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The NFL is back for the Week 7 slate, and it kicked off with the Arizona Cardinals hosting the New Orleans Saints on Thursday Night Football.
Here, we’re going to create a three-leg parlay at DraftKings that also includes theq Monday Night Football game, which rounds out the week of games.
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Let’s create this parlay, starting with an NFC South matchup.
Pick: Buccaneers -13 (-110) at DraftKings
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It’s no secret that the Buccaneers have struggled this season in Brady’s unretired year. The team was a double-digit favorite on the road against the Pittsburgh Steelers and lost outright.
On the road again, they’re 11-point favorites. Still, this time it’s against the feeble, the flailing, the decimated, the minor league-like Panthers.
This week, in the second game under interim head coach Steve Wilks, the Panthers will start P.J. Walker. He’ll have to battle against a Buccaneers secondary that has played well for the most part.
They have two great cornerbacks in Jamel Dean and Antoine Winfield Jr. and Carlton Davis, and safety Mike Edwards playing fine, too.
Up front, the Panthers’ offensive line has actually been fairly decent. Still, they’ll have to contend with Lavonte David (also great in coverage), Joe Tryon-Shoyinka, and Shaquil Barrett rushing the passer.
Defensively, the Panther should still be able to get some pressure on Brady with this Buccaneers offensive line, but outside of running back Christian McCaffrey dominating, it’s difficult to pinpoint where the scoring comes from out of Carolina.
Due to that alone, the Buccaneers could cover this game, even scoring just 20-or-so points.
Pick: Jets ML (+100) at DraftKings
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We’ve tried, Denver, we’ve tried.
After scoring just 16 points and going to overtime, it’s impossible to pick the Broncos to win a game right now.
The point spread in this one is the Broncos as a one-point home favorite. Still, despite how good their defense has been, the Jets’ defense is also good enough to continue to hold this offense down.
Whether in base or nickel, the Jets have three cornerbacks in D.J. Reed Jr., Sauce Gardner, and Michael Carter II that can hang with the Broncos receivers. Reed Jr. and Gardner have allowed a receptions percentage under 50% combined, which doesn’t pose well for the Broncos and quarterback Russell Wilson.
You never want to count out someone like Wilson fully, but he’s just been awful this year. He’s not able to throw the ball downfield with all that much success—a staple of his game—and his passes underneath almost go nowhere. His average depth of target on passes 0-9 yards downfield is just 4.1 yards.
The Broncos’ offensive line injuries will have a challenging time against a Jets defensive line with studs across the board—Carl Lawson, Quinnen Williams, John Franklin-Myers, Sheldon Rankins, and to a lesser extent, Bryce Huff.
The Jets win this one outright.
Pick: Patriots -8 (-110) at DraftKings
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Curse you, schedule makers.
After seeing the Chicago Bears on Thursday Night Football against the Washington Commanders, there’s only one word to describe them: Woof.
This team is just terrible.
It’s not entirely clear who the Patriots are starting in this one. Still, this situation is similar to the Dallas Cowboys in that they should let Bailey Zappe, who’s been quite good, start until the wheels fall off the wagon before bringing Mac Jones back in.
The Patriots could likely start anyone off the street against the Bears and do OK.
Laying eight points with the Patriots and Zappe in a game where the total is 40 causes some trepidation, but finding ways for the Bears to score is difficult.
The Bears have some solid secondary players in Jaylon Johnson and Eddie Jackson, but that’s not relevant, as the Patriots are a team that likes to run the ball.
However, if they need to throw, Zappe showed us last week that he’s more than capable, going for over 300 yards and two scores against the Cleveland Browns.
The Bears go up against a Patriots defense led by cornerback Jack Jones. He will immediately lock up whatever receiver he’s on. Also, head coach Bill Belichick is known for crafting a defensive scheme to remove the opposing team’s biggest threat.
This week, it’s quarterback Justin Fields. Expect the Patriots to have some exotic looks on defense mixed with someone spying Fields.
It wouldn’t surprise us to see another single-digit scoring day from the Bears—there are simply no options on offense.
After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.
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