October of 2022, when he had 223 yards against Washington.
The Cowboys are sizeable underdogs, which could result in Rush throwing a lot. Even if that’s the case, he attempted 23 passes last week and had 45 passing yards.
I’m taking the under here.
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Heading into this game, Cowboys head coach Mike McCarthy has said that Dowdle is “the lead back” and “needs to touch the ball.”
Those are certainly encouraging signs.
Alongside Dowdle, this season in the backfield has been Ezekiel Elliott, who’s averaging just 3.2 yards per carry on 54 totes.
Yeah, that’s not working out too well.
Meanwhile, Dowdle has 83 carries and is averaging 4.5 yards per carry. He’s had 12 carries or less in seven of eight games this season.
The Texans allow 84.9 rushing yards per game to running backs, and I don’t anticipate Dowdle will have much competition for snaps after McCarthy’s comments.
On top of that, he might be the only reliable offense they have.
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