With the highest point percentage in the Pacific division standings, the Vegas Golden Knights are now in full control of their own destiny in their efforts of winning the division title. Heading into Friday night, the Golden Knights get a favorable matchup against the Utah Hockey Club as Utah currently ranks below league average in both Expected Goals For and Expected Goals Against in All Situations.
Dropping the puck at the same time as Vegas and Utah, we also target the matchup between the Nashville Predators and Calgary Flames as Nashville looks to get back up off the mat after a sluggish start to their season. After entering the year listed as one of the contenders for the Stanley Cup, the Predators have looked anything but the part as they are currently 5-9-3 and at the bottom of the Central division standings.
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After a 10-4-2 start to the season, the Vegas Golden Knights are currently in first place in the Pacific division standings while also possessing the highest point percentage of the group. Against the Utah Hockey Club, the Golden Knights have the opportunity to pad their lead at the top of the division as Utah currently ranks below league average in both Expected Goals For and Expected Goals Against in All Situations.
Their lack of defensive production bodes well for Vegas as their offense has excelled at generating high quality Shots on Goal this season, entering the contest ranked 13th overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.11 Expected Goals per game. Utah’s lack of production from their goaltenders has played a major role in their low marks on defense as their starting goalie Connor Ingram is averaging 3.40 Goals Against per game while generating a lowly Save Percentage of 879.
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As for who will score for the Golden Knights, Pavel Dorofeyev has been their most consistent source of offensive production as he currently leads the team in Expected Goals and Shots on Goal per game. Pavel gets the benefit of playing alongside Jack Eichel and Ivan Barbashev who both command defensive attention, giving Dorofeyev the opportunity to exploit the gaps in coverage and generate a high quality Shot on Goal. With Utah’s back line struggling to defend, back Pavel to score his 10th goal of the season.
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After an offseason full of big name acquisitions to help bolster their roster, the Nashville Predators were swiftly climbing up the oddsboard as a potential contender for the Stanley Cup. At 5-9-3, the Predators odds to make the playoffs continue to decline as their revamped roster struggles to gel together. Especially on defense as the Predators back line currently ranks 22nd overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 3.18 Expected Goals Against per game.
While their defense has struggled, their front line has managed to play at a high level as they rank in the top half of the board in Expected Goals For. Against the Calgary Flames, the Predators offense will be in a position to build on their momentum as the Flames back line ranks equally as poor in Expected Goals Against. Even with both of Calgary’s goalies playing at a high level, the Flames lack of coverage still gives the Predators front line an opportunity to light up the scoreboard.
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Even though the Predators back line have underwhelmed in their efforts of smothering opposing shot attempts, the Calgary Flames forwards have struggled to generate high quality Shots on Goal as their offense currently ranks 24th overall in Expected Goals For in All Situations. As of writing, no one on the Flames roster averages more than 0.40 Expected Goals per game. Should Nashville’s offense exploit Calgary’s gaps in coverage, then the Flames will struggle to match the Predators scoring pace.
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