Monday Night Football Prop Bets: Best MNF Player Props Week 14

Written by: Tanner Kern
Published December 11, 2023
7 min read

The NFL has gifted us with two Monday Night Football games this week. The first of two simultaneous contests is the Packers and Giants from MetLife Stadium. Green Bay is thriving, while New York is fading.

The Giants have struggled as of late. With all of the injuries this team has endured, it’s no wonder they can’t gain any traction. New York lost Daniel Jones for the season and has been forced to start Tommy DeVito. DeVito has done his best for an undrafted free agent, but he isn’t a franchise quarterback. 

The Packers are coming off a home win against the defending world champions, the Kansas City Chiefs. Green Bay has looked very good in their last few games and currently holds the seventh seed in the NFC playoff picture. The Packers can win out with a very easy schedule to end the season. 

In the second game, the Tennessee Titans travel to Miami to battle the Dolphins. Miami has looked like a tough contender all season. Tyreek Hill leads the league in receiving yards and hasn’t looked better. 

Tennessee’s season isn’t quite over, but with a record of 4-8 and a division full of similar records, they haven’t been eliminated yet. While Derrick Henry has been efficient, he hasn’t been as good as he was in the past few years. Henry and rookie quarterback Will Levis will look to lead their team to an upset win to gain momentum in the season's final third. 

The Packers come in as six-point favorites over the Giants, while the Dolphins are 13.5-point favorites against the Titans. Let’s break down our favorite prop bets for the action.

NFL MNF Prop Bets Week 14
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Jayden Reed Over 4.5 Receptions (-106) on FanDuel SportsBook

The Packers found a new reliable target for Jordan Love. Rookie wide receiver Jayden Reed has taken over as Love’s favorite target. Fellow receiver Christian Watson has been ruled out for this game with a hamstring injury, so Reed should see an increased workload. 

This injury is similar to the one he suffered earlier this season which held him out for the first part of the 2023 season. 

Reed has averaged just under four catches a game since week seven. We understand that this number is lower than his line for catches, but with Watson's injury, he should receive more targets.

The Giants defense gives up just over 20 completions per game on average. Even though we don’t think very highly of the Giants, Green Bay will still need to keep their foot on the gas pedal to avoid a potential upset. 

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Tommy DeVito Interception (-168) On FanDuel Sportsbook

DeVito hasn't played great after taking on the starting job for the last four weeks. He has thrown three interceptions in those four games, but the team has picked up two wins against the Commanders and the Patriots. 

DeVito also doesn’t have the best-receiving core for the job either. He will likely continue to struggle as the season goes on but has played well enough to be a backup.

The Packers' defense has been pretty banged up in the last month, but it doesn’t stop them from making the big plays when it matters. We believe the Packers will confuse DeVito and find a way to create a turnover. 

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Tucker Kraft Over 26.5 Receiving Yards (-108) on FanDuel Sportsbook

Green Bay’s starting tight end, Luke Musgrave, was placed on injured reserve following Week 11. The injury put rookie tight end Tucker Kraft in line to take on the starting job. 

In his two weeks as the starter, he’s been a very effective target for Love, accumulating five catches for 52 yards and one touchdown. 

The Giants' defense gives up just under 230 passing yards per game to opposing teams. There hasn’t been much good to say about the Giants passing defense. 

We expect Love to target Kraft four or five times, hitting this over before this game gets out of reach for New York. 

The Packers have struggled in recent years to keep tight ends involved in the games, but with Love starting to play a lot better, he’s found a use for his bigger targets. 

As long as Musgrave is sidelined, Kraft should continue to see consistency in targets, especially when Love is rushed out of the pocket. 

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Raheem Mostert Anytime Touchdown (+115) on FanDuel Sportsbook

Raheem Mostert’s career has been riddled with injuries. Since joining the Dolphins, he has been reborn as one of the best running backs in the NFL. 

Mostert’s ability to get in between the tackles, especially in the red zone, is better than any of his seasons in San Francisco. Miami is also second in the league in total rushing yards, only less than that of the Baltimore Ravens. 

With De’Von Achane returning from his short stint on injured reserve, most believe it will affect Mostert's production. However, they each ran the ball extremely well in every game where both players were healthy. 

Miami has been one of the most electrifying teams to watch all season, and it has a lot to do with the running game along with Tyreek Hill. We expect Mostert to get more than enough opportunities to get in the end zone for his 15th touchdown of the season. 

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Tua Tagovailoa Under 287.5 Passing Yards (-110) on FanDuel Sportsbook 

The Dolphins have scored 32 points per game this season. This puts them second in the league behind Dallas. Miami hasn’t been afraid of the end zone in any way, shape, or form this year. Tua Tagovailoa is the primary reason for this fact. 

Tagovailoa has hit this over consistently, but we believe in this game, the Dolphins will control the score and lean on the run. Based on the two-touchdown spread, this could be a game where he won’t even play in the fourth quarter. 

The Titans only average 17.5 points per game, which ranks them 24th in the NFL. Tennessee has moved on to what they believe is the future at quarterback in Will Levis.

Levis seems to be a better option than the other two options, but he hasn’t quite developed enough to conquer a team like the Dolphins. 

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Derrick Henry Over 54.5 Rushing Yards (-118) on FanDuel Sportsbooks 

Derrick Henry has been an icon in the league for a few years now. From his poster making stiff arms to defenders to breaking long runs, he has been a menace for opposing defenses.

Henry hasn’t been as good this year as others in the past, but the team is still feeding the big back.

The Dolphins have the eighth-best run defense in the league, but it’s really hard to stop Henry when he gets going in space.

This line at 54.5 is low compared to where it’s typically positioned. While we don’t believe this game will be close, we still think he can rack up the yards to get this bet into the win column.

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Tanner Kern

Sports Betting Analyst & On-Air Host

Expertise:
MLB
NCAAB
NCAAF
NFL
Online Sports Betting
Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.
Nationality: American
Education: M.S in Sports Journalism
Favourite Sportsbook: Fanatics Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: Caesars Palace
Experience:
4 years
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