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The Battle for Ohio takes place on Halloween night as the Cleveland Browns host the Ja’Marr Chase-less Cincinnati Bengals.
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The line on this game outside the Same Game Parlay rests at three points. With that line, we’re still on board with the Bengals, but with the hook, we have to take the home team here.
The Bengals are without Chase, which will significantly shift their game plan. Without Chase, the Bengals don’t have that big play guy down the field as Tyler Boyd plays out of the slot, and Tee Higgins is more of a big-body receiver. He has an average target depth of 11 yards and 14.7 yards per reception.
In this one, the Bengals will run the ball more, and the Browns are also, as we know, a run-based team.
At 3.5, it’s hard to imagine the Bengals winning by double digits or even a touchdown here. This one should be pretty close.
Without Chase in the lineup, Boyd will play snaps on both the outside and in the slot for almost the entire game. Regardless of where he lines up, he’ll likely find himself up against Greg Newsome II who’s allowed receptions on 65.5% of passes targeted his way, as well as 216 yards and a touchdown.
Boyd may also run into Denzel Ward, which would be arguably even better—he’s allowed 293 yards and a touchdown across just five games.
Last week against the Atlanta Falcons, Boyd saw season-highs in targets, catches, and yards, going for 155.
This is a great secondary to score touchdowns against.
As home underdogs, the Browns may need to, at some point, throw the ball to stay in the game. Their rushing attack is good enough that they could likely stabilize a lead, but throwing the ball will become necessary at some point.
Cooper is the No. 1 option on the Browns and has scored touchdowns in four of his last six games. He’s also seen double-digit targets in all but three games this year.
He’ll match up against a solid corner in Chidobe Awuzie, but he’ll also see some looks for cornerback Eli Apple.
The Browns' offense isn’t exactly the team to bank on for passing touchdowns. Still, as home underdogs and without tight end David Njoku in the lineup, Cooper should have plenty of opportunities to get into the end zone.
The +170 odds are the icing on the cake.
After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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