The Pittsburgh Steelers were embarrassed on their home field against the San Francisco 49ers last week. This was an uncharacteristically bad loss in the NFL, and we should see a better performance from Pittsburgh.
The Steelers will host the Browns, and Cleveland is coming off their first win of the season over the Bengals. Cincinnati is struggling to start the year, but the Browns looked fantastic in their season opener. Picking a side in this game is difficult, but there is a lot of value in the prop markets.
We give props for every primetime game on the slate. Make sure to check back every Monday, Thursday, and Sunday for all the plays from the WSN team.
Nick Chubb is one of the most dominant rushers in the NFL and has been for years. The running back carried the ball 18 times for 106 yards and averaged 5.9 yards per attempt last week against the Bengals.
Cincinnati has been fantastic on the defensive side of the ball the past couple of seasons, but Chubb is too strong. The Steelers have a strong front seven with TJ Watt leading the charge, but the 49ers blasted them for 60 minutes last week.
If Christian McCaffrey can run for 100+ yards against Pittsburgh, Chubb has the same capability. The Browns have a talented offensive line, and they’re a team that commits to the ground game. Chubb will be in the mix whether they have a lead or are playing from behind.
In two games, Chubb carried the ball 35 times against the Steelers last season. He ran for 190 yards, which was 5.4 yards per attempt.
He recorded just one touchdown but had a long rush of 36 yards. Points may be hard to find in this primetime game, but we like Chubb to get his touches and yards throughout the night.
Deshaun Watson is not a quarterback who will air the ball out down the field. He is a quarterback who will use his legs to manipulate defenses. We’ve noticed this since he returned to the Browns last season.
There was a time when Watson was the NFL passing leader, but these days appear to be long gone. His passing yardage total is listed at 200.5 yards on Monday, and we like him to go under in primetime.
There are a few reasons for taking the under on his total. As we said before, the Browns should lean on the run in all moments of this game.
They could be down by double digits and still elect to run the ball, which takes production away from Watson’s passing. We don’t believe this will be a high-scoring affair and a game where Cleveland must throw to win.
Kenny Pickett looked horrendous in Week 1, and he isn’t a signal caller who will sling the ball all over the field. Look for the Browns to control the clock, lean on Chubb, and limit Watson’s passing attempts.
George Pickens is the feature target for Pickett. Pickett isn’t a great quarterback, and he will have his struggles in this game. However, look for him to still find chances down the field to Pickens.
Pickens played as well as he could under the circumstances last week. The great players can bounce back, and we like this to happen for Pickens on Monday night. He hauled in five catches for 36 yards and averaged 7.2 yards per catch.
These stats came on a night when the Steelers were lucky to record any chances. If Pickett has more time to throw the ball, it should be a productive night for the former Georgia Bulldog receiver.
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