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To kick off Week 6, we have the Chicago Bears hosting the Washington Commanders. Together, these teams have just three wins and two of them from the home team. The total in this game is quite low, so bookmakers don’t expect much offense.
However, we think differently, which will help us get an edge in our Same Game Parlay.
While neither team is all that riveting, with a combined record of 3-7, the Commanders and Bears both have quite squishy defenses.
The Bears allowed 170 rushing yards per game. While they allow less than 200 passing yards per game, don’t let this deceive you—they still allow 2.4 touchdowns per outing.
For the Commanders, allow close to three touchdowns per game and allow over 110 rushing and 235 passing yards per game.
Sadly, the Bears don’t have the best passing attack to take advantage of this, but their rushing attack with quarterback Justin Fields and running back Khalil Herbert is still capable of scoring some points.
The Commanders have a great passing attack. It’s unclear whether rookie wide receiver Jahan Dotson will play in this, but nonetheless, the team still has wide receivers Terry McLaurin, Curtis Samuel, and Dyami Brown.
Brown just scored a couple of times in Week 5.
The rushing attack could be better, but Antonio Gibson, J.D. McKissic, and the returning Brian Robinson should be able to beat up the Bears.
With rookie wide receiver Jahan Dotson likely to miss this one, the team will turn to McLaurin and Samuel as the primary targets in the passing game. Dyami Brown did have two touchdowns, but it came on two catches, so the likelihood of him having a role beyond a deep threat doesn’t seem likely.
McLaurin has just one score this year, but he’s had 75 or more receiving yards in three games this year and has seen six targets or more in every game except Week 1.
The Bears are not an intimidating defense against the pass or run, and this feels like a great spot to get the No. 1 guy back in the end zone.
While the Bears hold teams under 200 passing yards, it’s not because of a stifling secondary. It’s mainly because the running game is so effective that there’s no need to pass.
While the Commanders are set to have Robinson back after missing the first five games due to a gunshot wound and Antonio Gibson, this isn’t exactly the most dependable running game right now.
Also, if the Bears and Fields can move the ball and score, Wentz will throw the ball all over the yard. He has three games this season with 300 passing yards or more.
Against this defense in a game that we think could be somewhat of a mini shootout, 245 passing yards is not a high bar to clear for a guy throwing the ball more than 40 times per game.
After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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