Heading into the season, a primetime game between the Green Bay Packers and Buffalo Bills would’ve been thought of as one of the best games of the season.
Well, the Bills are 11.5-point favorites against a Packers offense that just can’t seem to get anything going and coming off a loss against the Washington Commanders of all teams.
Even with these questions, there’s still a valuable Same Game Parlay to be built. The one we have below is +500 at DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can get a $1,000 deposit bonus right now when you sign up for an account using our link.
It’s hard not to bet on the Bills in this one with how dominant they are in every fashion, but 11.5 points are just way too much.
The Packers have scored 20 points or more in four of their last six games. Sure, the Bills are excellent on defense, but you have to think quarterback Aaron Rodgers is doing all he can to get the team ready, especially after watching him on The Pat McAfee Show.
The Bills allow the least rushing yards per game and allow just over 200 passing yards per game. These are great stats defensively, but the Packers allow a league-low in passing yards at 169.
Allen will throw and run, but the Bills do have a legitimate challenge on defense here in coverage. They have a number of weapons, so they’ll be able to gain some ground, but this isn’t going to be a monstrous shellacking, and the Packers should hang around.
As 11.5-point underdogs, the only chance the Packers have, considering the Bills allow the least rushing yards per game, is throwing the ball.
Rodgers hasn’t hit 250 passing yards since Week 4, but that’ll be his only chance here.
He mentioned on The Pat McAfee Show that the Packers are committing a number of mental errors, and those will need to get cleaned up.
This is a roll of the dice, but it’s the only chance the Packers have.
The Packers allow less than 170 passing yards per game, but we do have to consider just how good Allen and Diggs are. Diggs will face Eric Stokes and Jaire Alexander on the outside, but Alexander, despite his name recognition, hasn’t exactly been his lockdown self.
That said, Alexander has had some excellent games, but he’s had a few games where he’s allowed a reception percentage of 66.7% or more on at least four targets.
Diggs has seen double-digit targets in all but two games this year and has fallen under 75 yards twice. Though, to be fair, in one of those games, he had 74 yards.
The Packers are legit on defense, but Diggs will get plenty of opportunities.
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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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