We have a pair of Monday Night Football matches in Week 4, but one clearly stands above the other: the Seattle Seahawks and Detroit Lions. These teams have scored a lot of points in their last few matchups, but can that continue against improved defenses?
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We just don’t trust this Seahawks team. They have faced the easiest schedule possible, with wins against the Broncos, Pats, and a banged-up Dolphins team. Seattle did everything they were supposed to do in those wins, but they also committed many mistakes that those struggling offenses couldn’t take advantage of. That won’t be the case against the Lions.
Detroit hasn’t exactly been lighting up the scoreboard, but they are averaging the fourth-most yards per game this season. That is largely due to their impressive run game, which has seen David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs combine for 438 rushing yards and four touchdowns through three weeks.
Seattle has shown some issues stopping the run this season. While they shut down a broken Dolphins offense on the ground, they were bad in their first two games. They allowed the Broncos to average 4.0 YPC, and then let Antonio Gibson and the Pats to average 5.1 YPC en route to 185 yards.
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The Lions and Seahawks have put up a ton of points the last few times they have met, but that won’t be the case today. That is primarily due to improvement from both of these defenses. Granted the Seahawks have yet to be truly tested, but they are allowing the fewest passing second-fewest total yards per game in the league. They already have 11 sacks and are allowing offenses to average just 4.7 yards per pass attempt.
The Lions' secondary has not been as sharp, but pass rusher Aidan Hutchinson helps make up for that by keeping constant pressure on quarterbacks. The team is far better against the run, allowing the fourth-fewest rushing yards in the league.
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We believe the Lions will win this game by pounding the ground. They have one of the best backfields in the league and will be against a run defense that has struggled to stop lesser talent this season.
Seattle does have a dangerous secondary, which will help them account for the Lions' many weapons. However, that won’t matter when the Lions let Montgomery and Gibbs control the game. They’ll get burned for some big plays, but the majority of Detroit’s offense will come on on the ground.
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