Week 12 of the NFL season is here. We're closing in on December football. Thanksgiving Day is in the rear-view mirror, and the playoff seedings are starting to take shape.
Here, we've crafted a three-leg parlay at DraftKings Sportsbook. The odds on this parlay are +581.
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Let's check this one out.
The Baltimore Ravens allow about 250 passing yards per game but hold opponents to 86.4 rushing yards per game. Their rushing yards numbers are third-best in the league.
The Jaguars are in the same realm—247.6 passing and 110.1 rushing.
The Jaguars are certainly healthier than the Ravens heading into this one, as DeSean Jackson, Kyle Hamilton, Gus Edwards, and Ronnie Stanley are all questionable.
The Jaguars have running back Travis Etienne. He averages a few targets per game, but they'll want him to get involved in the running game considering his 24 carries in Week 8 and 28 in Week 9.
However, the Ravens' run defense is too good for the Jaguars to run on them, and their passing game isn't quite good enough to manipulate the Ravens' defense.
Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has been OK this season, completing 65.2% of his passes, but he has 12 turnover-worthy plays, which is a 3% rate when accounting for his attempts.
The Ravens had Demarcus Robinson get involved last week, but when it's all said and done, Lamar Jackson will seek out tight end Mark Andrews and utilize the running game. The Ravens have a positive EPA per play in both the run and pass.
The Jaguars won't win or cover in this one.
At -2, this is a spread we can afford to take the Broncos with. The Broncos' offense has become a bit of a laughingstock.
They haven't scored more than 23 points at all this season. Their highest point total was 23 back in early October.
However, the Panthers are even worse, averaging 177 passing yards and 110.5 rushing yards per game.
Yes, D'Onta Foreman has been great, but this Broncos' defense is arguably the best in the league, giving up just 186.8 passing and 115.3 rushing yards per game.
Also, the Panthers will start Sam Darnold in his first game of the season.
He will have a tough day against this Broncos pass rush and their secondary locking receivers down, thus helping the pass rush.
This will be another low-scoring game for the Panthers.
The Texans have benched Davis Mills and will give Kyle Allen the start. The last time Allen started an NFL game was Week 9 of the 2020 season. In 2020, he had four starts, completed 69% of his passes for four touchdowns, and had a 2.8% turnover-worthy play rate.
Allen has been fine when he's played, but it's been quite some time.
Allen and the Texans will try to rely on running back Dameon Pierce here, of course. Still, the Dolphins' offense is so outstanding that the Texans might have trouble getting that running game going.
Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is one of the best quarterbacks in the league this year, completing 71% of his passes for 2,265 yards, 18 touchdowns, and three interceptions. He's also thrown for three touchdowns in three straight games.
His receivers are Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill, two of the most dominant speed threats in the league. The Texans' secondary will not be able to contend with them.
The Dolphins will dismantle Houston and Allen here.
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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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