Calgary Flames vs Dallas Stars Predictions, Odds, Picks

  • The Dallas Stars won three of their four last regular season games.
  • The Calgary Flames won three of their last five regular season games.
  • The Stars were 2-0-1 against the Flames this season.

Calgary Flames vs Dallas Stars Odds

Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook.

Team Spread Total
Calgary Flames -1.5
O 6.5
Dallas Stars +1.5
U 6.5

Calgary Flames vs Dallas Stars Picks

Calgary Flames beat Dallas Stars 3-2

Dallas Stars cover

Under 6.5 goals

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Calgary Flames vs Dallas Stars

Calgary Flames vs Dallas Stars Predictions and Picks

The Calgary Flames will take on the Dallas stars in a heated Game Six. The Flames took Game One in a close 1-0 battle behind an Elias Lindholm power-play goal. The Stars won Games Two and Three 2-0 and 4-2. Jake Oettinger had 29 saves in Game Two, and Joe Pavelski propelled Dallas to a Game Three win with two goals. Jake Oettinger also had 39 saves in Game Three. The Flames tied up the series at two games apiece in Game Four behind Johnny Gaudreau’s one goal and one assist. Jakob Markstrom did not give the stars a chance and saved 34 of 35 shots. Calgary put on a defensive masterpiece in Game Five. They only gave up one goal on 21 shots.

The Calgary Flames have struggled to score goals in the First Round. They scored four goals in Game Four and Five but only scored three goals over Games One through Three. The Flames’ scoring struggle is surprising; they averaged 3.55 goals per game during the regular season and 3.6 goals per game in their final five regular season matches.

The Flames have not had a standout player in this First Round, but Johnny Gaudreau and Elias Lindholm have played well. Gaudreau has one goal and four assists, and Lindholm has three goals and one assist. In addition to these two players, Mikael Backlund has put on a good showing; Backlund has two goals, one assist, and a +/- of 3.

Where would the Calgary Flames be without Jacob Markstrom? Probably not in the lead in this series. The Swedish netminder has been a brick wall in the Playoffs. He only allows 1.21 goals per game and has a save percentage of .952. Make no mistake, Jacob Markstrom is the Flames’ x-factor.

The Dallas Stars had a solid first half but a more mediocre second half. Luckily, they play in the Western Conference, and their 98 points were enough to get the first Wild Card spot.

The Stars have only scored eight goals through these first five games. Michael Raffl, Radek Faksa, Roope Hintz, Tyler Seguin, and Jason Robertson have all scored one goal, but Joe Pavelski has been the star of these playoffs. Pavelski has three goals and one assist. The Stars are averaging less than two goals a game, so they need Jason Robertson and Roope Hintz to step up.

The Stars would be out of this series if not for goaltender Jake Oettinger. Oettinger has started every game in this series and saved 172-181 shots. He is only giving up 2.00 goals per game and keeping his team in the series.

The Flames clearly have the better team and some momentum from their come-from-behind Gave Five win. They should pull out a close win in Game Six.

Head-to-Head: Calgary Flames vs Dallas Stars

Calgary Flames Head-to-Head Dallas Stars
Darryl Sutter Head Coach Rick Bowness
50-21-11 (1st in Pacific Division) Standing 46-30-6 (4th in Central Division)
Leaders (Playoffs)
Johnny Gaudreau (5) Points Joe Pavelski (4)
Elias Lindholm (3) Goals Joe Pavelski (3)
Johnny Gaudreau (4) Assists Jani Hankanpaa (2)
Erik Gudbranson (4) +/- Jamie Benn (2)
Tyler Toffoli, Mikael Backlund (3.00) Shots (Per Game) Jason Richardson, Esa Lindell (2.60)

Why Might the Calgary Flames Win?

The Calgary Flames are going to have a tough battle in this game but will win if Johnny Gaudreau scores and they come out aggressively.

Johnny Gaudreau has played well in the Playoffs, but he has only scored one goal. His play has been strong, but Calgary would greatly benefit from him putting a few pucks in the back of the net.

Calgary has Dallas on the ropes in this elimination game. If they come out aggressively and with a lot of energy, Calgary can knock out Dallas in the first period.

Why Might the Dallas Stars Win?

The Dallas Stars are the obvious underdogs, but they can tie up this series if they score power-play goals and put many shots on the net.

It would be an understatement to say that the Stars are struggling on the power-play. They have only converted 10% of them. With that being said, they have had no problem drawing penalties. If they can turn the tables and take advantage of the power-play, they can build a lead.

The Stars are averaging a lowly 25.4 shots per game. They need to put at least 30 shots on net in this game. The more shots they put on net, the more chances they have to score.

Flames Key Player: (LW) Johnny Gaudreau

Johnny Gaudreau is the Flames key player because of his strong play. However, he can do better if he starts scoring.

Gaudreau scored 40 goals during the regular season and has the ability to create solid scoring opportunities for himself. If he does, Calgary will win this game.

Stars Key Player: (C) Joe Pavelski

Joe Pavelski has provided much of Dallas’ offensive firepower in this series. He has three of Dallas’ eight goals and has only taken ten shots.

Pavelski needs to take over this game and shoot as much as he can. If he cannot find his shot, he should set up his teammates. Pavelski may be the reason Dallas wins or loses.

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How to Watch Calgary Flames vs Dallas Stars

Calgary Flames vs Dallas Stars Information
What Calgary Flames vs Dallas Stars
Where American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
When Friday, May 13, 9:30 PM EST
How to Watch TNT

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Max Heering

Expert on Sports Betting Industry

Max Heering graduated from the University of Kansas Sport Management program in May 2020. Max follows and writes about the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, MLS, college football, and college basketball. In his free time, you can catch Max draining threes on the basketball court. Email: [email protected]