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Seahawks Total Points Under 17.5 (-110)
Tony Pollard Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Jake Ferguson Anytime Touchdown (+175)
Tyler Lockett Under 4.5 Receptions (-110)
Week 13 begins with the Seattle Seahawks traveling to Dallas to face the Cowboys on Thursday night. This matchup is big for Dallas as they look to defeat their first opponent with a record above .500.
The Cowboys are 8-3 but have zero wins against teams with a record above .500. They have one of the best defenses in the NFL and have terrorized offenses all season. Dallas has proven they’re a contender, but they haven’t checked all the boxes just yet.
Seattle has been very inconsistent through the first two-thirds of the year. There was a lot of hope coming into the season for the Seahawks after their success in 2022, but they have underperformed. Seattle has the team to be great and make a run in the postseason, but they need to improve their play.
It will be very interesting to see how Geno Smith handles Dallas’ pass rush. Seattle's defense doesn’t have too much to offer compared to Dallas, so they will be forced to lean on their offense in this spot.
Dallas comes into this game as a nine-point favorite. Seattle is one of those teams that could shock the world, especially with the possibility of getting back Kenneth Walker in their backfield.
Laying this many points in primetime isn’t ideal, so we’re crafting a same-game parlay with some elite prop wagers. Let’s break down the ticket!
Seattle has a lot of offensive talent but has struggled to convert in the red zone. They have scored under 17.5 points, which is their Thursday line, in four of their last seven games. Running back Kenneth Walker is expected to return from his one-week absence, which may provide a boost for Seattle.
Dallas’ defense has been stellar, and we believe this will continue. Walker won’t do enough to get the team over 17.5 points. Dallas hasn’t been tested, but many of their defensive players are ranked in the top ten, according to PFF.
We expect the Cowboys' offense to be as good as they have been in recent weeks and control the clock, which will limit Seattle’s possessions. This will help the defense stay fresh and neutralize Geno Smith.
Cowboys running back Tony Pollard took the lead back role from Ezekiel Elliot when Dallas declined the option to re-sign the former starter before the 2023 season. Since then, it has been the Pollard show in Dallas.
It has been hard for Pollard to stay consistent for this team. While he has found plenty of success on the ground, fans were hopeful that he would provide much more than he has at this point in the year.
Pollard has been hot for the last two weeks and comes into a matchup against a team that has struggled against the run. We believe Pollard will continue to produce for his third game in a row and easily clear this 59.5-yard line.
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Tyler Lockett has been a viable receiving option for Seattle in his career. He has been fairly quiet for the former Kansas State wide receiver. While he has produced in plenty of games, he has also had multiple contests where he didn’t get the ball thrown his way.
Dallas ranks second in the league in the completion category. Opposing teams are only completing 17.7 passes against this stout Cowboys defense.
We believe Lockett will be locked down in this game. We also think Smith won’t have the confidence to throw his way in double coverage, which will keep Lockett under 4.5 receptions.
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Jake Ferguson has effectively replaced Dalton Shultz at the tight end position in 2023. Ferguson has been quiet the last two weeks but scored in three of his past five games.
Ferguson has become one of Dak Prescott's favorite targets in the red zone and should continue to see the volume. Seattle's defense gives up 1.3 passing touchdowns per game.
Dallas will find their way to the red zone, and Ferguson should get a couple of opportunities to score in the first half.
Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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